New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

New York Liberty
7/25/25 19:30
Phoenix Mercury

Prediction:

 

Phoenix Mercury +6.5

-110
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in WNBA Picks

Three games are set to take place in the WNBA on Friday night, one of which will see the New York Liberty take on the Phoenix Mercury. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Liberty and Mercury.

Phoenix enters this game with a record of 15-8 and is currently in second place in the WNBA’s Western Conference. The Mercury most recently lost to the Atlanta Dream on Wednesday night by a score of 90-79. Phoenix had four players score in double figures, including Dewanna Bonner, who came off the bench to score a team-high 18 points.

As for New York, they enter this game with a record of 16-6 and are currently in first place in the WNBA’s Eastern Conference. The Liberty most recently beat the Indiana Fever this past Tuesday night by a score of 98-84. New York had six players score in double figures, including all five of their starters. Breanna Stewart and Leonie Fiebich led the way for the Liberty, each scoring 17 points.

New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
4 Phoenix Mercury
0.614 44 27 17
4 New York Liberty
0.614 44 27 17 3

New York Liberty and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches

New York Liberty
New York Liberty Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 22, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
98 :  84
Indiana Fever

Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
98 :  77
Indiana Fever

Jul 13, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
79 :  72
Atlanta Dream

Jul 8, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
87 :  78
Las Vegas Aces

Jul 6, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
70 :  79
Seattle Storm

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
89 :  79
L.a. Sparks
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 22, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
98 :  84
Indiana Fever

Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
98 :  77
Indiana Fever

Jul 13, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
79 :  72
Atlanta Dream

Jul 8, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
87 :  78
Las Vegas Aces

Jul 6, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
70 :  79
Seattle Storm

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
89 :  79
L.a. Sparks
W L L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
90 :  81
New York Liberty

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
106 :  91
New York Liberty

Jun 25, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
78 :  81
New York Liberty

Jun 22, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
89 :  79
New York Liberty

Jun 14, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
102 :  88
New York Liberty

Jun 5, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
78 :  86
New York Liberty
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
79 :  90
Atlanta Dream

Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
79 :  66
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 14, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
77 :  78
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 9, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
79 :  71
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 7, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
102 :  72
Dallas Wings

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
98 :  89
Phoenix Mercury
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
79 :  90
Atlanta Dream

Jul 9, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
79 :  71
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 7, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
102 :  72
Dallas Wings

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
81 :  84
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
106 :  91
New York Liberty

Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
93 :  80
Dallas Wings
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
79 :  66
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 14, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
77 :  78
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
98 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 21, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
86 :  107
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 18, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
75 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

New York Liberty against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Liberty

50 %

Phoenix Mercury

50 %

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
106 :  91
New York Liberty

Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 26, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
70 :  84
New York Liberty

Jun 18, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
99 :  93
New York Liberty

May 29, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  78
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 5, 2023 - WNBA

New York Liberty
99 :  95
Phoenix Mercury

Players list

New York Liberty
New York Liberty
J. Jones

N. Cloud

S. Ionescu

L. Fiebich

B. Stewart

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
N. Mack

M. Akoa-Makani

K. Copper

S. Sabally

A. Thomas

Substitutes

New York Liberty
New York Liberty
N. Sabally K. Burke

R. Gardner

M. Johannes

J. Sherrod

S. Talbot

I. Harrison

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
K. Brown

K. Williams

D. Bonner

L. Held

K. Laksa

S. Whitcomb

K. Westbeld

New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury Key Points

  1. The Liberty are 11-2 SU at home this season
  2. The Mercury are 6-4 SU on the road this season
  3. The Mercury are 2-0 SU vs the Liberty this season
  4. The Mercury are 2-0 ATS vs the Liberty this season

Our New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction

While the Liberty have consistently been one of the best teams in the league this season, the Mercury have had their number in the two regular-season meetings thus far. Not only have the Mercury beaten the Liberty twice this season, but they have won these games by an average margin of 11.5 points per game. 

Both the Mercury and Liberty are near the top of the league in terms of points allowed per game this season, but because of the success that Phoenix has had against New York this season, our New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury prediction is: Phoenix Mercury +6.5.

Prediction:

 

Phoenix Mercury +6.5

-110
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Picks