New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

New York Liberty
6/19/25 19:00
Phoenix Mercury

Prediction:

 

Sabrina Ionescu to Score 20+ Points

-106
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in WNBA Picks

Just two games are scheduled in the WNBA on Thursday night, one of which will see the New York Liberty host the Phoenix Mercury. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Mercury and Liberty.

Phoenix enters this game with a record of 9-4 and is currently in second place in the Western Conference. The Mercury will be playing this game on the second night of a back-to-back, having won against the Connecticut Sun on Wednesday night. Phoenix had five players score in double figures in this game, including Alyssa Thomas and Lexi Held, who each scored a team-high 14 points.

As for New York, they enter this game with a record of 10-1, which puts them in the top spot in the Eastern Conference. The Liberty only recently lost their first game of the season to the Indiana Fever this past Saturday by a score of 102-88. However, the Liberty quickly bounced back in their most recent game, beating the Atlanta Dream on Tuesday night by a score of 86-81. New York had three players score in double figures in this game, including Breanna Stewart with 23 points and Sabrina Ionescu, who scored a game-high 34 points.

New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
4 Phoenix Mercury
0.614 44 27 17
4 New York Liberty
0.614 44 27 17 3

New York Liberty and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches

New York Liberty
New York Liberty Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jun 17, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
86 :  81
Atlanta Dream

Jun 14, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
102 :  88
New York Liberty

Jun 10, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
85 :  66
Chicago Sky

Jun 5, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
78 :  86
New York Liberty

Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
100 :  52
Connecticut Sun

May 30, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
63 :  85
New York Liberty
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Jun 17, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
86 :  81
Atlanta Dream

Jun 10, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
85 :  66
Chicago Sky

Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
100 :  52
Connecticut Sun

May 29, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
82 :  77
Golden State Valkyries

May 27, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
95 :  67
Golden State Valkyries

May 17, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
92 :  78
Las Vegas Aces
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 14, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
102 :  88
New York Liberty

Jun 5, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
78 :  86
New York Liberty

May 30, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
63 :  85
New York Liberty

May 24, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
88 :  90
New York Liberty

May 22, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
74 :  99
New York Liberty

Oct 18, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
82 :  80
New York Liberty
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 18, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
75 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
70 :  76
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
93 :  80
Dallas Wings

Jun 7, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
77 :  89
Seattle Storm

Jun 5, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  77
Golden State Valkyries

Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
88 :  65
Phoenix Mercury
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
93 :  80
Dallas Wings

Jun 7, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
77 :  89
Seattle Storm

Jun 5, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  77
Golden State Valkyries

May 30, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
71 :  74
Minnesota Lynx

May 27, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
94 :  89
Chicago Sky

May 25, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
68 :  62
Washington Mystics
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 18, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
75 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
70 :  76
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
88 :  65
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
80 :  85
Phoenix Mercury

May 23, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
77 :  70
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 25, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
101 :  88
Phoenix Mercury

New York Liberty against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Liberty

75 %

Phoenix Mercury

25 %

Aug 26, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
70 :  84
New York Liberty

Jun 18, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
99 :  93
New York Liberty

May 29, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  78
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 5, 2023 - WNBA

New York Liberty
99 :  95
Phoenix Mercury
New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Picks

Players list

New York Liberty
New York Liberty
K. Burke J. Jones

N. Cloud

S. Ionescu

B. Stewart

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury

S. Whitcomb

M. Akoa-Makani

S. Sabally

K. Westbeld

A. Thomas

Substitutes

New York Liberty
New York Liberty
N. Sabally

R. Gardner

M. Johannes

J. Sherrod

M. Davis

I. Harrison

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
N. Mack K. Brown

L. Held

M. McConell

K. Laksa

M. Musa

K. Copper

New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury Key Points

  1. Sabrina Ionescu is averaging 20.8 points per game this season
  2. Sabrina Ionescu has scored 20+ points in seven games this season
  3. The Liberty are averaging 89.8 points per game this season
  4. The Mercury are allowing 77.6 points per game this season

Our New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction

With the Mercury on the second night of a back-to-back, betting them to cover feels risky. At the same time, backing the Liberty also feels risky as the spread is set in double figures.

Instead, we will be looking to target Sabrina Ionescu from the New York Liberty to score at least 20 points. Ionescu is the leading scorer for the Liberty and is averaging 20.8 points per game. Additionally, she is coming off back-to-back games of 34 points and has scored at least 20 points in her last three games.

Overall, Ionescu has scored at least 20 points in seven of the Liberty’s 11 games this season; therefore, our Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty prediction is: Sabrina Ionescu to Score 20+ Points.

Prediction:

 

Sabrina Ionescu to Score 20+ Points

-106
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.