Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
7/16/25 13:00
Phoenix Mercury

Prediction:

 

Minnesota Lynx Alternate Spread -9.5

-135
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in WNBA Picks

A five-game slate is set in the WNBA on Wednesday, one of which will feature the Minnesota Lynx taking on the Phoenix Mercury. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Lynx and Mercury.

Phoenix enters this game with a record of 15-6, and they are currently in second place in the WNBA’s Western Conference. The Mercury most recently beat the Golden State Valkyries this past Monday night by a score of 78-77. Phoenix had three players score in double figures, including Dewanna Bonner, who came off the bench to score a game-high 22 points.

As for Minnesota, they enter this game with a record of 19-4 and are currently in first place in the WNBA’s Western Conference. The Lynx most recently beat the Chicago Sky this past Monday by a score of 91-78. Minnesota had four players score in double figures, including Napheesa Collier, who scored a game-high 29 points.

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Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
1 Minnesota Lynx
0.773 44 34 10 1
4 Phoenix Mercury
0.614 44 27 17

Minnesota Lynx and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches

Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx Latest matches
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 14, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
78 :  91
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 12, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
87 :  81
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 10, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
82 :  91
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 9, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
79 :  71
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 6, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
80 :  75
Chicago Sky

Jul 5, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
82 :  71
Golden State Valkyries
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 6, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
80 :  75
Chicago Sky

Jul 5, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
82 :  71
Golden State Valkyries

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
92 :  75
Washington Mystics

Jul 1, 2025 - WNBA Commissioner Cup

Minnesota Lynx
59 :  74
Indiana Fever

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
102 :  63
Connecticut Sun

Jun 21, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
82 :  66
L.a. Sparks
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 14, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
78 :  91
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 12, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
87 :  81
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 10, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
82 :  91
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 9, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
79 :  71
Minnesota Lynx

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
92 :  96
Minnesota Lynx

Jun 24, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
68 :  64
Minnesota Lynx
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 14, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
77 :  78
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 9, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
79 :  71
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 7, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
102 :  72
Dallas Wings

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
98 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
81 :  84
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
106 :  91
New York Liberty
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 9, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
79 :  71
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 7, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
102 :  72
Dallas Wings

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
81 :  84
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
106 :  91
New York Liberty

Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
93 :  80
Dallas Wings

Jun 7, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
77 :  89
Seattle Storm
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 14, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
77 :  78
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
98 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 21, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
86 :  107
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 18, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
75 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
70 :  76
Phoenix Mercury

Minnesota Lynx against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)

Minnesota Lynx

83 %

Phoenix Mercury

17 %

Jul 9, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
79 :  71
Minnesota Lynx

Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
88 :  65
Phoenix Mercury

May 30, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
71 :  74
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 25, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
101 :  88
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 22, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
102 :  95
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 28, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  89
Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Picks

Players list

Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx

C. Williams

K. McBride

A. Smith

N. Collier

B. Carleton

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
N. Mack

D. Bonner

S. Whitcomb

A. Thomas

K. Westbeld

Substitutes

Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx
M. Kliundikova

K. Samuelson

N. Hiedeman

D. Miller

J. Shepard

A. Kosu

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
K. Brown

K. Williams

L. Held

M. Akoa-Makani

K. Laksa

K. Copper

S. Sabally

Minnesota Lynx - Phoenix Mercury Key Points

  1. Lexi Held has been ruled OUT for Phoenix
  2. Satou Sabally has been ruled OUT for Phoenix
  3. Minnesota is 11-0 SU at home this season
  4. Minnesota is 1-0 ATS vs Phoenix at home this season
Up to $150 to bet on Minnesota Lynx - Phoenix Mercury! 

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Our Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction

These are two of the top teams in the WNBA, and as such, they have mostly played each other closely this season. The most decisive game between these two teams was played in Minnesota, where the Lynx won by a score of 88-65. 

The Lynx have yet to lose a home game all season and have won their home games by an average margin of 14.8 points per game.

Keep in mind, Phoenix will be without their top scorer, Satou Sabally, who leads the team by scoring 19.1 points per game.

With Minnesota’s home dominance and Phoenix missing their best scoring option, our Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury prediction is: Minnesota Lynx Alternate Spread -9.5.

Prediction:

 

Minnesota Lynx Alternate Spread -9.5

-135
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.