Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Dallas Wings
7/3/25 20:00
Phoenix Mercury

Prediction:

 

Phoenix Mercury to win.

-625
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 by Stephen Abiola | in WNBA Picks

Dallas Wings (3-11) will look to pull off an upset in the Western Conference when they host Phoenix Mercury (11-4) on Thursday night. The Wings got off to a slow start this season, sitting at the bottom of the conference. They are struggling with squad depth after losing vital players to the Eurobasket, whereas Paige Beckers has been in and out of the team. It could be a long season ahead, with reports saying Chris Koclanes is losing the locker room.

Phoenix Mercury is the exact opposite of Dallas Wings this season. The Mercury successfully overhauled their roster during the offseason, pulling off a four-team, 13-player trade. This saw Alyssa Thomas and Satou Sabally join Kahleah Copper, who has already spent a year with the franchise. Their head coach, Nate Tibbetts, has undoubtedly done a great job maximizing their star players' versatility. The excitement in Phoenix is definitely justified.

Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
4 Phoenix Mercury
0.614 44 27 17
12 Dallas Wings
0.227 44 10 34 1

Dallas Wings and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches

Dallas Wings
Dallas Wings Latest matches
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
98 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 28, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
79 :  71
Washington Mystics

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
86 :  94
Indiana Fever

Jun 24, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
68 :  55
Atlanta Dream

Jun 22, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
91 :  88
Dallas Wings

Jun 20, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
83 :  86
Dallas Wings
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
98 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 28, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
79 :  71
Washington Mystics

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
86 :  94
Indiana Fever

Jun 24, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
68 :  55
Atlanta Dream

Jun 17, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
80 :  71
Golden State Valkyries

Jun 8, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
65 :  81
Minnesota Lynx
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jun 22, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
91 :  88
Dallas Wings

Jun 20, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
83 :  86
Dallas Wings

Jun 13, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
88 :  84
Dallas Wings

Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
93 :  80
Dallas Wings

Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
83 :  77
Dallas Wings

May 29, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
97 :  92
Dallas Wings
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
98 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
81 :  84
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
106 :  91
New York Liberty

Jun 21, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
86 :  107
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 18, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
75 :  83
Phoenix Mercury
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
81 :  84
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
106 :  91
New York Liberty

Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
93 :  80
Dallas Wings

Jun 7, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
77 :  89
Seattle Storm

Jun 5, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  77
Golden State Valkyries

May 30, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
71 :  74
Minnesota Lynx
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
98 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 21, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
86 :  107
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 18, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
75 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
70 :  76
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
88 :  65
Phoenix Mercury

Dallas Wings against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)

Dallas Wings

33 %

Phoenix Mercury

67 %

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
98 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
93 :  80
Dallas Wings

Jul 10, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
100 :  84
Dallas Wings

Jul 3, 2024 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
96 :  104
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 9, 2024 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
90 :  97
Phoenix Mercury

May 25, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
92 :  107
Dallas Wings

Players list

Dallas Wings
Dallas Wings
L. Yueru L. Geiselsoder

P. Bueckers

J. Quinerly

A. James

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury

M. Akoa-Makani

S. Sabally

K. Westbeld

A. Thomas

K. Copper

Substitutes

Dallas Wings
Dallas Wings
T. McCowan

L. King

M. Hines-Allen

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
N. Mack K. Brown

L. Held

K. Laksa

S. Whitcomb

K. Williams

M. Musa

Dallas Wings - Phoenix Mercury Key Points

  1. The Mercury won their last four matches against the Wings.
  2. The Wings are 1-10 in their last 11 home games.
  3. The Mercury are 4-1 ATS in their last five assignments.
  4. The Mercury are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings with Dallas.

Our Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction

Dallas Wings will have the fans behind them in this matchup. However, they could fall short in their mission to defeat the excellent Mercury. These teams are almost evenly matched in attack, with the Mercury averaging 82.3 PPG, which is good for sixth. The Wings, on the other hand, are seventh with 81.9 points per contest. However, the Mercury's attackers should find their way around the Dallas defense, which averages 86.9 PAPG this year. That's 11th in the 2025 WNBA rankings. Expect Phoenix Mercury to dominate the proceedings right from the start.

Our prediction for Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury: Phoenix Mercury to win.

Prediction:

 

Phoenix Mercury to win.

-625
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Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury Picks