Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA
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by Stephen Abiola | in WNBA Picks
Connecticut Sun (7-23) versus Phoenix Mercury (12-20) is a regular season matchup on Friday night at Mohegan Sun Arena. The Sun will be battling to stop their five-game slide and improve their 4-10 home record this season. They’re coming off an 83-63 battering against Dallas Wings on the road despite winning the fourth quarter 11-18. The Sun will be eager to turn things around on their hardwood, although bookies are listing them as the 200+ betting underdogs.
Phoenix Mercury, on the other side of the hardwood, have shown signs of improvement recently, coming into this game as the -275 betting favorites. They defeated Chicago Sky 101-106 on Monday night before losing 96-82 to the Dream on Wednesday night. The Mercury have been scoring points lately, boosted by the deadline trade of Kelsey Plum from LA Sparks. The superstar guard scored 20 points against the Sky and 19 points against the Dream.
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Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
0.333 | 39 | 13 | 26 |
|
14
|
0.256 | 39 | 10 | 29 |
Connecticut Sun and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Aug 2, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 30, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 28, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 22, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 19, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 17, 2026 - WNBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 14, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 10, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 8, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 2, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 26, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 22, 2026 - WNBA
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Aug 2, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 30, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 28, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 22, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 19, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 17, 2026 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 5, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 3, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 1, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 29, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 22, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 19, 2026 - WNBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Aug 1, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 29, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 19, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 17, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 9, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 7, 2026 - WNBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 5, 2026 - WNBA
Aug 3, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 22, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 13, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 11, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 27, 2026 - WNBA
Connecticut Sun against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Jul 19, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 17, 2026 - WNBA
Sep 6, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 5, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 18, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 13, 2024 - WNBA
Players list
C. Leger-Walker
L. Lacan
D. Miller
K. Plum
D. Bonner
N. Brochant
A. Thomas
K. Copper
Substitutes
G. Kneepkens
A. Jackson
S. Rivers
H. Van Lith
R. Beers
N. Angloma
A. Edwards
S. Ciezki
K. Dunn
S. Whitcomb
L. Held
M. Suarez
V. Ayayi
Connecticut Sun - Phoenix Mercury Key Points
- The total points went under 178.5 in 10 of the last 11 Connecticut Sun home games.
- The total points went under 178.5 in four of the last six Phoenix Mercury away games.
- The total points went under 178.5 in nine of the last 10 Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury clashes.
- The Mercury and 4-2 in their last six matches all-time.
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Our Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction
We expect Connecticut Sun to take pragmatic defensive approach to avoid a blowout defeat. They defeated the Mercury 83-96 last month after winning all four quarters. However, their home record this season isn’t inspiring. The Mercury are now looking more dangerous offensively, especially with Kelsey Plum in the side. They’ve scored an average of 91.4 PPG in their last five assignments, tallying 90+ points on three occasions. Still, we think that the total points will stay under 178.5. The Sun have looked defensively sound at home in recent matches, averaging 76.3 opponent points in the last six games. Overall, the Mercury should win it, although we’re tipping the Sun to cover the +7.5 spread.
Our prediction for Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury: Under 178.5 points to hit.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
