Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
9/6/25 13:00
Phoenix Mercury

Prediction:

 

Phoenix Mercury -10.5

-112
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in WNBA Picks

Just a two-game slate is scheduled in the WNBA on Saturday, including a matchup that will see the Connecticut Sun take on the Phoenix Mercury. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Sun and Mercury.

Phoenix enters this game with a record of 27-14 and is currently in third place in the WNBA’s Western Conference. The Mercury most recently beat the Washington Mystics this past Thursday night by a score of 75-69. Phoenix had four players score in double figures, including Kahleah Copper, who scored a team-high 18 points.

As for Connecticut, they enter this game with a record of 10-31 and are currently in last place in the WNBA’s Eastern Conference. The Sun most recently lost to the Chicago Sky this past Wednesday night by a score of 88-64. Connecticut had two players score in double figures, including Tina Charles, who scored a game-high 19 points.

Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury Form

Table

Teams % P W L
4 Phoenix Mercury
0.614 44 27 17
11 Connecticut Sun
0.25 44 11 33

Connecticut Sun and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches

Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun Latest matches
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 3, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
88 :  64
Connecticut Sun

Sep 1, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
76 :  93
Atlanta Dream

Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
70 :  94
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 27, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
95 :  101
Connecticut Sun

Aug 25, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  79
Connecticut Sun

Aug 23, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
84 :  94
Connecticut Sun
L W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 1, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
76 :  93
Atlanta Dream

Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
70 :  94
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
67 :  56
Washington Mystics

Aug 17, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
93 :  99
Indiana Fever

Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
71 :  62
Chicago Sky

Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
78 :  87
New York Liberty
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 3, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
88 :  64
Connecticut Sun

Aug 27, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
95 :  101
Connecticut Sun

Aug 25, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  79
Connecticut Sun

Aug 23, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
84 :  94
Connecticut Sun

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
69 :  80
Connecticut Sun

Aug 11, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
74 :  57
Connecticut Sun
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 4, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
69 :  75
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 2, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
85 :  79
Indiana Fever

Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
80 :  63
New York Liberty

Aug 28, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  79
Chicago Sky

Aug 26, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
84 :  92
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 22, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
81 :  72
Golden State Valkyries
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 2, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
85 :  79
Indiana Fever

Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
80 :  63
New York Liberty

Aug 28, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  79
Chicago Sky

Aug 22, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
81 :  72
Golden State Valkyries

Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  86
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
66 :  74
Atlanta Dream
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 4, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
69 :  75
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 26, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
84 :  92
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
83 :  61
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
91 :  98
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 17, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
82 :  85
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
67 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Connecticut Sun against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)

Connecticut Sun

67 %

Phoenix Mercury

33 %

Aug 5, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
82 :  66
Connecticut Sun

Jun 18, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
75 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 13, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  88
Connecticut Sun

Jul 14, 2024 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
96 :  69
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 1, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
72 :  83
Connecticut Sun

May 28, 2024 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
70 :  47
Phoenix Mercury

Players list

Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun
T. Charles

L. Lacan

M. Mabrey

L. Allen

A. Morrow

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
N. Mack

M. Akoa-Makani

S. Sabally

A. Thomas

K. Copper

Substitutes

Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun
R. Marshall O. Nelson-Ododa

S. Rivers

M. Toure

B. Hartley

A. Edwards

H. Peters

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
K. Brown

D. Bonner

L. Held

K. Williams

K. Laksa

S. Whitcomb

K. Westbeld

Connecticut Sun - Phoenix Mercury Key Points

  1. The Sun are 6-14 SU at home this season
  2. The Sun have lost three games in a row
  3. The Mercury have won six games in a row
  4. The Mercury are 2-0 SU vs the Sun this season

Our Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction

This matchup is a clear mismatch as Connecticut has consistently been one of the worst teams in the league this season, while Phoenix has been one of the top teams. These two teams have already met twice this season, in which the Mercury won both times. Further, Phoenix won these games by an average margin of 12 points per game.

Additionally, Phoenix appears to be getting hot at the right time, having won six games in a row, while Connecticut has lost three games in a row by an average margin of 21.7 points per game. Given the success the Mercury have had against the Sun this season and the clear difference in form, our Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury prediction is: Phoenix Mercury -10.5.

Prediction:

 

Phoenix Mercury -10.5

-112
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Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury Picks