Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
6/18/25 19:00
Phoenix Mercury

Prediction:

 

Phoenix Mercury -13.5

-110
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in WNBA Picks

The WNBA will see just one game take place on Wednesday as the Connecticut Sun, out of the Eastern Conference, will host the Phoenix Mercury, out of the Western Conference. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions to see which team will come out on top.

Phoenix enters this game with a record of 8-4 and is in second place in the Western Conference. The Mercury’s most recent game was a 76-70 win against the Las Vegas Aces this past Sunday in the 2025 WNBA Commissioner's Cup. Four players scored in double figures for Phoenix, including Satou Sabally, who scored a game-high 22 points.

As for Connecticut, they enter this game with a record of 2-9 and are in sixth place in the Eastern Conference. The Sun will be playing their second consecutive game, having lost on Tuesday night against the Indiana Fever by a score of 88-71. Connecticut had three players score in double figures in this game, including Tina Charles, who scored a team-high 20 points.

Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury Form

Table

Teams % P W L
4 Phoenix Mercury
0.614 44 27 17
11 Connecticut Sun
0.25 44 11 33

Connecticut Sun and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches

Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun Latest matches
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jun 17, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
88 :  71
Connecticut Sun

Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
66 :  78
Chicago Sky

Jun 8, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
104 :  67
Connecticut Sun

Jun 6, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
84 :  76
Atlanta Dream

Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
100 :  52
Connecticut Sun

May 30, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
83 :  85
Connecticut Sun
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
66 :  78
Chicago Sky

Jun 6, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
84 :  76
Atlanta Dream

May 27, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
87 :  109
Dallas Wings

May 20, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
62 :  87
Las Vegas Aces

May 18, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
85 :  90
Washington Mystics

Oct 6, 2024 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
92 :  82
Minnesota Lynx
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jun 17, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
88 :  71
Connecticut Sun

Jun 8, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
104 :  67
Connecticut Sun

Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
100 :  52
Connecticut Sun

May 30, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
83 :  85
Connecticut Sun

May 25, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
79 :  55
Connecticut Sun

May 23, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
76 :  70
Connecticut Sun
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
70 :  76
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
93 :  80
Dallas Wings

Jun 7, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
77 :  89
Seattle Storm

Jun 5, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  77
Golden State Valkyries

Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
88 :  65
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
80 :  85
Phoenix Mercury
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
93 :  80
Dallas Wings

Jun 7, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
77 :  89
Seattle Storm

Jun 5, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  77
Golden State Valkyries

May 30, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
71 :  74
Minnesota Lynx

May 27, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
94 :  89
Chicago Sky

May 25, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
68 :  62
Washington Mystics
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
70 :  76
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
88 :  65
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
80 :  85
Phoenix Mercury

May 23, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
77 :  70
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 25, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
101 :  88
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 22, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
102 :  95
Phoenix Mercury

Connecticut Sun against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)

Connecticut Sun

100 %

Phoenix Mercury

0 %

Sep 13, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  88
Connecticut Sun

Jul 14, 2024 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
96 :  69
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 1, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
72 :  83
Connecticut Sun

May 28, 2024 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
70 :  47
Phoenix Mercury
Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury Picks

Players list

Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun
O. Nelson-Ododa T. Charles

J. Sheldon

B. Hartley

M. Mabrey

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury

M. Akoa-Makani

S. Sabally

K. Westbeld

A. Thomas

K. Copper

Substitutes

Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun
R. Marshall K. Diaby

S. Rivers

J. Brown

L. Allen

A. Morrow

H. Peters

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
N. Mack K. Brown

L. Held

M. McConell

K. Laksa

S. Whitcomb

M. Musa

Connecticut Sun - Phoenix Mercury Key Points

  1. The Sun are 4-7 ATS this season
  2. The Sun are averaging 71.3 points per game this season
  3. The Mercury are 7-5 ATS this season
  4. The Mercury are averaging 79.6 points per game this season

Our Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction

It’s becoming more and more clear that the Connecticut Sun are disjointed, as they have now lost three games in a row. 

Conversely, the Mercury have been one of the best teams in the Western Conference, but are doing it more so with their defense, which is allowing an average of 77.6 points per game and ranks fourth in the league.

Considering that the Sun are playing the second night of a back-to-back in this matchup, they could have some fatigue. Further, more times than not, the Sun have failed to keep their games close; therefore, our Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury prediction is: Phoenix Mercury -13.5.

Prediction:

 

Phoenix Mercury -13.5

-110
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