Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
8/1/25 19:30
Phoenix Mercury

Prediction:

 

Atlanta Dream ML

+102
$200 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Matt Lowrimore | in WNBA Picks

Friday’s slate in the WNBA is a crowded one, as there are five games set to be played. One of these games will feature a matchup between the Atlanta Dream and Phoenix Mercury, two of the best teams in the league. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Dream and the Mercury.

The Mercury enter this game with a record of 16-10 and are currently in second place in the WNBA’s Western Conference. The Mercury most recently beat the Indiana Fever this past Wednesday by a score of 107-101. Phoenix had just three players score in double figures, including Alyssa Thomas, who scored a game-high 32 points.

As for Atlanta, they enter this game with a record of 16-11 and are currently in second place in the WNBA’s Eastern Conference. The Dream most recently beat the Dallas Wings this past Wednesday by a score of 88-85. Atlanta had five players score in double figures, including Naz Hillmon, who came off the bench to score a team-high 21 points, which also included the game-winning three with less than three seconds remaining in the game.

Up to $200 to bet on Atlanta Dream - Phoenix Mercury! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
2 Atlanta Dream
0.682 44 30 14 6
4 Phoenix Mercury
0.614 44 27 17

Atlanta Dream and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches

Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream Latest matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
85 :  88
Atlanta Dream

Jul 29, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
75 :  77
Golden State Valkyries

Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
86 :  90
Atlanta Dream

Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
79 :  90
Atlanta Dream

Jul 22, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
87 :  72
Atlanta Dream

Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
49 :  86
Atlanta Dream
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 29, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
75 :  77
Golden State Valkyries

Jul 7, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
90 :  81
Golden State Valkyries

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
79 :  80
Seattle Storm

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
90 :  81
New York Liberty

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
92 :  96
Minnesota Lynx

Jun 22, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
93 :  80
Chicago Sky
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
85 :  88
Atlanta Dream

Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
86 :  90
Atlanta Dream

Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
79 :  90
Atlanta Dream

Jul 22, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
87 :  72
Atlanta Dream

Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
49 :  86
Atlanta Dream

Jul 13, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
79 :  72
Atlanta Dream
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
107 :  101
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
72 :  88
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 25, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
89 :  76
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
79 :  90
Atlanta Dream

Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
79 :  66
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 14, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
77 :  78
Phoenix Mercury
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
79 :  90
Atlanta Dream

Jul 9, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
79 :  71
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 7, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
102 :  72
Dallas Wings

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
81 :  84
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
106 :  91
New York Liberty

Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
93 :  80
Dallas Wings
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
107 :  101
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
72 :  88
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 25, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
89 :  76
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
79 :  66
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 14, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
77 :  78
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
98 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Atlanta Dream against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)

Atlanta Dream

50 %

Phoenix Mercury

50 %

Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
79 :  90
Atlanta Dream

Sep 3, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
74 :  66
Atlanta Dream

Aug 23, 2024 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
80 :  82
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 21, 2024 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
72 :  63
Phoenix Mercury

Players list

Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream
B. Jones

M. Caldwell

A. Gray

J. Canada

N. Hillmon

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury

M. Akoa-Makani

S. Sabally

K. Copper

K. Westbeld

A. Thomas

Substitutes

Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream
T. Thierry

K. Smalls

T. Paopao

S. Walker-Kimbrough

N. Coffey

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
N. Mack K. Brown

D. Bonner

L. Held

S. Whitcomb

K. Laksa

Atlanta Dream - Phoenix Mercury Key Points

  1. The Dream are 8-4 SU at home this season
  2. The Mercury are 7-6 SU on the road this season
  3. The Dream are 1-0 SU and ATS vs the Mercury this season
  4. Atlanta’s Rhyne Howard is a game-time decision
Up to $200 to bet on Atlanta Dream - Phoenix Mercury! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction

This matchup is very evenly matched, considering Atlanta and Phoenix have two of the best records in the WNBA this season. In the only regular-season meeting this year, Atlanta easily handled Phoenix, beating them by a score of 90-79. 

The Dream are now just a small favorite because they are playing at home, where they have eight wins in 12 games. Additionally, Atlanta’s Rhyne Howard was previously ruled out for the month of July, but as we are about to enter August, there is a chance she will make her return. Howard is an important piece for the Dream, but even without her, the Dream have had some success, including beating the Minnesota Lynx on the road.

The Mercury have also been a little inconsistent recently, winning just four of their last 10 games. Therefore, because this game is being played in Atlanta, our Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury prediction is: Atlanta Dream ML.

Prediction:

 

Atlanta Dream ML

+102
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Picks