USA - Major League Soccer
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by Dan Angell in Major League Soccer Picks
Philadelphia Union gets the opponent it needs with FC Cincinnati hot on its heels. Union has tended to dominate Toronto when the Reds visit eastern Pennsylvania, having kept a clean sheet in four of their past five meetings at Subaru Park.
That tracks perfectly with Toronto’s punchless offense, as the Reds haven’t scored more than one goal in a match since June. Only D.C. United and Montreal have a weaker offense in the Eastern Conference, which is one reason why Toronto is sitting 12th in the table. If the Reds don’t start getting something going away from home, they’re going to find themselves on the outside looking in at the playoffs. But this is likely the wrong match to expect that; Philadelphia hasn’t lost a home match since March.
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Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
50 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 19 |
|
12
|
21 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 |
Philadelphia Union and Toronto FC Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 26, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jul 19, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jul 12, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jul 5, 2025 - Major League Soccer
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 26, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jul 12, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jun 14, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 24, 2025 - Major League Soccer
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jul 19, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jul 5, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jun 29, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jun 25, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 31, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jul 26, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jul 19, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jul 12, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jul 3, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jun 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jul 12, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jun 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jun 25, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 31, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 24, 2025 - Major League Soccer
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jul 26, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jul 19, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jul 3, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 17, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Apr 19, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union against Toronto FC : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
May 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2024 - Major League Soccer
May 29, 2024 - Major League Soccer
Aug 30, 2023 - Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 - Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2022 - Major League Soccer
Toronto FC v Philadelphia Union last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
I. Glavinovich
F. Westfield
N. Harriel
N. Gomis
H. Wingo
Z. Monlouis
R. Petretta
MidfielderO. Brynhildsen
Most goals and assists
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
T. Baribo
(15 Goals)
T. Corbeanu
(5 Goals)
K. Wagner
(9 Assists)
F. Bernardeschi
(3 Assists)
Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC Key Points
- Philadelphia has scored at least two goals in nine straight home matches.
- Toronto has been shut out in two straight road matches.
- Toronto is 0-4-1 in its past five trips to Philadelphia.
- Nine of the past 10 meetings have seen at least three goals scored.
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Our Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC Prediction
One thing to look for here on a side play is Philadelphia finding a late winner. The Union have excelled at putting goals home in the final 15, and Toronto have been fairly poor in the late game. Union have 13 markers in the last 15 minutes, while 25% of the Reds’ goals allowed have come in the final sixth of the match.
Toronto’s biggest issue is that the longer the match goes, the more likely the Reds are to run out of gas. Most Toronto matches start slowly, with the Reds gradually fading as things get closer to the end of the half. Against a deep team like Philadelphia — not to mention one that can start quickly — Toronto’s lack of conditioning tends to become pretty apparent. That makes finding value difficult, given Philadelphia’s massive advantage. But given that most matches in this series have been decided by multiple goals, our prediction for Philadelphia vs. Toronto is Philadelphia -1.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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