Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire Prediction & Picks - Major League Soccer

USA - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
10/26/25 17:30
Chicago Fire

Prediction:

 

More than 3.5 goals

+140
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 by Erik Gibbs in Major League Soccer Picks

Philadelphia Union take on the Chicago Fire after finishing atop the Eastern Conference last season, clinching the Supporters’ Shield with a league-record 20 wins (66 points) and a +24 goal differential. They allowed just 33 goals all season (the fewest in MLS), reflecting a stingy defense and efficient attack. Philadelphia struggled only infrequently – they suffered a 4-0 loss at Vancouver and a 2-0 loss at Charlotte on the final day – but otherwise maintained consistent form. They won a club-record 12 home games and earned home-field advantage for the playoffs.

Chicago Fire’s season was more erratic. The Fire spent much of the year around the playoff line and ultimately qualified as an Eastern Conference Wild Card. Chicago’s results swung between highs and lows: they secured draws on Decision Day (2-2 at New England, 2-2 vs Toronto) and won their Wild Card playoff match 3-1, but also suffered lopsided defeats such as the 4-0 loss at Philadelphia and a 3-0 home loss to Minnesota.

Chicago improved late at home, recording wins over teams like Columbus and St. Louis. Overall, Chicago’s late-season form showed momentum, but their season-long inconsistencies stand in contrast to Philadelphia’s steadiness.

Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire Form

Philadelphia Union and Chicago Fire Latest Matches

Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union Latest matches
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 18, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Charlotte FC
2 :  0
Philadelphia Union

Oct 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
1 :  0
New York City

Sep 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer

DC United
0 :  6
Philadelphia Union

Sep 20, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
1 :  0
New England Revolution

Sep 16, 2025 - US Open Cup

Nashville SC
3 :  1
Philadelphia Union

Sep 13, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps
7 :  0
Philadelphia Union
D D W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
1 :  0
New York City

Sep 20, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
1 :  0
New England Revolution

Aug 23, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
4 :  0
Chicago Fire

Aug 13, 2025 - US Open Cup

Philadelphia Union
3 :  2
New York Red Bulls

Aug 9, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
1 :  1
Toronto FC

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Philadelphia Union
2 :  2
Eintracht Frankfurt
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 18, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Charlotte FC
2 :  0
Philadelphia Union

Sep 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer

DC United
0 :  6
Philadelphia Union

Sep 16, 2025 - US Open Cup

Nashville SC
3 :  1
Philadelphia Union

Sep 13, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps
7 :  0
Philadelphia Union

Aug 30, 2025 - Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati
0 :  1
Philadelphia Union

Aug 16, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
1 :  0
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire Latest matches
L W W W D D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 22, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
3 :  1
Orlando City SC

Oct 18, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New England Revolution
2 :  2
Chicago Fire

Oct 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
2 :  2
Toronto FC

Sep 30, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Inter Miami
3 :  5
Chicago Fire

Sep 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
2 :  0
Columbus Crew

Sep 20, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
0 :  3
Chicago Fire
D W W L W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 22, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
3 :  1
Orlando City SC

Oct 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
2 :  2
Toronto FC

Sep 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
2 :  0
Columbus Crew

Sep 13, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
1 :  3
New York City

Sep 6, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
3 :  2
New England Revolution

Aug 16, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
3 :  2
Saint Louis City SC
D W L W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 18, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New England Revolution
2 :  2
Chicago Fire

Sep 30, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Inter Miami
3 :  5
Chicago Fire

Sep 20, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
0 :  3
Chicago Fire

Aug 23, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
4 :  0
Chicago Fire

Jul 19, 2025 - Major League Soccer

CF Montreal
0 :  2
Chicago Fire

Jul 16, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Atlanta United Fc
2 :  2
Chicago Fire

Philadelphia Union against Chicago Fire : Head to Head (H2H)

Philadelphia Union

50 %

Draw

17 %

Chicago Fire

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
33%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Aug 23, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
4 :  0
Chicago Fire

Jun 25, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
0 :  1
Philadelphia Union

Jul 3, 2024 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
4 :  3
Philadelphia Union

Feb 24, 2024 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
2 :  2
Chicago Fire

Mar 11, 2023 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
1 :  0
Chicago Fire

Jun 29, 2022 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
1 :  0
Philadelphia Union
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Chicago Fire v Philadelphia Union last Lineups

Philadelphia Union

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

18
A. Blake
26
N. Harriel
5
J. Glesnes
29
O. Makhanya
27
K. Wagner
11
A. Bedoya
21
D. Jean-Jacques
4
J. Lukic
32
M. Iloski
7
M. Uhre
20
B. Damiani
19
J. Bamba
9
H. Cuypers
11
P. Zinckernagel
17
B. Gutierrez
42
D. D'avilla
35
S. Oregel
15
A. Gutman
16
J. Waterman
3
J. Elliott
24
J. Dean
1
C. Brady

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Chicago Fire

Missing players

Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
Forward

J. Rafanello

Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
Defender

V. Radojevic

L. Barroso

Midfielder

A. Franco

Forward

C. Mueller

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Philadelphia Union
CD Huachipato Chicago Fire
Top Goalscorer
Israel T. Baribo (16 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Belgium H. Cuypers (19 Goals)
Best assists
Germany K. Wagner (10 Assists)
Best assists
Denmark P. Zinckernagel (15 Assists)

Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire Key Points

  1. Chicago Fire are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. Philadelphia Union are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  3. The Over is 4-1 in Chicago Fire's last 5 games
  4. The Over is 2-3 in Philadelphia Union's last 5 games

Our Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire Prediction

On Philadelphia's side, success has come from a collective effort. Fullback Kai Wagner has been a creative force on the flank, leading the team with 11 assists and consistently fueling attacks from the back. Forward Mikael Uhre also boosted the offense, contributing 6 goals and 6 assists (12 total goal contributions) and even scoring the Shield-clinching goal in early October.

On the Chicago side, striker Hugo Cuypers has shouldered much of the scoring load with roughly 19 goals, and midfielder Philip Zinckernagel has chipped in around 14 goals and numerous assists. Cuypers and Zinckernagel have been involved in a majority of Chicago's goals.

Given these forms, Philadelphia holds the edge heading into the series. The Union's balanced roster and home advantage suggest they will control much of the play and limit Chicago's opportunities. Chicago's momentum and strong forwards make the matchup competitive, but based on consistency and season-long performance, Philadelphia appears slightly more likely to advance. The series is expected to be tightly contested, but Philadelphia's superior record and defense give them a factual edge. Our prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire: Over 3.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

More than 3.5 goals

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Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire Picks