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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Washington Nationals are coming in as a tempting +152 underdog against the Philadelphia Phillies in Sunday’s series finale at Nationals Park.
The Nationals have taken two out of three games against the No.1 team in the NL East, putting them in a position to secure a rare series win over the Phillies. The Nats have leaned on their pitching to neutralize the Phillies’ big bats. Washington, who is pitching a 4.70 ERA in the last five games, hounded the Phillies in the two wins, even blanking them in Saturday’s 2-0 win.
The Phillies suffered their fourth loss in five games following their recent loss to Washington. At 70-53, the Phillies are still five games ahead of their closest trailers, the 68-58 New York Mets, but they can no longer afford to prolong this slump because there are only a few weeks left in the regular season. Philadelphia has posted a 4.37 ERA in its last five games, which is significantly higher than its 3.71 ERA this season.
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Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
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4
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0.569 | 123 | 70 | 53 |
28
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0.407 | 123 | 50 | 73 |
Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals Latest Matches

2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
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Philadelphia Phillies against Washington Nationals : Head to Head (H2H)
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Philadelphia Phillies - Washington Nationals Key Points
- Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.
- Washington is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games played on a Sunday.
- Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
- Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games played in August.
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Our Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction
The Nats are out to take the series win over the Phillies on Sunday. Washington will deploy lefty Mitchell Parker to start against the team he blanked through 6.1 innings in a 5-1 win on March 30.
The Phillies have tapped Aaron Nola, who has delivered impressive numbers in his rehab following a rib and ankle injury that has sidelined him since May. But before the injury, Nola had posted two miserable mound appearances against the Guardians (4 runs in 5.0 innings) and the Cardinals (9 runs in 3.2 innings). Nola is a reliable pitcher when healthy, but right now it remains to be seen how he will fare against the Nats, who are batting .239 with 4.2 runs per game in the last five games.
The Phillies are still a better team on paper, but the uncertainty surrounding Nola’s first MLB start off an injury along with Philadelphia’s measly 1.8 runs per game average in their last five games, makes them vulnerable to the Nats in Washington, DC.
Our betting prediction for the Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: the Nats will win.
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