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by Carlos Zabala | in MLB Picks
The Phillies' odds on a win over the Blue Jays for Tuesday's three-game interleague series were around -155, then jumped to -180, but by Monday's end, they were almost back to where they started. The Blue Jays are on a five-game winning streak after sweeping the Athletics in Sacramento, and their underdog odds of around +135 for Game 1 against the Phillies in Toronto look attractive.
However, the bookmakers are putting a lot of weight on the pitching matchup, which clearly favors the Phillies. Cristopher Sanchez, with a 4-1 record and averaging more than a strikeout per inning, will start for the Phillies on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the Jays' Bowden Francis is having a season to forget with a 5.04 ERA, but in his last outing he shed some light by pitching 5 scoreless innings against the Rangers, throwing 75 pitches and snapping his three-outing home run skid.
In the four games in Toronto, the Blue Jays' bats probably had the most hits in their 2025 season in a single series. They won 12-0 in Game 1, scored 11 the next day, and drove in eight runs in Games 3 and 4.
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Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
5
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0.607 | 61 | 37 | 24 |
15
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0.525 | 61 | 32 | 29 |
Philadelphia Phillies and Toronto Blue Jays Latest Matches

2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jun 1, 2025 - MLB
May 31, 2025 - MLB
May 30, 2025 - MLB
May 29, 2025 - MLB
May 29, 2025 - MLB
May 27, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jun 1, 2025 - MLB
May 31, 2025 - MLB
May 30, 2025 - MLB
May 29, 2025 - MLB
May 29, 2025 - MLB
May 27, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 25, 2025 - MLB
May 24, 2025 - MLB
May 23, 2025 - MLB
May 22, 2025 - MLB
May 21, 2025 - MLB
May 20, 2025 - MLB

5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jun 1, 2025 - MLB
May 31, 2025 - MLB
May 30, 2025 - MLB
May 29, 2025 - MLB
May 28, 2025 - MLB
May 27, 2025 - MLB
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Jun 1, 2025 - MLB
May 31, 2025 - MLB
May 30, 2025 - MLB
May 29, 2025 - MLB
May 22, 2025 - MLB
May 21, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 28, 2025 - MLB
May 27, 2025 - MLB
May 26, 2025 - MLB
May 25, 2025 - MLB
May 24, 2025 - MLB
May 23, 2025 - MLB
Philadelphia Phillies against Toronto Blue Jays : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Mar 21, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 17, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 8, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 2, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Feb 26, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Sep 4, 2024 - MLB
Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays Key Points
- The Blue Jays won the last time they were listed as betting underdogs.
- The Blue Jays' pitching saw 14 strikeouts in their last win.
- The Phillies' K/9 this season is the best in MLB.
- The Blue Jays' collective AVG is seventh-best in MLB.
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Our Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
The Phillies' pitching has the second-highest strikeout rate in MLB, but they have a surprisingly high BAA. The Phillies appear to be in no rush to return Harper to the lineup after the fastball that hit him in the elbow. When the Phillies visited Rogers Centre in 2024, the Jays lost the series but took Game 1, earning betting sites odds of around +144.
Our prediction for Phillies vs Blue Jays is: Blue Jays ML.
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