Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
7/11/25 21:40
San Diego Padres

Prediction:

 

UNDER 8

-109
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 by Travis Pulver in MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies will continue their West Coast road trip with a three-game series in San Diego vs. the Padres at Petco Park. Game 1 of the series will get underway tonight, and fans can catch the action on the MLB Network at 9:40 p.m. EST.

Philadelphia’s road trip began in San Francisco with a three-game series vs. the Giants. It did not get off to a good start for the Phillies as they lost the first game 3-1 and the second game 4-3. But they made a solid statement in the series finale, winning 13-0. The Padres have gone 4-3 during their current homestand, winning two vs. the Rangers and going 2-2 vs. the D-backs.

This game may turn into a pitcher’s duel with the guys taking the mound to start. For Philly, it’s Ranger Suarez. He’s got a 7-2 record in 12 starts with a 1.99 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. He’s been at his best on the road, going 4-2 in six starts with a 1.06 ERA and .177 OBA. The Padres are set to go with Ryan Bergert, fresh off the DL. He has gone 1-0 in five starts (nine appearances) with a 2.67 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. However, he has not been great at home this season. In two appearances, including one start, he has a 6.75 ERA (four innings) and a .333 OBA.

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Form

Table

Teams % P W L
6
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies
0.574 94 54 40
11
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
0.543 94 51 43

Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres Latest Matches

Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies Latest matches
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
13 :  0
San Francisco Giants

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  4
San Francisco Giants

Jul 7, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  3
San Francisco Giants

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
1 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
1 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
9 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
1 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
1 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
9 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
6 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 30, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
13 :  0
San Francisco Giants

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  4
San Francisco Giants

Jul 7, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  3
San Francisco Giants

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  1
Atlanta Braves

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
13 :  0
Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres Latest matches
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
3 :  4
San Diego Padres

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
8 :  2
San Diego Padres

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
0 :  1
San Diego Padres

Jul 7, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
6 :  3
San Diego Padres

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
1 :  4
San Diego Padres

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
7 :  4
San Diego Padres
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
3 :  4
San Diego Padres

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
8 :  2
San Diego Padres

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
0 :  1
San Diego Padres

Jul 7, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
6 :  3
San Diego Padres

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
1 :  4
San Diego Padres

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
7 :  4
San Diego Padres
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
6 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 30, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  3
Cincinnati Reds

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
6 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  8
Cincinnati Reds

Philadelphia Phillies against San Diego Padres : Head to Head (H2H)

Philadelphia Phillies

67 %

San Diego Padres

33 %

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
6 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 30, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 19, 2024 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 18, 2024 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 17, 2024 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  9
Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies - San Diego Padres Key Points

  1. The Phillies lead the all-time series with the Padres 295-228.
  2. San Diego is 29-17 at home; Philadelphia is 24-23 on the road.
  3. In 82 at-bats against Suarez, the Padres' lineup has hit .305.
  4. Betting Public: 46% of total tickets and 61% of the handle are on the UNDER.

Our Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction

This should be a pretty competitive game between two of MLB’s better teams, but I expect it to be a relatively low-scoring game. Nothing against either team’s lineup, but Ranger Suarez has been incredible; he gave up six runs across six starts in June for an ERA of 1.30 and got July off to a solid start with a one-run effort against the Reds (July 5). Bergert does not have the body of work that Suarez does, but has pitched well everywhere but San Diego. In his one home start, he got pulled after three innings, giving up five hits and three runs.

Both pitchers are solid and will do well in this game, keeping the score low.

Our Reds vs. Padres Pick: UNDER 8

Prediction:

 

UNDER 8

-109
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Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Picks