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by Erik Gibbs | in MLB Picks
On Sunday afternoon, the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Philadelphia Phillies will wrap up their National League series at PNC Park. The in-state rivals are meeting for the final time in this weekend set, with the Pirates having edged the Phillies in two tightly contested one-run games.
Those back-to-back losses have extended Philadelphia’s losing streak to four games—an unusual cold stretch for a team that has otherwise been among the top contenders in the NL East. The Phillies now find themselves three games back of the division-leading New York Mets and are eager to get back on track before the gap widens further.
For Pittsburgh, this series represents an opportunity to build momentum. Though they sit near the bottom of the NL Central standings and have struggled to win consistently at home, the Pirates have shown flashes of competitiveness. With two straight narrow wins, they've demonstrated the ability to grind out close games, even against high-caliber opponents like the Phillies.
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Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
0.569 | 65 | 37 | 28 |
|
26
|
0.394 | 66 | 26 | 40 |
Philadelphia Phillies and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Philadelphia Phillies against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
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Philadelphia Phillies - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points
- The Phillies are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games
- The Phillies are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games vs. the Pirates
- The Pirates are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games at home vs. the Phillies
- The Under is 12-5 in the Pirates' last 17 home games
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Our Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
The Phillies will send Cristopher Sánchez to the mound. The 28-year-old left-hander has quietly put together a strong stretch, with Philadelphia winning each of his last four starts. In that span, Sánchez has surrendered nine runs across 22-plus innings, showing good command and the ability to limit damage. His presence gives Philadelphia a reliable option as they try to halt their slide.
Opposing him will be Pittsburgh’s prized rookie, Paul Skenes. The young right-hander has been electric in his debut season, boasting a strikeout total and a sub-1.00 WHIP through over 83 innings. Skenes has consistently limited opposing offenses, giving up just five home runs all year. However, his win-loss record (4-6) tells a different story, as the Pirates’ offense has provided him with minimal run support. Despite his dominance on the mound, Skenes often finds himself on the wrong end of close outcomes.
This finale could mirror their previous matchup, where Skenes delivered a strong outing but received little assistance from his teammates at the plate. Pittsburgh’s offensive struggles—ranking near the bottom of the league in runs scored—have been a persistent issue all season. If that trend continues, even a stellar start from Skenes might not be enough to secure a win.
Unless the Pirates can find a spark offensively, the Phillies may finally break their losing streak and salvage the final game of the series. Our prediction for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: Phillies to win.
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