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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Philadelphia Phillies and the Pittsburgh Pirates open a new series on Friday at PNC Park, seeking to regain their footing after losing their respective series.
The Phillies (37-25) have lost six of their last seven games, including the last two games of their series against the Toronto Blue Jays. Philadelphia, who is batting .255 with 4.8 runs per game this season, has only averaged 3.8 runs per game on a .216 batting over their last 5 games, during which they have gone 1-4. Pitching numbers have also plunged down in this tough stretch for the Phillies, whose ERA jumped up to 6.80 over the last 5 games from 4.04 ERA in this season.
The Pirates have lost 2 of their three-game series with the Houston Astros, and this includes an embarrassing 2-8 loss in the series finale. After a nightmarish start for its pitching staff, Pittsburgh has stabilized its pitching numbers over the last few weeks, bringing its ERA down to 3.88 from as high as 6.00+ during the first weeks of the season.
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Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
6
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0.597 | 62 | 37 | 25 |
28
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0.365 | 63 | 23 | 40 |
Philadelphia Phillies and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches

1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Jun 5, 2025 - MLB
Jun 4, 2025 - MLB
Jun 3, 2025 - MLB
Jun 1, 2025 - MLB
May 31, 2025 - MLB
May 30, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jun 1, 2025 - MLB
May 31, 2025 - MLB
May 30, 2025 - MLB
May 29, 2025 - MLB
May 29, 2025 - MLB
May 27, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jun 5, 2025 - MLB
Jun 4, 2025 - MLB
Jun 3, 2025 - MLB
May 25, 2025 - MLB
May 24, 2025 - MLB
May 23, 2025 - MLB

2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jun 5, 2025 - MLB
Jun 4, 2025 - MLB
Jun 3, 2025 - MLB
Jun 1, 2025 - MLB
May 31, 2025 - MLB
May 30, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jun 5, 2025 - MLB
Jun 4, 2025 - MLB
Jun 3, 2025 - MLB
May 25, 2025 - MLB
May 24, 2025 - MLB
May 23, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jun 1, 2025 - MLB
May 31, 2025 - MLB
May 30, 2025 - MLB
May 28, 2025 - MLB
May 27, 2025 - MLB
May 26, 2025 - MLB
Philadelphia Phillies against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
May 18, 2025 - MLB
May 17, 2025 - MLB
May 16, 2025 - MLB
Mar 18, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 7, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Jul 21, 2024 - MLB
Philadelphia Phillies - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points
- The total has gone under in 7 of the last 10 meetings between the Pirates and the Phillies.
- The total has gone Under in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 10 games
- The total has gone Under in 5 of Pittsburgh’s last 10 games
- The Pirates and the Phillies have combined for 6.67 runs per game over their last 3 meetings
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Our Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
Why you should bet on the Under 8.0 Runs: Philles hurler Joe Rosas allowed 5 runs in his last start vs. the Brewers, but I expect him to bounce back since he has traditionally pitched well against the Pirates. He conceded only 3 runs across his last three starts against the said team. Bailey Falter has powered the Pirates to a victory in 4 of his last 5 starts. In his last mound appearance, Falter suffocated the San Diego Padres for 6.1 scoreless innings to claim his fourth shutout game in 5 starts. The total has gone Under in 7 of the last 10 meetings between the Pirates and the Phillies.
Our betting prediction for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: Under 8.0 Runs
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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