Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
7/27/25 13:35
New York Yankees

Prediction:

 

UNDER 7.5

-105
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 by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks

The New York Yankees will try to get back on the right side of the scoreboard in the finale of their weekend series with the Philadelphia Phillies today. Fans can follow the action once the game gets underway at 1:35 p.m. EST.

New York is 3-5 since the second half of the season got underway. After winning two of three vs. Atlanta on the road, they dropped two of three vs. the Blue Jays in Toronto before returning home for this series vs. the Phillies. So far, Philadelphia has dominated the Yankees, winning Game One 12-5 on Friday and Game Two yesterday 9-4. As for the Phillies, they’ve gone 5-3, losing two to the Angels and winning two of three vs. Boston before heading to New York. Fans are in for a heck of a pitching matchup today with Philadelphia starting Zack Wheeler and the Yankees' Carlos Rodon. Wheeler has gone 9-3 in 20 starts with a 2.39 ERA, .88 WHIP, and .187 OBA. He has pitched well on the road, going 3-2 in nine starts with a 2.89 ERA and .201 OBA. Rodon has gone 10-7 in 21 starts with a 3.10 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, and .188 OBA. He has been at his best at home, where he is 6-3 in ten starts with a 2.82 ERA and .156 OBA.

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Form

Table

Teams % P W L
6
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies
0.569 109 62 47
10
New York Yankees
New York Yankees
0.545 110 60 50

Philadelphia Phillies and New York Yankees Latest Matches

Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 26, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  4
New York Yankees

Jul 25, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
12 :  5
New York Yankees

Jul 23, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
9 :  8
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 22, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 21, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 20, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
8 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 23, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
9 :  8
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 22, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 21, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 20, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
8 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 19, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
5 :  9
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
6 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 26, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  4
New York Yankees

Jul 25, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
12 :  5
New York Yankees

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  1
San Diego Padres

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  5
San Diego Padres

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  4
San Diego Padres

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
13 :  0
San Francisco Giants
New York Yankees
New York Yankees Latest matches
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 26, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  4
New York Yankees

Jul 25, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
12 :  5
New York Yankees

Jul 23, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  8
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 22, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 21, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 20, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  2
Atlanta Braves
W W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 26, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  4
New York Yankees

Jul 25, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
12 :  5
New York Yankees

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
4 :  1
New York Yankees

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
5 :  2
New York Yankees

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
0 :  11
New York Yankees

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
5 :  6
New York Yankees
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 23, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  8
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 22, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 21, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 20, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  2
Atlanta Braves

Jul 19, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
12 :  9
Atlanta Braves

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  7
Atlanta Braves

Philadelphia Phillies against New York Yankees : Head to Head (H2H)

Philadelphia Phillies

50 %

New York Yankees

50 %

Jul 26, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  4
New York Yankees

Jul 25, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
12 :  5
New York Yankees

Mar 22, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Philadelphia Phillies
8 :  7
New York Yankees

Mar 19, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

New York Yankees
9 :  7
Philadelphia Phillies

Mar 14, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  6
New York Yankees

Mar 4, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

New York Yankees
12 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies - New York Yankees Key Points

  1. The Yankees lead the all-time series vs. the Phillies 32-24.
  2. New York will be without the services of AL MVP frontrunner Aaron Judge, who was recently placed on the IL.
  3. The Yankees' lineup has a .248 BA vs. Wheeler in 125 at-bats (31-125) with nine home runs; the Philadelphia lineup has a .250 BA vs. Rodon in 72 at-bats (18-72) with two home runs.
  4. Betting Public: 15% of TOTAL tickets and 22% of the handle are on the UNDER.

Our Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Prediction

It is not hard to understand why the public is heavily favoring the OVER with 10+ runs scored in each of the last two games. However, this game features two of the best pitchers in baseball. I’m more concerned for Rodon than Wheeler, but Rodon has been a beast at home, and Wheeler has given up more than two runs just once in his last eight starts. I see no reason to think this game will be high scoring like the last two.

Our Phillies vs. Yankees Pick: UNDER 7.5

Prediction:

 

UNDER 7.5

-105
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Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Picks