Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9/6/25 16:10
Miami Marlins

Prediction:

 

The Phillies -1.5 Runs

+108
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 by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks

Losers in their last four assignments, the Miami Marlins head back to loanDepot Park in Saturday’s Game 2 as +133 home underdogs against the best team in their division, the Philadelphia Phillies.

Current Form:

The Phillies are 3-1 in their last four games, winning their last two games against Milwaukee 2-0 and Miami 9-3. At 82-59, the Phillies are holding a 6-game lead on their closest trailers, the 76-65 New York Mets. Despite losing starter Zach Wheeler and several key cogs in their bullpen to injuries, Philadelphia continues to dominate on the mound, posting a 3.89 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in their last five games. Also in the same stretch, the Phillies have averaged 5.0 runs per game on a .286 batting average, which is right around the ballpark of their season averages (4.9 runs per game on a .259 BA).

The Marlins have lost their last four games, including a 3-9 bummer in Friday’s series opener vs. the Phillies. Miami is third in the NL East with a 65-76 slate, though their chance of staging a late-season push toward the playoffs is very dim since they are trailing the Mets, the second-best team in their division and current holder of the third wild card, by 11 games with barely three weeks left in the season.

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Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Form

Table

Teams % P W L
2
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies
0.585 142 83 59
23
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
0.458 142 65 77

Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins Latest Matches

Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies Latest matches
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  3
Miami Marlins

Sep 4, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  0
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  6
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 1, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
10 :  8
Milwaukee Brewers

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
2 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
2 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
1 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 28, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
4 :  19
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
2 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
4 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  3
Miami Marlins

Sep 4, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  0
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  6
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 1, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
10 :  8
Milwaukee Brewers

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
0 :  6
New York Mets

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  6
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins Latest matches
W W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  3
Miami Marlins

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  10
Washington Nationals

Sep 2, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  5
Washington Nationals

Sep 1, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
0 :  2
Washington Nationals

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  1
New York Mets

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
11 :  8
New York Mets
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  3
Miami Marlins

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
12 :  1
Miami Marlins

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
11 :  2
Miami Marlins

Aug 25, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
1 :  2
Miami Marlins

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  5
Miami Marlins

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
7 :  6
Miami Marlins
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  10
Washington Nationals

Sep 2, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  5
Washington Nationals

Sep 1, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
0 :  2
Washington Nationals

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  1
New York Mets

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
11 :  8
New York Mets

Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
9 :  19
New York Mets

Philadelphia Phillies against Miami Marlins : Head to Head (H2H)

Philadelphia Phillies

67 %

Miami Marlins

33 %

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  3
Miami Marlins

Jun 19, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  1
Miami Marlins

Jun 18, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  2
Miami Marlins

Jun 17, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  8
Miami Marlins

Jun 16, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  2
Miami Marlins

Apr 20, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
7 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies - Miami Marlins Key Points

  1. Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami.
  2. Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
  3. Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
  4. Miami is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.
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Our Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction

The Phillies to dominate the Marlins again, covering the -1.5 run spread. Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami. In their last three meeting, Philadelphia has also averaged 5.00 runs per game while Miami has only scored an average of 2.00 runs per contest.

After holding Atlanta scoreless through 6.2 innings in a 1-3 loss to Atlanta last August 31, Jesus Luzardo returns to the mound seeking a win in his first pitching stint against Miami. Luzardo, who carries a 2.83 ERA across his last five starts, is expected to shine against Miami’s batting corps, which is averaging 3.0 runs per game on a .207 BA. Miami’s Sandy Alcantara has been amazing recently with a 2.81 ERA across his last five starts. However, it is worth noting that Alcantara has lost his last three meetings against the Phillies. One of which is a game where he surrendered 6 earned runs in 2 innings, resulting in Miami’s 2-7 loss to the Phillies on April 18.

Our betting prediction for the Miami Marlins vs. the Philadelphia Phillies: the Phillies -1.5 Runs.

Prediction:

 

The Phillies -1.5 Runs

+108
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Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Picks
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