Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction & Picks - MLB

Prediction published on 10/8/25, 5:15 PM  by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks

Now back in the comfort of Dodger Stadium, the Los Angeles Dodgers seek to complete a sweep of the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 3 of their National League Divisional Series on Wednesday.

The Dodgers are +115 on -1.5 runline against the Phillies, who carry +151 value as road underdogs in this match.

Series Recap:

The Dodgers flexed their postseason form against the Phillies in the first two games at Citizens Bank Park. Shohei Ohtani surrendered three earned runs over six innings in his first postseason action on the mound, but the Dodgers’ bullpen, led by Tyler Glasnow and Roki Sasaki as a closer, kept the Phillies at bay in the final three innings. Enrique Hernandez’s two-run double in the 6th inning pulled the Dodgers within two, 2-3, after trailing early, 0-2. Teoscar Hernandez then delivered a massive three-run homer in the 7th inning to secure a 5-3 win for the Dodgers in Game 1.

In Game 2, the Dodgers demonstrated their World Series pedigree in the clutch, breaking a scoring drought behind RBIs from Enrique Hernandez, Will Smith, and Shohei Ohtani in a 4-0 run in the 7th inning. The Phillies tried to make a comeback after Trae Turner drove in a run in the 8th and Nick Castellanos busted out a two-run double to pull the Phillies within one run, 3-4. But once again, Roki Sasaki saved the day for the Dodgers, earning the final outs of the match to give his team a 4-3 win and a commanding 2-0 lead in the series.

Starting Pitchers Matchup:

Phillies RHP Aaron Nola (5-10, 6.01 ERA in the 2025 MLB Season): Nola is set to make his first mound appearance in this year’s postseason. In his last five starts, Nola has posted a 5.06 ERA while averaging 4.8 hits and 6.2 strikeouts per game. In his only start against the Dodgers this season, Nola gave up three earned runs on seven hits over six innings in a 1-3 loss on April 5.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto (12.8, 2.59 ERA in the 2025 MLB Season): Yamamoto will be making his second start this postseason, coming off a spectacular outing in Game 2 of the Wild Card Series against the Cincinnati Reds, where he logged 6.2 scoreless innings with 9 strikeouts. Yamamoto hasn’t surrendered a run over his last 17.2 innings across three games. In his only start vs. the Phillies on April 4, 2025, Yamamoto torched the Phillies for six innings, allowing zero earned runs and recording five strikeouts.