Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction & Picks - NHL

USA - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3/2/26 19:30
Philadelphia Flyers

Prediction:

 

Under 5.5

+120
$250 offered for betting!

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 by Erik Gibbs | in NHL Picks

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Philadelphia Flyers are set to clash at Scotiabank Arena on Monday night in a matchup that carries significant weight for two teams trending in opposite directions as the NHL trade deadline looms. For the Maple Leafs, the return from the 2026 Winter Olympic break has been nothing short of a nightmare, as the club currently finds itself mired in a six-game home losing streak that has seen them slip eight points out of a safe playoff position.

The post-Olympic restart hasn't provided the reset many expected; instead, Toronto has looked disjointed, dropping a 4-2 decision to Tampa Bay and following it up with a demoralizing 5-1 loss to the Florida Panthers. Head coach Craig Berube is clearly feeling the heat, as his squad struggles to find consistent scoring while the defensive structure has crumbled under the pressure of a desperate postseason chase.

Conversely, the Flyers arrive in Ontario with a more stable outlook, sporting a 27-21-11 record and looking like a team that understands its identity. While not a dominant powerhouse, Philadelphia has remained a pesky out for top-tier opponents, utilizing a gritty, balanced approach that has kept them firmly in the hunt within the Metropolitan Division.

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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L GD
11 Philadelphia Flyers
98 4162 27 27 +7
28 Toronto Maple Leafs
78 2377 23 36 -46

Toronto Maple Leafs and Philadelphia Flyers Latest Matches

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs Latest matches
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Feb 28, 2026 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
2 :  5
Ottawa Senators

Feb 26, 2026 - NHL

Florida Panthers
5 :  1
Toronto Maple Leafs

Feb 25, 2026 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
4 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Feb 3, 2026 - NHL

Edmonton Oilers
2 :  5
Toronto Maple Leafs

Feb 2, 2026 - NHL

Calgary Flames
2 :  4
Toronto Maple Leafs

Jan 31, 2026 - NHL

Vancouver Canucks
2 :  3
Toronto Maple Leafs
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Feb 28, 2026 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
2 :  5
Ottawa Senators

Jan 27, 2026 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
4 :  7
Buffalo Sabres

Jan 25, 2026 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
1 :  4
Colorado Avalanche

Jan 23, 2026 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3 :  6
Vegas Golden Knights

Jan 21, 2026 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
1 :  2
Detroit Red Wings

Jan 19, 2026 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3 :  6
Minnesota Wild
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Feb 26, 2026 - NHL

Florida Panthers
5 :  1
Toronto Maple Leafs

Feb 25, 2026 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
4 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Feb 3, 2026 - NHL

Edmonton Oilers
2 :  5
Toronto Maple Leafs

Feb 2, 2026 - NHL

Calgary Flames
2 :  4
Toronto Maple Leafs

Jan 31, 2026 - NHL

Vancouver Canucks
2 :  3
Toronto Maple Leafs

Jan 29, 2026 - NHL

Seattle Kraken
5 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs
Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia Flyers Latest matches
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Feb 28, 2026 - NHL

Philadelphia Flyers
3 :  1
Boston Bruins

Feb 26, 2026 - NHL

New York Rangers
2 :  3
Philadelphia Flyers

Feb 25, 2026 - NHL

Washington Capitals
3 :  1
Philadelphia Flyers

Feb 5, 2026 - NHL

Philadelphia Flyers
1 :  2
Ottawa Senators

Feb 3, 2026 - NHL

Philadelphia Flyers
4 :  2
Washington Capitals

Jan 31, 2026 - NHL

Philadelphia Flyers
2 :  3
Los Angeles Kings
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Feb 28, 2026 - NHL

Philadelphia Flyers
3 :  1
Boston Bruins

Feb 5, 2026 - NHL

Philadelphia Flyers
1 :  2
Ottawa Senators

Feb 3, 2026 - NHL

Philadelphia Flyers
4 :  2
Washington Capitals

Jan 31, 2026 - NHL

Philadelphia Flyers
2 :  3
Los Angeles Kings

Jan 26, 2026 - NHL

Philadelphia Flyers
0 :  4
New York Islanders

Jan 17, 2026 - NHL

Philadelphia Flyers
3 :  6
New York Rangers
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Feb 26, 2026 - NHL

New York Rangers
2 :  3
Philadelphia Flyers

Feb 25, 2026 - NHL

Washington Capitals
3 :  1
Philadelphia Flyers

Jan 29, 2026 - NHL

Boston Bruins
6 :  3
Philadelphia Flyers

Jan 28, 2026 - NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets
5 :  3
Philadelphia Flyers

Jan 23, 2026 - NHL

Colorado Avalanche
3 :  7
Philadelphia Flyers

Jan 21, 2026 - NHL

Utah Mammoth
5 :  4
Philadelphia Flyers

Toronto Maple Leafs against Philadelphia Flyers : Head to Head (H2H)

Toronto Maple Leafs

83 %

Philadelphia Flyers

17 %

Jan 8, 2026 - NHL

Philadelphia Flyers
1 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 1, 2025 - NHL

Philadelphia Flyers
2 :  5
Toronto Maple Leafs

Mar 25, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
7 :  2
Philadelphia Flyers

Jan 5, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3 :  2
Philadelphia Flyers

Mar 19, 2024 - NHL

Philadelphia Flyers
4 :  3
Toronto Maple Leafs

Apr 19, 2022 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
5 :  2
Philadelphia Flyers

Players list

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs

J. Woll

A. Stolarz

O. Ekman-Larsson

S. Benoit

P. Myers

M. Rielly

J. McCabe

B. Carlo

D. Joshua

E. Cowan

B. McMann

M. Knies

M. Maccelli

M. Domi

W. Nylander

S. Laughton

J. Tavares

N. Roy

S. Lorentz

A. Matthews

Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia Flyers

S. Ersson

D. Vladar

C. York

J. Drysdale

E. Andrae

N. Seeler

R. Ristolainen

T. Sanheim

N. Cates

O. Tippett

T. Zegras

B. Brink

N. Grebenkin

M. Michkov

N. Deslauriers

S. Couturier

C. Grundstrom

G. Hathaway

C. Dvorak

D. Barkey

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Toronto Maple Leafs
CD Huachipato Philadelphia Flyers
Top Goalscorer
Canada J. Tavares (31 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Best assists
Sweden W. Nylander (49 Assists)
Best assists
USA T. Zegras (45 Assists)
Canada T. Konecny (45 Assists)

Toronto Maple Leafs - Philadelphia Flyers Key Points

  1. The Over is 0-5 in the Flyers' last 5 games
  2. The Over is 1-0-4 in the Leafs' last 5 games
  3. The Flyers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  4. The Leafs are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
Up to $250 to bet on Toronto Maple Leafs - Philadelphia Flyers! 

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Our Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction

All eyes are on Toronto rookie Easton Cowan, who has been a bright spot in an otherwise dim season. Cowan, who has tallied 17 points in 43 games this year, recently drew back into the lineup after a brief stint as a healthy scratch, with Berube hoping the 20-year-old's swagger can ignite a dormant offense. On the blue line, the Leafs are finally seeing some health return, with Morgan Rielly and Matthew Knies back at practice, though defenseman Chris Tanev remains a major question mark with a lingering groin injury.

The Flyers, meanwhile, have been active on the transaction wire, recalling defenseman Adam Ginning from Lehigh Valley on March 1 to provide much-needed depth. Ginning has only seen five NHL games this year but is expected to step in as the Flyers manage minor bumps and bruises across their defensive pairings. In terms of the betting landscape, the Flyers hold the upper hand in this contest.

Toronto's abysmal home record and the psychological weight of their current slide make them a risky pick, whereas Philadelphia's consistency and the Leafs' defensive injuries suggest the visitors are primed to steal two points on the road. Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Philadelphia Flyers: Under 5.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Under 5.5

+120
$250 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers Picks