Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9/28/25 13:00
Philadelphia Eagles

Prediction:

 

Under 41.5

+121
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 by Erik Gibbs | in NFL Picks

The Philadelphia Eagles and Tampa Bay Buccaneers will meet in Tampa on Sunday in what shapes up as one of the best early-season showdowns, with both clubs entering at 3-0. Each squad comes off a nail-biting win in Week 3, with Philadelphia edging the Rams 33-26 at home and Tampa Bay slipping past the Jets 29-27 on the road.

The Eagles have leaned on balance, ranking 29th in passing offense but 14th in rushing, while Tampa Bay has found success on the ground, sitting 7th in rushing offense but just 22nd in passing. Statistically, Philadelphia has the higher-ranked scoring offense, but both defenses have allowed more than 20 points per game, making this a potential shootout.

This game sets up as a test of Philadelphia’s ability to slow down an explosive Tampa Bay passing attack while keeping their own ground game in rhythm. The Eagles defense, middle-of-the-pack in scoring allowed, will need to step up to avoid getting carved apart by Mayfield and company. On the flip side, the Buccaneers defense has struggled to close out games, and against a team that thrives in late-game situations, that could be costly.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
10 Philadelphia Eagles
0.647 17 11 6
16 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0.471 17 8 9

Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Philadelphia Eagles Latest Matches

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
29 :  27
New York Jets

Sep 15, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
19 :  20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
20 :  23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jan 12, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20 :  23
Washington Commanders

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
27 :  19
New Orleans Saints

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
48 :  14
Carolina Panthers
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
29 :  27
New York Jets

Jan 12, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20 :  23
Washington Commanders

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
27 :  19
New Orleans Saints

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
48 :  14
Carolina Panthers

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
28 :  13
Las Vegas Raiders

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20 :  23
San Francisco 49ers
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 15, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
19 :  20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
20 :  23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
26 :  24
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
17 :  40
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nov 24, 2024 - NFL

New York Giants
7 :  30
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nov 4, 2024 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
30 :  24
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
33 :  26
Los Angeles Rams

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
17 :  20
Philadelphia Eagles

Sep 4, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
24 :  20
Dallas Cowboys

Feb 9, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
40 :  22
Kansas City Chiefs

Jan 26, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
55 :  23
Washington Commanders

Jan 19, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
28 :  22
Los Angeles Rams
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
33 :  26
Los Angeles Rams

Sep 4, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
24 :  20
Dallas Cowboys

Feb 9, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
40 :  22
Kansas City Chiefs

Jan 26, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
55 :  23
Washington Commanders

Jan 19, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
28 :  22
Los Angeles Rams

Jan 12, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
22 :  10
Green Bay Packers
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
17 :  20
Philadelphia Eagles

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Washington Commanders
36 :  33
Philadelphia Eagles

Nov 24, 2024 - NFL

Los Angeles Rams
20 :  37
Philadelphia Eagles

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
6 :  34
Philadelphia Eagles

Oct 27, 2024 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
17 :  37
Philadelphia Eagles

Oct 20, 2024 - NFL

New York Giants
3 :  28
Philadelphia Eagles

Tampa Bay Buccaneers against Philadelphia Eagles : Head to Head (H2H)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

75 %

Philadelphia Eagles

25 %

Sep 29, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
33 :  16
Philadelphia Eagles

Jan 15, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
32 :  9
Philadelphia Eagles

Sep 25, 2023 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
11 :  25
Philadelphia Eagles

Jan 16, 2022 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
31 :  15
Philadelphia Eagles

Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Philadelphia Eagles Key Points

  1. The Under is 9-1 in the Eagles’ last 10 road games vs. NFC South teams
  2. The Under is 4-0 in the Bucs’ last 4 games vs. the Eagles after a win
  3. The Eagles are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Sunday games
  4. The Bucs are 1-9 in their last 10 games vs. teams on a winning streak

Our Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction

Philadelphia continues to grind out close victories behind Jalen Hurts, who has thrown for 479 yards and three touchdowns while completing over 70 percent of his attempts. The addition of Saquon Barkley has boosted their run game, as he has tallied 194 yards and two touchdowns while giving the offense a reliable tempo-setter.

A.J. Brown remains the primary target through the air, already racking up 144 receiving yards and a touchdown. Injuries on the offensive line are a concern, but the unit has held firm through three weeks, keeping Hurts comfortable enough to make plays when needed.

Tampa Bay, meanwhile, is thriving under Baker Mayfield’s hot start. Mayfield has thrown for 615 yards and six touchdowns with only two turnovers, showing improved decision-making while spreading the ball effectively.

His top connection has been with Emeka Egbuka, who has 181 receiving yards and three touchdowns, while rookie back Bucky Irving has added balance on the ground with 174 rushing yards. The Buccaneers have played with fire in all three games so far, but their offensive efficiency in key spots has allowed them to remain undefeated.

Both teams are comfortable in tight contests, and turnovers will likely swing the outcome. While Tampa Bay’s passing attack is more explosive right now, the Eagles’ balance and experience in finishing close games give them a slight edge. Expect another hard-fought battle, but Philadelphia looks a touch more complete and could escape Tampa with a 4-0 record. Our prediction for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Philadelphia Eagles: Under 41.5

Prediction:

 

Under 41.5

+121
$200 offered for betting!

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles Picks