Paraguay vs France Prediction & Picks - World Cup

World - World Cup

Paraguay
7/4/26 17:00
France

Prediction:

 

France to Win & Under 3.5 Goals

-105
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in World Cup Picks

Having pulled off something of a giant-killing by defeating the Germans on penalties, the Paraguayans are through to the Round-of-16, but life is about to get even tougher for the South Americans, who will take on what is arguably the best of the bunch in France.

We knew that this Paraguay team had fight and spirit in abundance, and they once again showed that they can tussle until the death during the first round of knockout games, holding the Germans to a tie, before winning on penalties. Unfortunately, they’ll need to pull out an awful lot more to get the better of a French team that brushed aside the Swedes with ease. 

From a betting point of view, it could pay to take ‘France to Win & Under 3.5 Goals’ at odds of -105. We know that Les Bleus have more than enough quality to leave their opponents behind, but the South Americans won’t open up and leave much space in behind, while Didier Deschamps’ men may be looking to save themselves for tougher tasks.

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Paraguay vs France Form

Paraguay and France Latest Matches

Paraguay
Paraguay Latest matches
L W L W D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 29, 2026 - World Cup

Germany
1 :  1
Paraguay

Jun 25, 2026 - World Cup

Paraguay
0 :  0
Australia

Jun 19, 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
0 :  1
Paraguay

Jun 12, 2026 - World Cup

USA
4 :  1
Paraguay

Jun 5, 2026 - International Friendlies

Paraguay
4 :  0
Nicaragua

Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

Morocco
2 :  1
Paraguay
W W W D W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 25, 2026 - World Cup

Paraguay
0 :  0
Australia

Jun 5, 2026 - International Friendlies

Paraguay
4 :  0
Nicaragua

Sep 4, 2025 - World Cup

Paraguay
0 :  0
Ecuador

Jun 5, 2025 - World Cup

Paraguay
2 :  0
Uruguay

Mar 20, 2025 - World Cup

Paraguay
1 :  0
Chile

Nov 14, 2024 - World Cup

Paraguay
2 :  1
Argentina
W W L L W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 29, 2026 - World Cup

Germany
1 :  1
Paraguay

Jun 19, 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
0 :  1
Paraguay

Jun 12, 2026 - World Cup

USA
4 :  1
Paraguay

Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

Morocco
2 :  1
Paraguay

Mar 27, 2026 - International Friendlies

Greece
0 :  1
Paraguay

Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  2
Paraguay
France
France Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Jun 30, 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  0
Sweden

Jun 26, 2026 - World Cup

Norway
1 :  4
France

Jun 22, 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  0
Iraq

Jun 16, 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  1
Senegal

Jun 8, 2026 - International Friendlies

France
3 :  1
Northern Ireland

Jun 4, 2026 - International Friendlies

France
1 :  2
Ivory Coast
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Jun 30, 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  0
Sweden

Jun 22, 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  0
Iraq

Jun 16, 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  1
Senegal

Jun 8, 2026 - International Friendlies

France
3 :  1
Northern Ireland

Jun 4, 2026 - International Friendlies

France
1 :  2
Ivory Coast

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

France
4 :  0
Ukraine
W D W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jun 26, 2026 - World Cup

Norway
1 :  4
France

Mar 29, 2026 - International Friendlies

Colombia
1 :  3
France

Mar 26, 2026 - International Friendlies

Brazil
1 :  2
France

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Azerbaijan
1 :  3
France

Oct 13, 2025 - World Cup

Iceland
2 :  2
France

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Ukraine
0 :  2
France

Paraguay against France : Head to Head (H2H)

Paraguay

0 %

Draw

0 %

France

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

5
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0
Goals scored
5
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Jun 2, 2017 - International Friendlies

France
5 :  0
Paraguay

Paraguay - France: Form Analysis

When the Paraguayans struggled to keep tabs on the Stars and Stripes during the first round of group games, losing by four goals to one, they appeared to be one of the least likely Round-of-16 candidates, but thanks to a gutsy win against Turkey next time out, Gustavo Alfaro’s men turned their fortunes around, tying with the Aussies during the final round of group games to earn a place in the knockouts. And well, didn’t they prove to be a worthy knockout team by defeating the Germans. 

Off the back of running riot last time out, Les Bleus should be hugely confident of making the last eight. 

The French were always going to make the knockouts, let’s be honest. They did just that with ease, winning three out of three, scoring for fun in the process. A Round-of-32 match against the Swedes was never going to be a huge problem for Didier Deschamps’ men, who simply operated at a completely different level to their sorry-looking opponents. Off the back of running riot last time out, Les Bleus should be hugely confident of making the last eight. 

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Paraguay vs France Picks

France v Paraguay last Lineups

Paraguay

Formation : 4 - 5 - 1

12
O. Gill
4
J. Caceres
15
G. Gomez
13
J. Canale
6
J. Alonso
10
M. Almiron
16
D. Bobadilla
14
A. Cubas
23
M. Galarza
19
J. Enciso
21
G. Avalos
10
K. Mbappe
12
B. Barcola
11
M. Olise
7
O. Dembele
14
A. Rabiot
8
A. Tchouameni
3
L. Digne
17
W. Saliba
4
D. Upamecano
5
J. Kounde
16
M. Maignan

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

France

Substitutes

Paraguay
Paraguay
Goalkeeper

G. Olveira

G. Fernandez

Defender

A. Maidana

F. Balbuena

G. Velazquez

O. Alderete

Midfielder

G. Caballero

R. Sosa

B. Ojeda

Mauricio

Forward

A. Arce

A. Sanabria

A. Romero Gamarra

I. Pitta

France
France
Goalkeeper

R. Risser

B. Samba

Defender

L. Hernandez

T. Hernandez

I. Konate

M. Lacroix

M. Gusto

Midfielder

N. Kante

R. Cherki

M. Kone

M. Akliouche

W. Zaire-Emery

Forward

D. Doue

M. Thuram

J. Mateta

Missing players

Paraguay
Paraguay
Defender

O. Alderete

Forward

G. Avalos

J. Enciso

France
France
Forward

M. Thuram

Paraguay & France Squad Analysis

The Paraguayans fought for their lives against the Germans, delivering a disciplined and hugely spirited performance, so there’s no reason why Gustavo Alfaro will make changes here. The same XI is expected to take to the field in Philadelphia, where the lively Julion Enciso will once again lead the way for Paraguay on the break.

He should start again here, while the wonderfully creative Michael Olise will once again be deployed alongside Ousmane Dembele and Kylian Mbappe, completing a deadly front four.

There’s no need for Didier Deschamps to tinker with his team after that demolition of Sweden. Since coming in ahead of the second round of group games, Bradley Barcola has been fantastic, scoring twice. He should start again here, while the wonderfully creative Michael Olise will once again be deployed alongside Ousmane Dembele and Kylian Mbappe, completing a deadly front four.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Paraguay
CD Huachipato France
Top Goalscorer
Paraguay Mauricio (1 Goals)
Paraguay M. Galarza (1 Goals)
Paraguay J. Enciso (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (6 Goals)
Best assists
Paraguay J. Enciso (2 Assists)
Best assists
France M. Olise (5 Assists)

Paraguay - France Key Points

  1. During the last round, both teams were involved in games containing less than four goals.
  2. Only three goals have been scored in Paraguay's last three games at this tournament.
  3. Less than four goals have been scored in five of the last six matches that these two teams have played at this tournament.
  4. It's likely that the French will be looking to keep something in reserve ahead of a tougher match in the next round.
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Our Paraguay vs France Prediction

If the French went out and scored five or six against just about any opponent, then it wouldn’t be surprising, such is the level of offensive talent that Didier Deschamps has at his disposal. However, after seeing Sweden beaten with ease, the Paraguayans will do everything that they can to sit deep and frustrate, while the French will definitely want to win this relatively easy game without fully extending themselves, leaving plenty in reserve for the quarter-finals. 

Our Paraguay vs France Pick: France to Win & Under 3.5 Goals. 

Prediction:

 

France to Win & Under 3.5 Goals

-105
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Paraguay vs France - Other Interesting Picks

France to Win

Odds -450
If value is not your thing, or if you’re simply looking for a hugely likely winner to slightly bolster your parlay, then the French win fits the bill. There really is no way we can spin this to suggest that the Paraguayans have anything more than the slightest chance of avoiding defeat against the team that is arguably the best in world soccer right now.
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Paraguay vs France match : Frequently asked questions

The World Cup match between Paraguay and France is scheduled for 07/04/2026 at 5:00 pm ET in Philly.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.