Paraguay vs Ecuador Prediction & Picks - World Cup

World - World Cup

Paraguay
9/4/25 19:30
Ecuador

Prediction:

 

Draw and under 2.5 goals

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 by Simon Day in World Cup Picks

Paraguay need just one point from their final two qualification games to secure a place at World Cup 2026. Their first opportunity comes on Thursday evening, when they host Ecuador at the Defensores del Chaco Stadium in Asunción. The Ecuadorians have already booked their place at next year's tournament, thanks to a superb qualification campgin in which they have lost just two of their 16 matches so far. Remarkably, Ecuador have conceded just five goals in those sixteen games, a record that has gone a long may to negate their largely underwhelming attacking displays. 

Paraguay's strong position is largely due to a record of five wins and just one defeat from their last nine qualification games. They could have sealed their World Cup spot last time out, but fell to an agonzing 1-0 defeat in Brazil. With a potentially tricky trip to Peru coming up next week, coach Gustavo Alfaro will be keen for his side to get the job done on Thursday and avoid a nervous final game.

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Paraguay vs Ecuador Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Ecuador
Ecuador
25 16 7 7 2 8
5
Paraguay
Paraguay
24 16 6 6 4 3

Paraguay and Ecuador Latest Matches

Paraguay
Paraguay Latest matches
W D W D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 10, 2025 - World Cup

Brazil
1 :  0
Paraguay

Jun 5, 2025 - World Cup

Paraguay
2 :  0
Uruguay

Mar 25, 2025 - World Cup

Colombia
2 :  2
Paraguay

Mar 20, 2025 - World Cup

Paraguay
1 :  0
Chile

Nov 19, 2024 - World Cup

Bolivia
2 :  2
Paraguay

Nov 14, 2024 - World Cup

Paraguay
2 :  1
Argentina
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 5, 2025 - World Cup

Paraguay
2 :  0
Uruguay

Mar 20, 2025 - World Cup

Paraguay
1 :  0
Chile

Nov 14, 2024 - World Cup

Paraguay
2 :  1
Argentina

Oct 15, 2024 - World Cup

Paraguay
2 :  1
Venezuela

Sep 10, 2024 - World Cup

Paraguay
1 :  0
Brazil

Jun 28, 2024 - Copa America

Paraguay
1 :  4
Brazil
L D D D D L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 10, 2025 - World Cup

Brazil
1 :  0
Paraguay

Mar 25, 2025 - World Cup

Colombia
2 :  2
Paraguay

Nov 19, 2024 - World Cup

Bolivia
2 :  2
Paraguay

Oct 10, 2024 - World Cup

Ecuador
0 :  0
Paraguay

Sep 6, 2024 - World Cup

Uruguay
0 :  0
Paraguay

Jul 2, 2024 - Copa America

Costa Rica
2 :  1
Paraguay
Ecuador
Ecuador Latest matches
W W W D D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 10, 2025 - World Cup

Peru
0 :  0
Ecuador

Jun 5, 2025 - World Cup

Ecuador
0 :  0
Brazil

Mar 25, 2025 - World Cup

Chile
0 :  0
Ecuador

Mar 21, 2025 - World Cup

Ecuador
2 :  1
Venezuela

Nov 19, 2024 - World Cup

Colombia
0 :  1
Ecuador

Nov 14, 2024 - World Cup

Ecuador
4 :  0
Bolivia
W W D W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 5, 2025 - World Cup

Ecuador
0 :  0
Brazil

Mar 21, 2025 - World Cup

Ecuador
2 :  1
Venezuela

Nov 14, 2024 - World Cup

Ecuador
4 :  0
Bolivia

Oct 10, 2024 - World Cup

Ecuador
0 :  0
Paraguay

Sep 10, 2024 - World Cup

Ecuador
1 :  0
Peru

Jun 26, 2024 - Copa America

Ecuador
3 :  1
Jamaica
D L D W D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

0.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

Jun 10, 2025 - World Cup

Peru
0 :  0
Ecuador

Mar 25, 2025 - World Cup

Chile
0 :  0
Ecuador

Nov 19, 2024 - World Cup

Colombia
0 :  1
Ecuador

Oct 15, 2024 - World Cup

Uruguay
0 :  0
Ecuador

Sep 6, 2024 - World Cup

Brazil
1 :  0
Ecuador

Jul 4, 2024 - Copa America

Argentina
1 :  1
Ecuador

Paraguay against Ecuador : Head to Head (H2H)

Paraguay

33 %

Draw

33 %

Ecuador

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
33%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

Oct 10, 2024 - World Cup

Ecuador
0 :  0
Paraguay

Mar 24, 2022 - World Cup

Paraguay
3 :  1
Ecuador

Sep 2, 2021 - World Cup

Ecuador
2 :  0
Paraguay

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Paraguay
CD Huachipato Ecuador
Top Goalscorer
Paraguay A. Sanabria (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Ecuador E. Valencia (5 Goals)

Paraguay - Ecuador Key Points

  1. Both sides have scored 13 goals in their 16 qualification games
  2. Ecuador's last 3 games have all finished 0-0
  3. Paraguay have lost just 1 of their last 9 matches
  4. Ecuador's last 10 games have produced just 10 goals
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Our Paraguay vs Ecuador Prediction

Both teams have been solid rather than spectacular during qualification, so we are not expecting a goalfest on Thursday night. It is also worth noting that both Ecuador and Paraguay have been extremely hard to beat over the last 12 months, so there is a very high chance that they will cancel each other out. With Paraguay needing just a point to qualify, this looks set to be a dour and low-scoring encounter with very little goalmouth action. 

Our prediction for Paraguay vs Ecuador is: Draw and under 2.5 goals..

Prediction:

 

Draw and under 2.5 goals

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Paraguay vs Ecuador Picks
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