Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction & Picks - NHL
USA - NHL
New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Travis Pulver | in NHL Picks
The Toronto Maple Leafs (27-23-9, 16-9-6 Home) will try to get back on the right side of the scoreboard Saturday night, February 28, when they host the Ottawa Senators (28-22-8, 14-12-3 Away). Fans can follow the action when the puck drops at the Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON, at 8 p.m. EST on ESPN+.
Toronto went into the Break on a three-game win streak. They came back on Wednesday, Feb. 25, with a game on the road against the Atlantic Division-leading Tampa Bay Lightning and lost. A trip to Sunrise, FL, for a game with the Florida Panthers followed. The Panthers got out to a 3-0 lead enroute to a 5-1 win. As for Ottawa, the Senators have only had one game since play resumed, a date with the Detroit Red Wings on Thursday, a game they lost in overtime, 2-1. This game will be the second of four scheduled between Toronto and Ottawa this season. They met for the first time in Toronto on December 27, 2025. It was a high-scoring affair, with both teams scoring in every period; Toronto won, 7-5. The remaining two games after this one will both be held at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
99 | 1612 | 38 | 27 | +32 |
|
28
|
78 | 2377 | 23 | 36 | -46 |
Toronto Maple Leafs and Ottawa Senators Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Feb 28, 2026 - NHL
Feb 26, 2026 - NHL
Feb 25, 2026 - NHL
Feb 3, 2026 - NHL
Feb 2, 2026 - NHL
Jan 31, 2026 - NHL
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Feb 28, 2026 - NHL
Jan 27, 2026 - NHL
Jan 25, 2026 - NHL
Jan 23, 2026 - NHL
Jan 21, 2026 - NHL
Jan 19, 2026 - NHL
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Feb 26, 2026 - NHL
Feb 25, 2026 - NHL
Feb 3, 2026 - NHL
Feb 2, 2026 - NHL
Jan 31, 2026 - NHL
Jan 29, 2026 - NHL
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Feb 28, 2026 - NHL
Feb 26, 2026 - NHL
Feb 5, 2026 - NHL
Feb 3, 2026 - NHL
Feb 2, 2026 - NHL
Jan 31, 2026 - NHL
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Feb 26, 2026 - NHL
Jan 31, 2026 - NHL
Jan 28, 2026 - NHL
Jan 25, 2026 - NHL
Jan 24, 2026 - NHL
Jan 17, 2026 - NHL
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Feb 28, 2026 - NHL
Feb 5, 2026 - NHL
Feb 3, 2026 - NHL
Feb 2, 2026 - NHL
Jan 22, 2026 - NHL
Jan 20, 2026 - NHL
Toronto Maple Leafs against Ottawa Senators : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Feb 28, 2026 - NHL
Dec 27, 2025 - NHL
May 1, 2025 - NHL
Apr 26, 2025 - NHL
Dec 27, 2023 - NHL
Dec 7, 2023 - NHL
Players list
J. Woll
A. Stolarz
S. Benoit
T. Stecher
O. Ekman-Larsson
M. Rielly
B. Carlo
J. McCabe
D. Joshua
N. Robertson
M. Maccelli
B. McMann
M. Knies
W. Nylander
S. Laughton
J. Tavares
M. Domi
N. Roy
A. Matthews
E. Cowan
L. Ullmark
J. Reimer
T. Kleven
J. Sanderson
J. Spence
T. Chabot
A. Zub
N. Jensen
L. Eller
S. Pinto
D. Cozens
B. Tkachuk
D. Batherson
F. Zetterlund
S. Halliday
R. Greig
T. Stutzle
M. Amadio
N. Cousins
C. Giroux
Most goals and assists
Toronto Maple Leafs
Ottawa Senators
J. Tavares
(31 Goals)
D. Batherson
(35 Goals)
W. Nylander
(49 Assists)
T. Stutzle
(49 Assists)
Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators Key Points
- Toronto leads the all-time series vs. Ottawa, 89-80-3-6.
- Ottawa is 14-15 ATS on the road; Toronto is 13-18 ATS at home.
- The OVER is 18-13 for Toronto at home and 18-11 for Ottawa on the road.
- Betting Public: 86% of TOTAL tickets and 87% of the handle are on the OVER.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction
With how Toronto’s offense has struggled in the first two games back, I wanted to go with the UNDER. Yes, they did play one of the best teams in the league (Tampa Bay), but Florida is nothing special. But the stats are pretty overwhelming in favor of the OVER. So, I’m going to hope the Maple Leafs can get it together on offense this time.
Our Ottawa vs. Toronto Pick: OVER 5.5
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
