San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks - NBA
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by Lou Aguila | in NBA Picks
Holding a 16-4 record at home in their last 20 games, the San Antonio Spurs find themselves in a strong position to secure the pivotal Game 3 and clear a manageable -2.0 point handicap.
The Series So Far: The Western Conference finals will shift to San Antonio with the series tied at 1-1.
The Spurs claimed Game 1 in double overtime, 122-115, behind an out-of-this -world performance from Victor Wembanyama, who chalked up 41 points, 24 rebounds, and 3 blocks.
The Thunder responded to the challenge by securing the win in Game 2. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander bounced back from a so-so showing in Game as he delivered 30 points on 12 for 24 shooting with 9 assists.
The Matchup: The series might be tied at 1-1, but San Antonio has won 5 of their last 7 meetings with Oklahoma City.
San Antonio averages 117.0 points per game on 48.5 FG% in these playoffs, while OKC leads in this category at 120.7 points per game on 49.5 FG%.
Players to Watch: Spurs center Victor Wembanyama averages 31.0 points, 20.0 points and 3.5 blocks per game after two games in this series.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 27.0 points and 10.5 assists in this series.
Hot on the Board:
70 percent of the early moneyline bets have gone to the OKC Thunder, who commands a +105 underdog price and -110 to cover +2.0 line.
The Spurs, 16-4 in their last 20 games at home, will walk into the arena as a slight favorite at -125.
Caesars Sportsbook adjusted the total for the third time in this series, lowering it to over/under 213.0 points from 215.5 points in Game 2 and 219.5 points in Game 1. The first two games hit the Over despite seeing high-level defense and physicality from both teams.
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San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form
San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
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San Antonio Spurs against Oklahoma City Thunder : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
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Players list
J. Champagnie
S. Castle
D. Fox
A. Mitchell
L. Dort
Substitutes
D. Harper
J. McLaughlin
L. Waters III
H. Barnes
C. Bryant
I. Joe
N. Topic
C. Wallace
J. McCain
A. Caruso
A. Wiggins
J. Williams
San Antonio Spurs - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points
- Oklahoma City is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games against San Antonio.
- Oklahoma City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games against San Antonio.
- San Antonio is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games.
- San Antonio is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home.
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Our San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
Best Pick: Pick the Spurs to cover -2.0 points. San Antonio is 3-1 in their last 4 home games in this postseason. Powered by an ever-passionate crowd in San Antonio, the Spurs will always be a tough team to beat whenever they play on their home floor. San Antonio has also performed well against the spread in these playoffs, going 8-3 in their last 11 games. OKC is 2-5 against the spread in their last 7 games.
Like in the first two games, expect a highly physical contest with multiple momentum swings and lead changes throughout the match.
However, the Spurs will eventually get the job done this time around by coming through with clutch buckets down the stretch and putting Victor Wembanyama in a better position to dominate inside after being restrained by the roughhousing tactics from OKC big man Isaiah Hartenstein in Game 2.
The Spurs already offer solid value at -130 on the moneyline, but I would recommend backing them to cover -2.0 points for a slightly higher payout at -110.
Our betting prediction for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs. the San Antonio Spurs: The Spurs -2.0 points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
