Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
5/24/25 20:30
Oklahoma City Thunder

Prediction:

 

Oklahoma City Thunder 3rd Quarter Money Line

-128
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in NBA Picks

Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Oklahoma City Thunder will take place on Saturday at the Target Center in Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this crucial Game 3 to see if the Thunder can take a commanding lead in the series or if the Timberwolves will get back into this series with a home win.

Oklahoma City enters this game having successfully defended their home court with two convincing wins. They now lead this series two games to zero after winning 118-103 in Game 2 this past Thursday night. The Thunder had three players score in double figures, though all three of these guys scored at least 22 points or more. That being Chet Holmgren, who scored 22 points, Jalen Williams, who scored 26 points, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who scored a game-high 38 points.

As for Minnesota, they are in danger of their season coming to an end if they cannot find a way to win Game 3. The Timberwolves had four players score in double figures in Game 2, including Anthony Edwards, who scored a team-high 32 points.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form

Minnesota Timberwolves and Oklahoma City Thunder Latest Matches

Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 22, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
118 :  103
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 20, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
114 :  88
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 14, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
121 :  110
Golden State Warriors

May 12, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
110 :  117
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 10, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
97 :  102
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 8, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
117 :  93
Golden State Warriors
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 14, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
121 :  110
Golden State Warriors

May 8, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
117 :  93
Golden State Warriors

May 6, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
88 :  99
Golden State Warriors

Apr 27, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
116 :  113
Los Angeles Lakers

Apr 25, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
116 :  104
Los Angeles Lakers

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
116 :  105
Utah Jazz
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 22, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
118 :  103
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 20, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
114 :  88
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 12, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
110 :  117
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 10, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
97 :  102
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 30, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
96 :  103
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 22, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
94 :  85
Minnesota Timberwolves
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 22, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
118 :  103
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 20, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
114 :  88
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 18, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
125 :  93
Denver Nuggets

May 15, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
119 :  107
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 13, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
112 :  105
Denver Nuggets

May 11, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
87 :  92
Oklahoma City Thunder
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 22, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
118 :  103
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 20, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
114 :  88
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 18, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
125 :  93
Denver Nuggets

May 13, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
112 :  105
Denver Nuggets

May 7, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
149 :  106
Denver Nuggets

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
119 :  121
Denver Nuggets
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 15, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
119 :  107
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 11, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
87 :  92
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 9, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
113 :  104
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
115 :  117
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 24, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
108 :  114
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
100 :  115
Oklahoma City Thunder

Minnesota Timberwolves against Oklahoma City Thunder : Head to Head (H2H)

Minnesota Timberwolves

33 %

Oklahoma City Thunder

67 %

May 22, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
118 :  103
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 20, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
114 :  88
Minnesota Timberwolves

Feb 24, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
128 :  131
Minnesota Timberwolves

Feb 23, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
123 :  130
Oklahoma City Thunder

Feb 13, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
116 :  101
Oklahoma City Thunder

Dec 31, 2024 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
113 :  105
Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves - Oklahoma City Thunder: Form Analysis

With the win in Game 2, the Thunder have now won three games in a row, going back to their Game 7 victory against the Denver Nuggets. During this stretch, they have won by an average margin of 24.3 points per game. Further, their defense has allowed an average of 94.6 during this stretch, while they are scoring an average of 119 points per game.

“Oklahoma City has the number one ranked defense in the playoffs of the teams remaining, allowing 102.8 points per game.”

Minnesota, on the other hand, has lost two games in a row for the first time in this postseason. The good news is that the Timberwolves are 4-1 at home during the playoffs, winning their games by an average margin of 12.5 points per game.

Players list

Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves
R. Gobert J. Randle

A. Edwards

M. Conley

J. McDaniels

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
C. Holmgren J. Williams I. Hartenstein S. Gilgeous-Alexander

L. Dort

Substitutes

Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves
N. Reid L. Garza

T. Shannon Jr.

J. Clark

N. Alexander-Walker

D. DiVincenzo

R. Dillingham

J. Minott

L. Miller

J. Ingles

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
K. Williams

A. Mitchell

C. Wallace

I. Joe

A. Caruso

A. Wiggins

J. Williams

D. Jones

O. Dieng

Minnesota Timberwolves & Oklahoma City Thunder Squad Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been by far the best player for the Thunder, not only in this series but in their postseason run. Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 29.8 points per game in the playoffs and 34.5 points per game in the series. He is also shooting 22 of 48 (45.8%) in the series from the field.

“Aside from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams is averaging 22.5 points per game in the series, and Chet Holmgren is averaging 18.5 points per game in the series.”

For Minnesota, Anthony Edwards has been their best player in the playoffs and in this series. Edwards is averaging 26.3 points per game in the playoffs and 25 points per game in this series. Further, Edwards is shooting 17 of 39 (43.6%) from the field.

Minnesota Timberwolves - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points

  1. Minnesota is 4-1 SU at home in the playoffs
  2. Oklahoma City is 3-2 SU on the road in the playoffs
  3. Oklahoma City is averaging 116 points per game in the series
  4. Minnesota is averaging 95.5 points per game in the series

Our Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

The point spread has significantly changed for Game 3, with the Thunder only set as a small favorite. You have to think that at some point, the Timberwolves will find their rhythm and start to be competitive in this series, while maybe even winning a game. 

One area that has been consistent in this series so far is the Thunder’s dominance in the 3rd quarter. Oklahoma City has outscored Minnesota in the 3rd quarter 67 to 39 over the first two games of this series. Based on this, our Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction is: Oklahoma City Thunder 3rd Quarter Money Line.

Prediction:

 

Oklahoma City Thunder 3rd Quarter Money Line

-128
$350 offered for betting!

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder - Other Interesting Picks

Jalen Williams Over 20.5 Points

Odds -132

Our second prediction for Game 3 between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Minnesota Timberwolves will target Jalen Williams from the Thunder to go over his points prop of 20.5. Williams has been huge for the Thunder in the playoffs, averaging 20.1 points per game. In this series, he is averaging 22.5 points per game and scored over 20.5 points in Game 2 on Thursday night. 

Further, Williams has scored at least 21 points in 6 of the Thunder’s 13 playoff games; therefore, our second Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction is: Jalen Williams Over 20.5 Points.
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks