Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
5/24/25 20:30
Minnesota Timberwolves

Prediction:

 

Oklahoma City Thunder 3rd Quarter Money Line

-128
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 by Matt Lowrimore in NBA Picks

Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Oklahoma City Thunder will take place on Saturday at the Target Center in Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this crucial Game 3 to see if the Thunder can take a commanding lead in the series or if the Timberwolves will get back into this series with a home win.

Oklahoma City enters this game having successfully defended their home court with two convincing wins. They now lead this series two games to zero after winning 118-103 in Game 2 this past Thursday night. The Thunder had three players score in double figures, though all three of these guys scored at least 22 points or more. That being Chet Holmgren, who scored 22 points, Jalen Williams, who scored 26 points, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who scored a game-high 38 points.

As for Minnesota, they are in danger of their season coming to an end if they cannot find a way to win Game 3. The Timberwolves had four players score in double figures in Game 2, including Anthony Edwards, who scored a team-high 32 points.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Form

Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves Latest Matches

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 22, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
103 :  118
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 20, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
88 :  114
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 18, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
93 :  125
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 15, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
107 :  119
Denver Nuggets

May 13, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
105 :  112
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 11, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
92 :  87
Denver Nuggets
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 22, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
103 :  118
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 20, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
88 :  114
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 18, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
93 :  125
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 13, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
105 :  112
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 7, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
106 :  149
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
121 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 15, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
107 :  119
Denver Nuggets

May 11, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
92 :  87
Denver Nuggets

May 9, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
104 :  113
Denver Nuggets

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
117 :  115
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 24, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
114 :  108
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
115 :  100
New Orleans Pelicans
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 22, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
103 :  118
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 20, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
88 :  114
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 14, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
110 :  121
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 12, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
117 :  110
Golden State Warriors

May 10, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
102 :  97
Golden State Warriors

May 8, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
93 :  117
Minnesota Timberwolves
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 14, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
110 :  121
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 8, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
93 :  117
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 6, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
99 :  88
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 27, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
113 :  116
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 25, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
104 :  116
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Utah Jazz
105 :  116
Minnesota Timberwolves
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 22, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
103 :  118
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 20, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
88 :  114
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 12, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
117 :  110
Golden State Warriors

May 10, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
102 :  97
Golden State Warriors

Apr 30, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
103 :  96
Los Angeles Lakers

Apr 22, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
85 :  94
Los Angeles Lakers

Oklahoma City Thunder against Minnesota Timberwolves : Head to Head (H2H)

Oklahoma City Thunder

67 %

Minnesota Timberwolves

33 %

May 22, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
103 :  118
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 20, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
88 :  114
Oklahoma City Thunder

Feb 24, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
131 :  128
Oklahoma City Thunder

Feb 23, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
130 :  123
Minnesota Timberwolves

Feb 13, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
101 :  116
Minnesota Timberwolves

Dec 31, 2024 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
105 :  113
Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder - Minnesota Timberwolves: Form Analysis

With the win in Game 2, the Thunder have now won three games in a row, going back to their Game 7 victory against the Denver Nuggets. During this stretch, they have won by an average margin of 24.3 points per game. Further, their defense has allowed an average of 94.6 during this stretch, while they are scoring an average of 119 points per game.

“Oklahoma City has the number one ranked defense in the playoffs of the teams remaining, allowing 102.8 points per game.”

Minnesota, on the other hand, has lost two games in a row for the first time in this postseason. The good news is that the Timberwolves are 4-1 at home during the playoffs, winning their games by an average margin of 12.5 points per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder & Minnesota Timberwolves Squad Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been by far the best player for the Thunder, not only in this series but in their postseason run. Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 29.8 points per game in the playoffs and 34.5 points per game in the series. He is also shooting 22 of 48 (45.8%) in the series from the field.

“Aside from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams is averaging 22.5 points per game in the series, and Chet Holmgren is averaging 18.5 points per game in the series.”

For Minnesota, Anthony Edwards has been their best player in the playoffs and in this series. Edwards is averaging 26.3 points per game in the playoffs and 25 points per game in this series. Further, Edwards is shooting 17 of 39 (43.6%) from the field.

Oklahoma City Thunder - Minnesota Timberwolves Key Points

  1. Minnesota is 4-1 SU at home in the playoffs
  2. Oklahoma City is 3-2 SU on the road in the playoffs
  3. Oklahoma City is averaging 116 points per game in the series
  4. Minnesota is averaging 95.5 points per game in the series

Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

The point spread has significantly changed for Game 3, with the Thunder only set as a small favorite. You have to think that at some point, the Timberwolves will find their rhythm and start to be competitive in this series, while maybe even winning a game. 

One area that has been consistent in this series so far is the Thunder’s dominance in the 3rd quarter. Oklahoma City has outscored Minnesota in the 3rd quarter 67 to 39 over the first two games of this series. Based on this, our Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction is: Oklahoma City Thunder 3rd Quarter Money Line.

Prediction:

 

Oklahoma City Thunder 3rd Quarter Money Line

-128
$200 offered for betting!

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves - Other Interesting Picks

Jalen Williams Over 20.5 Points

Odds -132

Our second prediction for Game 3 between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Minnesota Timberwolves will target Jalen Williams from the Thunder to go over his points prop of 20.5. Williams has been huge for the Thunder in the playoffs, averaging 20.1 points per game. In this series, he is averaging 22.5 points per game and scored over 20.5 points in Game 2 on Thursday night. 

Further, Williams has scored at least 21 points in 6 of the Thunder’s 13 playoff games; therefore, our second Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction is: Jalen Williams Over 20.5 Points.
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Picks