Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks - NBA
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by Lou Aguila in NBA Picks
The Miami Heat hosts the Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday, seeking to snap OKC’s five-game winning streak.
Best Pick: The Thunder -10.5 points (-108)
Payout: $192 on a $100 bet
Current Form:
Miami has gone 1-4 in its last five games, with the only win of this stretch coming against the Phoenix Suns 127-121. In their most recent loss to the Boston Celtics, 114-119, the Heat got 20+ points each from Norman Powell (26 points), Bam Adebayo (22 points) and Tyler Herro (22 points), but they could still not outscore the Celtics, who outscored them 36-21 in the fourth quarter.
Meanwhile, the Thunder have steamrolled their next five opponents since their back-to-back losses to the Phoenix Suns and the Charlotte Hornets two weeks ago. Led by their MVP, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, OKC earned its first win over the San Antonio Spurs (119-98) this season and topped the Houston Rockets anew (111-91).
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Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
0.814 | 43 | 35 | 8 | |
|
16
|
0.524 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 1 |
Miami Heat and Oklahoma City Thunder Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jan 15, 2026 - NBA
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 15, 2026 - NBA
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Miami Heat against Oklahoma City Thunder : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
Jan 11, 2026 - NBA
Feb 12, 2025 - NBA
Dec 20, 2024 - NBA
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Jan 10, 2023 - NBA
Players list
N. Powell
T. Herro
P. Larsson
ForwardA. Wiggins
A. Wiggins
L. Dort
Substitutes
K. Jakucionis
D. Smith
D. Mitchell
ForwardS. Fontecchio
K. Johnson
J. Jaquez Jr.
N. Jovic
I. Joe
C. Youngblood
A. Mitchell
A. Caruso
C. Wallace
ForwardJ. Williams
O. Dieng
Miami Heat - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points
- Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
- Miami is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City.
- Oklahoma City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami.
- Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games against Miami.
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Our Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
Fearless Forecast: The Thunder dominate the Heat again, 122-108
Reason: OKC blew out the Heat, 124-112, several days ago as the league’s best defense put the clamps on Miami, holding them to 112 points. Apart from their 5-0 SU in its last 5 games against Miami, the Thunder have been terrific on the road against Miami, boasting a 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Miami at Kaseya Center. As for the Heat, they will miss the service of Jaime Jaquez Jr. (knee) and Davion Mitchell (shoulder), who are both key contributors on the team.
Our betting prediction for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs. the Miami Heat: The Thunder -10.5 points
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
