Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
5/11/26 22:30
Oklahoma City Thunder

Prediction:

 

OKC Thunder -10.5 points

-110
$250 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Lou Aguila | in NBA Picks

The Oklahoma City Thunder is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games against the Los Angeles Lakers.

With the Thunder poised to finish off the Lakers in four games, picking OKC to cover -10.5 points doesn’t seem complicated at all.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are on the verge of returning to the Western Conference finals after winning the first three games of the Western Conference semis series with the Los Angeles Lakers.

The Thunder opened as the clear-cut favorites (-550 moneyline) to win Game 4 on Caesars Sportsbook, and that shouldn’t come as a surprise as OKC has manhandled the purple-and-gold in this series. Through the first three games, the Thunder has averaged 121.3 points on 53 FG% and held the Lakers to 101.6 points per game on 45 FG%.

The Lakers had done everything they could to stay competitive with the defending champions, but it feels like they just don’t have the firepower to outgun Shai Gilgeous Alexander and company.

The Lakers finished their regular-season campaign averaging 116.3 points per game on 50.0 FG%. Los Angeles has never scored more than 116 points in a game this postseason, which further highlights the absence of Luka Doncic from the lineup. Doncic, who averages 33.5 points, 7.7 rebounds, and 8.3 assists per game, will continue to miss games as he hasn’t recovered yet from a hamstring injury he sustained in the tail-end of the regular season.

Sporting a 1-5 record against the spread in their last six games, the Lakers don’t have a clear path to win or even cover the spread, even with a +10.5-point head-start, in Game 4 of this series.

Up to $250 to bet on Los Angeles Lakers - Oklahoma City Thunder! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook

Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form

Los Angeles Lakers and Oklahoma City Thunder Latest Matches

Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers Latest matches
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

May 9, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
108 :  131
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 7, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
125 :  107
Los Angeles Lakers

May 5, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
108 :  90
Los Angeles Lakers

May 1, 2026 - NBA

Houston Rockets
78 :  98
Los Angeles Lakers

Apr 29, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
93 :  99
Houston Rockets

Apr 26, 2026 - NBA

Houston Rockets
115 :  96
Los Angeles Lakers
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 9, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
108 :  131
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 29, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
93 :  99
Houston Rockets

Apr 21, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
101 :  94
Houston Rockets

Apr 18, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
107 :  98
Houston Rockets

Apr 12, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
131 :  107
Utah Jazz

Apr 10, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
101 :  73
Phoenix Suns
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 7, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
125 :  107
Los Angeles Lakers

May 5, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
108 :  90
Los Angeles Lakers

May 1, 2026 - NBA

Houston Rockets
78 :  98
Los Angeles Lakers

Apr 26, 2026 - NBA

Houston Rockets
115 :  96
Los Angeles Lakers

Apr 24, 2026 - NBA

Houston Rockets
108 :  112
Los Angeles Lakers

Apr 9, 2026 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
103 :  119
Los Angeles Lakers
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

May 9, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
108 :  131
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 7, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
125 :  107
Los Angeles Lakers

May 5, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
108 :  90
Los Angeles Lakers

Apr 27, 2026 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
122 :  131
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 25, 2026 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
109 :  121
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 22, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
120 :  107
Phoenix Suns
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 7, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
125 :  107
Los Angeles Lakers

May 5, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
108 :  90
Los Angeles Lakers

Apr 22, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
120 :  107
Phoenix Suns

Apr 19, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
119 :  84
Phoenix Suns

Apr 12, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
103 :  135
Phoenix Suns

Apr 5, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
146 :  111
Utah Jazz
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 9, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
108 :  131
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 27, 2026 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
122 :  131
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 25, 2026 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
109 :  121
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 10, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
127 :  107
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 8, 2026 - NBA

LA Clippers
110 :  128
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 7, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
87 :  123
Oklahoma City Thunder

Los Angeles Lakers against Oklahoma City Thunder : Head to Head (H2H)

Los Angeles Lakers

0 %

Oklahoma City Thunder

100 %

May 9, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
108 :  131
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 7, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
125 :  107
Los Angeles Lakers

May 5, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
108 :  90
Los Angeles Lakers

Apr 7, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
87 :  123
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 2, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
139 :  96
Los Angeles Lakers

Feb 9, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
110 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder

Players list

Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
D. Ayton

M. Smart

A. Reaves

L. James

R. Hachimura

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
C. Holmgren I. Hartenstein S. Gilgeous-Alexander

A. Mitchell

L. Dort

Substitutes

Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
J. Hayes

D. Knecht

N. Smith Jr.

L. Kennard

B. James

J. Laravia

A. Thiero

M. Kleber

J. Vanderbilt

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
K. Williams

N. Topic

C. Wallace

J. McCain

I. Joe

A. Caruso

A. Wiggins

J. Williams

Los Angeles Lakers - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points

  1. Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
  2. Oklahoma City is 8-0 ATS in its last 8 games against LA Lakers.
  3. LA Lakers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
  4. LA Lakers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City.
Up to $250 to bet on Los Angeles Lakers - Oklahoma City Thunder! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook

Our Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

The Lakers will fight as hard as they can to extend this series. However, without Luka Doncic, who is their leading scorer and floor general, Los Angeles just doesn’t stand a chance against OKC.

OKC is a whopping 8-0 against the spread in their last 8 games against Los Angeles. It only means the Thunder have overcome huge spreads, which include three double-digit handicaps, to achieve such an impeccable record. 

Averaging a winning margin of 20 points in this series, the Thunder will only face a 10.5-point handicap for Game 4. This is 2 points higher than the 8.5-point handicap in Game 3 and 5.5 points lower than the 15.5-point handicap set in Game 2.

The series clearly demonstrates the massive gap that separates Thunder from the Lakers. OKC has outclassed the Lakers literally and figuratively. After witnessing the Thunder obliterate the Lakers through the first three games, Game 4 is going to be hard to watch if you are a Lakers fan.

Our betting prediction for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs. the Los Angeles Lakers: The Thunder -10.5 points

Prediction:

 

OKC Thunder -10.5 points

-110
$250 offered for betting!

Caesars Rewards Program

Caesars Rewards

Caesars Sportsbook really spoils new users with an awesome rewards program, making every wager count towards something bigger! Available for users across the country, this program is a bettor's dream. As you enjoy the thrills of sports betting or casino games online, you can earn up to 10 Reward Credits for every $100 wagered on straight bets. And if parlays are more your style, you'll earn up to 20 Reward Credits for every $100 wagered. With Caesars Sportsbook, your bets not only bring the excitement of the game but also the joy of accumulating rewards that enhance your gaming experience. Play now and let Caesars treat you like royalty with each bet you place!

Sign-up now!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks