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by Matt Lowrimore in NBA Picks
Game 6 of the NBA Finals between the Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder will continue on Thursday night as the series shifts once again to Indiana. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for potentially the final game of the NBA season.
Oklahoma City enters this game with a 3-2 series lead after beating Indiana on Monday night at home by a score of 120-109. With that win on Monday, the Thunder are now one game away from an NBA title. Oklahoma City had four players score in double figures in Game 5, which was headlined by Jalen Williams, who scored a game-high 40 points, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who scored 31 points.
As for Indiana, their backs are to the wall now, as this is a must-win game if they want to extend the series to a Game 7. The Pacers had a total of five players score in double figures, including Pascal Siakam, who scored a team-high 28 points.
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Form
Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
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Oklahoma City Thunder against Indiana Pacers : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
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Oklahoma City Thunder - Indiana Pacers: Form Analysis
Oklahoma City has won the last two games in the series and three of the last four games to put themselves in a prime position to win the NBA Finals. Over their last two wins, the Thunder’s defense has turned it on, allowing 106.5 points per game.
“The Indiana Pacers are 7-3 SU at home in the playoffs.”
After taking a 1-0 lead and a 2-1 lead, the Pacers have since struggled to contain both Jalen Williams and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Luckily for Indiana, they will return home in Game 6, where they have been excellent throughout the postseason. The Pacers have already won one game at home in this series (Game 3) and will need to increase their intensity if they are going to extend this series.
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Oklahoma City Thunder & Indiana Pacers Squad Analysis
To no surprise, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been the backbone of this Thunder roster. In the playoffs, Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 30.4 points per game, and in the NBA Finals, he is averaging 32.4 points per game.
However, it is not only Gilgeous-Alexander who is putting up big scores. The second-best player for the Thunder has been Jalen Williams, who is averaging 21.7 points per game in the playoffs and 25.8 points per game in the NBA Finals.
“Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams combined for 71 points in Game 5.”
The Pacers are a much more balanced team and need multiple players to score in order to be effective. Pascal Siakam has been the most consistent player for the Pacers in the NBA Finals, as he is averaging 20.6 points per game.
Of course, Tyrese Haliburton has been the most clutch player for the Pacers, but he is coming off his worst performance in the postseason, scoring just 4 points and failing to make a shot from the field. Keep in mind that Haliburton appeared to be injured throughout Game 5 after a hard fall in the first half. If he is less than 100% for Game 6, the Pacers are likely going to struggle to keep up with the Thunder’s superstars.
Oklahoma City Thunder - Indiana Pacers Key Points
- The Pacers are 7-3 SU at home in the playoffs
- The Thunder are 5-4 SU on the road in the playoffs
- The Pacers are averaging 18.6 turnovers per game in the NBA Finals
- The Thunder are allowing an average of 109.4 points per game in the NBA Finals
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Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction
Over the first few games of this series, it looked like the Pacers had a real chance to take control. However, things have since turned after Indiana gave away Game 4 at home. The Pacers went on to get crushed in Game 5 on the road and now are back at home with the chance to force a Game 7.
As good as Indiana has been at home, the Thunder are starting to wear down the Pacers and assert their dominance. They have been the best team all season and have the best player on the court (Gilgeous-Alexander). Paired with Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, the Thunder have the advantage over the Pacers in just about every area.
Add in the injury to Haliburton and him potentially not being 100% for Game 6, and our Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction is: Oklahoma City Thunder ML.Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers - Other Interesting Picks
Aaron Nesmith Over 1.5 Made Threes
Our second pick for Game 6 of the NBA Finals will target Aaron Nesmith to make at least two three-pointers. Nesmith has consistently been the best three-point shooter for the Pacers in the playoffs and the NBA Finals. He is shooting 50.4% from three-point range in the playoffs and 51.9% from three-point range in the NBA Finals.
Nesmith has made at least two threes in four of the five games in this series and has made at least two threes in 15 of the Pacers’ 21 playoff games. The Pacers are going to have to make their three-point shots in Game 6 if they are going to give themselves a chance to win; therefore, backing Nesmith to make at least two threes in Game 6 will be our play.
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