Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Denver Nuggets
5/11/25 15:30
Oklahoma City Thunder

Prediction:

 

Aaron Gordon Over 1.5 Threes Made

+120
$200 offered for betting!

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 by Matt Lowrimore | in NBA Picks

Game 4 of this Western Conference series between the top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder and fourth-seeded Denver Nuggets will continue on Sunday in Denver. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions to determine if the Thunder can even up the series or if the Nuggets will take a commanding lead.

Denver enters this game having bounced back in a huge way from their Game 2 loss by winning Game 3 in overtime by a score of 113-104. The Nuggets had four starters score at least 20 points, led by Jamal Murray, who scored a team-high 27 points. As a team, Denver was also efficient, shooting 39 of 85 from the field (45.9%) and 16 of 40 from three-point range (40%).

As for Oklahoma City, they are once again in a must-win situation after losing Game 3, as they cannot afford to go down 3-1 in this series. The Thunder had four starters score at least 10 points or more and were led by Jalen Williams, who scored a game-high 32 points. However, Oklahoma City struggled from the field, shooting 40 of 104 (38.5%) from the field and 9 of 35 (25.7%) from the three-point line as a team.

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form

Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder Latest Matches

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets Latest matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 9, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
113 :  104
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 7, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
149 :  106
Denver Nuggets

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
119 :  121
Denver Nuggets

May 3, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
120 :  101
LA Clippers

May 1, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
111 :  105
Denver Nuggets

Apr 29, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
131 :  115
LA Clippers
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 9, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
113 :  104
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 3, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
120 :  101
LA Clippers

Apr 29, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
131 :  115
LA Clippers

Apr 21, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
102 :  105
LA Clippers

Apr 19, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
112 :  110
LA Clippers

Apr 11, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
117 :  109
Memphis Grizzlies
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 7, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
149 :  106
Denver Nuggets

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
119 :  121
Denver Nuggets

May 1, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
111 :  105
Denver Nuggets

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
99 :  101
Denver Nuggets

Apr 24, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
117 :  83
Denver Nuggets

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
111 :  126
Denver Nuggets
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder Latest matches
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 9, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
113 :  104
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 7, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
149 :  106
Denver Nuggets

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
119 :  121
Denver Nuggets

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
115 :  117
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 24, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
108 :  114
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 22, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
118 :  99
Memphis Grizzlies
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 7, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
149 :  106
Denver Nuggets

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
119 :  121
Denver Nuggets

Apr 22, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
118 :  99
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 20, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
131 :  80
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 8, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
136 :  120
Los Angeles Lakers

Apr 6, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
99 :  126
Los Angeles Lakers
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 9, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
113 :  104
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
115 :  117
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 24, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
108 :  114
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
100 :  115
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 11, 2025 - NBA

Utah Jazz
111 :  145
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 9, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
112 :  125
Oklahoma City Thunder

Denver Nuggets against Oklahoma City Thunder : Head to Head (H2H)

Denver Nuggets

67 %

Oklahoma City Thunder

33 %

May 9, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
113 :  104
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 7, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
149 :  106
Denver Nuggets

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
119 :  121
Denver Nuggets

Mar 10, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
127 :  140
Denver Nuggets

Mar 9, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
127 :  103
Denver Nuggets

Nov 6, 2024 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
124 :  122
Oklahoma City Thunder

Players list

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
N. Jokic

C. Braun

J. Murray

A. Gordon

M. Porter Jr.

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
J. Williams C. Holmgren I. Hartenstein S. Gilgeous-Alexander

L. Dort

Substitutes

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
Z. Nnaji D. Jordan

R. Westbrook

J. Pickett

J. Strawther

P. Watson

D. Saric

V. Cancar

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
K. Williams

A. Mitchell

I. Joe

A. Caruso

A. Wiggins

C. Wallace

J. Williams

D. Jones

O. Dieng

Denver Nuggets - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points

  1. Denver is 5-5 ATS in the playoffs
  2. Six Denver players are averaging more than 10 points per game in the playoffs
  3. Denver is shooting 38.5% from three-point range in the playoffs
  4. Aaron Gordon is shooting 60% from three-point range in this series

Our Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Given how this series has gone so far, the point spread looks a bit risky with the Thunder as the clear favorite. Therefore, instead of backing either team, we are going to target a player prop. More specifically, Aaron Gordon from the Nuggets to go over his made three-pointer total of 1.5. 

Gordon has low-key been one of the Nuggets' best players throughout this series. He may not put up the numbers like Jokic and Murray, but he has been clutch, and this starts with his three-point shooting. In Game 1, Gordon made a game-winning three-pointer with just seconds left, and in Game 3, Gordon made a game-tying three-pointer with seconds left to force overtime, which led to a Denver win.

Gordon is shooting 9 of 15 (60%) from three-point range in this series and has made at least two three-pointers in all three games. Because Gordon has found his range from the three-point line in this series, our Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction is Aaron Gordon Over 1.5 Made Threes.

Prediction:

 

Aaron Gordon Over 1.5 Threes Made

+120
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks