Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
5/9/25 22:00
Denver Nuggets

Prediction:

 

Over 233.5

-110
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 by Matt Lowrimore in NBA Picks

This Western Conference series between the top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder and fourth-seeded Denver Nuggets will now shift to Denver on Friday night. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions to see whether the Nuggets can defend their home court or if the Thunder can retake control of this series.

Oklahoma City responded in a huge way in Game 2, emphatically beating Denver by a score of 149-106 to tie the series at 1-1. The Thunder got huge contributions from their entire lineup, but it was Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who led the team in scoring with 34 points.

As for Denver, losing in the fashion they did had to be demoralizing, however, they can still look ahead to Game 3, knowing they did their job of stealing one game on the road in Oklahoma City. It was an off-night from the start for the Nuggets, as they shot 37.9% from the field. However, Russell Westbrook still put in a respectable performance by scoring 19 points off the bench to lead the team.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Form

Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets Latest Matches

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 7, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
106 :  149
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
121 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
117 :  115
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 24, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
114 :  108
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 22, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
99 :  118
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 20, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
80 :  131
Oklahoma City Thunder
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 7, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
106 :  149
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
121 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 22, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
99 :  118
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 20, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
80 :  131
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 8, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
120 :  136
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 6, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
126 :  99
Oklahoma City Thunder
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
117 :  115
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 24, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
114 :  108
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
115 :  100
New Orleans Pelicans

Apr 11, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
145 :  111
Utah Jazz

Apr 9, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
125 :  112
Phoenix Suns

Apr 4, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
111 :  125
Houston Rockets
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets Latest matches
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 7, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
106 :  149
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
121 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 3, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
101 :  120
Denver Nuggets

May 1, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
105 :  111
LA Clippers

Apr 29, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
115 :  131
Denver Nuggets

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
101 :  99
LA Clippers
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 3, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
101 :  120
Denver Nuggets

Apr 29, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
115 :  131
Denver Nuggets

Apr 21, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
105 :  102
Denver Nuggets

Apr 19, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
110 :  112
Denver Nuggets

Apr 11, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
109 :  117
Denver Nuggets

Apr 6, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
125 :  120
Denver Nuggets
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 7, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
106 :  149
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
121 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 1, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
105 :  111
LA Clippers

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
101 :  99
LA Clippers

Apr 24, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
83 :  117
LA Clippers

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
126 :  111
Houston Rockets

Oklahoma City Thunder against Denver Nuggets : Head to Head (H2H)

Oklahoma City Thunder

50 %

Denver Nuggets

50 %

May 7, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
106 :  149
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
121 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder

Mar 10, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
140 :  127
Oklahoma City Thunder

Mar 9, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
103 :  127
Oklahoma City Thunder

Nov 6, 2024 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
122 :  124
Denver Nuggets

Oct 24, 2024 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
102 :  87
Denver Nuggets

Oklahoma City Thunder - Denver Nuggets Key Points

  1. Denver is 3-1 SU at home in the playoffs
  2. Games 1 and 2 went Over the total
  3. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 33.5 points per game in the series
  4. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.5 points per game in the series

Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

With the series now moving to Denver, the point spread has reflected this as the Thunder are no longer a double-digit favorite. However, with two completely different outcomes in the games so far, backing either team on the point spread appears to be too risky.

One area that has remain consistent is the amount of points being scored. Game 1 had a total of 229.5 and the game ended 121-119 (240 points). Game 2 had a total of 230.5 and the game ended 149-106 (255 points). Further, the Thunder have been the number one scoring offense in the playoffs, averaging 124.7 points per game. 

Denver, on the other hand, has been the fifth-best scoring offense in the playoffs, averaging 109 points per game. In four home playoff games, Denver is averaging 116.3 points per game; therefore, with both teams showing no signs of slowing down offensively, our Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction is Over 233.5.

Prediction:

 

Over 233.5

-110
$200 offered for betting!

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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Picks