Athletics vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Athletics
9/18/25 13:35
Boston Red Sox

Prediction:

 

Under 9.5

-122
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 by Erik Gibbs in MLB Picks

Thursday afternoon at Fenway Park, the Boston Red Sox will look to push closer toward a postseason berth when they wrap up their series against the Oakland Athletics. Boston enters the contest fresh off a thrilling 5-4, 10-inning victory on Wednesday night, highlighted by Nick Sogard's walk-off fielder's choice that plated Nate Eaton.

Designated hitter Masataka Yoshida played a pivotal role in the win as well, collecting two hits and driving in a pair of runs to help the Red Sox maintain their position in the tightly contested American League Wild Card race. With just over a week left in the regular season, Boston sits tied for the second Wild Card spot and 2.5 games ahead of Cleveland, making each remaining game critical.

The Athletics, meanwhile, are playing out the string but have embraced the role of spoiler, winning seven of their past 11 games and showing improved competitiveness down the stretch. Despite outhitting the Red Sox on Wednesday and putting constant pressure on Boston's pitching staff, Oakland left 13 runners stranded and went just 3-for-15 with runners in scoring position. These missed opportunities ultimately cost them a chance to even the series, but they have still proven capable of making life difficult for playoff contenders.

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Athletics vs Boston Red Sox Form

Table

Teams % P W L
9
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
0.546 152 83 69
23
Athletics
Athletics
0.467 152 71 81

Athletics and Boston Red Sox Latest Matches

Athletics
Athletics Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
4 :  5
Boston Red Sox

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
2 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  7
Athletics

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
5 :  11
Athletics

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
0 :  3
Athletics

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  5
Athletics
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  7
Athletics

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
5 :  11
Athletics

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
0 :  3
Athletics

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  5
Athletics

Sep 9, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  0
Athletics

Sep 8, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  0
Athletics
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
4 :  5
Boston Red Sox

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
2 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
3 :  4
Los Angeles Angels

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
17 :  4
Los Angeles Angels

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
10 :  4
Los Angeles Angels

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
1 :  5
St. Louis Cardinals
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox Latest matches
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
4 :  5
Boston Red Sox

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
2 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  6
Boston Red Sox

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  5
Athletics
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
4 :  5
Boston Red Sox

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
2 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  6
Boston Red Sox

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
8 :  1
Boston Red Sox
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  5
Athletics

Sep 9, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  0
Athletics

Sep 8, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  0
Athletics

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  4
Arizona Diamondbacks

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  5
Arizona Diamondbacks

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
5 :  10
Arizona Diamondbacks

Athletics against Boston Red Sox : Head to Head (H2H)

Athletics

33 %

Boston Red Sox

67 %

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
4 :  5
Boston Red Sox

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
2 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  5
Athletics

Sep 9, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  0
Athletics

Sep 8, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  0
Athletics

Jul 9, 2024 - MLB

Athletics
9 :  12
Boston Red Sox

Athletics - Boston Red Sox Key Points

  1. The Over is 1-5 in the Athletics’ last 6 games as underdogs vs. the Red Sox
  2. The Over is 1-5 in the Red Sox’s last 6 games vs. AL West teams
  3. The Red Sox are 11-1 in their last 12 day games vs. AL West teams after a home win
  4. The Athletics are 1-4 in their last 5 road games after playing the previous day
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Our Athletics vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

On the mound, Oakland will send J.T. Ginn to make his first career appearance against the Red Sox. The 25-year-old right-hander has shown flashes of promise in 2025, posting a 3-6 record with a 4.69 ERA and 92 strikeouts. Ginn enters this start on a strong note, having allowed just one run and seven hits across 9.1 innings in his last two outings. Interestingly, like several of his teammates, he has fared better on the road than at home, which could give Oakland confidence in this matchup.

Boston counters with Brayan Bello, who has been one of the more reliable arms in their rotation this season. Bello comes in at 11-7 with a 3.25 ERA and 118 strikeouts, though his career numbers against Oakland tell a different story. In two previous starts, he has struggled to a 9.42 ERA despite recording 20 strikeouts. September has also been somewhat uneven for the young righty, but Boston has still won seven of his last nine outings, demonstrating the team's ability to support him when it matters.

For the Red Sox, the stakes are clear. With the postseason within reach, they cannot afford slip-ups against a rebuilding Athletics squad. For Oakland, the mission is equally straightforward—continue to play spoiler, test their young arms like Ginn against playoff-caliber lineups, and build momentum heading into next season. Fenway Park should see an intense battle between a desperate contender and a team relishing the spoiler role. Our prediction for Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: Under 9.5 runs.

Prediction:

 

Under 9.5

-122
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Athletics vs Boston Red Sox Picks
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