New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Prediction & Picks - Major League Soccer

USA - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
10/17/26 19:30
Toronto FC

Prediction:

 

New York Red Bulls win the match

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 by Carlos Zabala | in Major League Soccer Picks

A key match that could alter the standings and play-in positions in the Eastern Conference is set to take place when the NY Red Bulls face Toronto FC in a clash between the eighth and eleventh-placed teams.

A 71st-minute goal by Choupo-Moting, which pulled one back for the NY Red Bulls in their match in the capital against DC United, raised hopes, but the Red Bulls couldn't find an equalizer even after playing with a man advantage for over 20 minutes. They return to Sports Illustrated Stadium, where the NY Red Bulls last thrashed San Diego FC 4-1 with goals from Hall, Padelford, and Ruvalcaba.

Meanwhile, Toronto FC, after a few years of struggle, has a decent chance of returning to the playoffs. However, the Reds could only manage a chaotic 3-3 draw against Orlando City in their previous match.

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
17 New York Red Bulls
36 29 10 6 13 -15
23 Toronto FC
33 29 7 12 10 -11

New York Red Bulls and Toronto FC Latest Matches

New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls Latest matches
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 14, 2026 - Major League Soccer

DC United
2 :  1
New York Red Bulls

Oct 10, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
4 :  1
San Diego FC

Sep 30, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
0 :  3
Saint Louis City SC

Sep 18, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York City
0 :  1
New York Red Bulls

Sep 12, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew
0 :  1
New York Red Bulls

Sep 9, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC
2 :  0
New York Red Bulls
W L D L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 10, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
4 :  1
San Diego FC

Sep 30, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
0 :  3
Saint Louis City SC

Aug 29, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
1 :  3
Philadelphia Union

Aug 22, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
1 :  1
Chicago Fire

Aug 19, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
0 :  1
Nashville SC

Aug 1, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
3 :  2
Orlando City SC
L D L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 14, 2026 - Major League Soccer

DC United
2 :  1
New York Red Bulls

Sep 18, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York City
0 :  1
New York Red Bulls

Sep 12, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew
0 :  1
New York Red Bulls

Sep 9, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC
2 :  0
New York Red Bulls

Sep 5, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders
0 :  0
New York Red Bulls

Aug 15, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Atlanta United Fc
2 :  1
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
Toronto FC Latest matches
W L L L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 14, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
3 :  3
Orlando City SC

Oct 10, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
2 :  1
CF Montreal

Sep 26, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Nashville SC
2 :  0
Toronto FC

Sep 19, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Saint Louis City SC
3 :  1
Toronto FC

Sep 12, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Orlando City SC
3 :  0
Toronto FC

Sep 9, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
2 :  1
Nashville SC
D D D W W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 14, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
3 :  3
Orlando City SC

Oct 10, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
2 :  1
CF Montreal

Sep 9, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
2 :  1
Nashville SC

Sep 5, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
4 :  4
Chicago Fire

Aug 29, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
1 :  1
New York City

Aug 19, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
3 :  3
Charlotte FC
L D W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 26, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Nashville SC
2 :  0
Toronto FC

Sep 19, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Saint Louis City SC
3 :  1
Toronto FC

Sep 12, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Orlando City SC
3 :  0
Toronto FC

Aug 22, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Inter Miami
1 :  2
Toronto FC

Jul 31, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York City
1 :  1
Toronto FC

Jul 25, 2026 - Major League Soccer

DC United
2 :  1
Toronto FC

New York Red Bulls against Toronto FC : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Red Bulls

50 %

Draw

50 %

Toronto FC

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Mar 14, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
1 :  1
New York Red Bulls

Jun 25, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
1 :  1
New York Red Bulls

Mar 22, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
2 :  1
Toronto FC

Oct 2, 2024 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
1 :  4
New York Red Bulls

Jul 27, 2024 - Leagues Cup

New York Red Bulls
0 :  0
Toronto FC

Jun 22, 2024 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
3 :  0
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Picks

Toronto FC v New York Red Bulls last Lineups

New York Red Bulls

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

34
E. Horvath
12
D. Nealis
2
J. Che
14
J. Bazan
59
D. Padelford
48
R. Donkor
15
A. Mehmeti
37
M. Sofo
11
J. Ruvalcaba
16
J. Hall
7
C. Cowell
90
L. Morgan
9
J. Sargent
20
D. Salloi
6
N. Dorsch
14
A. Coello
7
T. Corbeanu
3
M. Pereira
13
B. Kuscevic
12
Z. Monlouis
22
R. Laryea
1
L. Gavran

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Toronto FC

Substitutes

New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls
Goalkeeper

J. McCarthy

Defender

C. Faello

M. Dos Santos

J. Marshall-Rutty

Midfielder

S. Kone

E. Forsberg

Forward

E. Choupo-Moting

R. Mosquera

C. Harper

Toronto FC
Toronto FC
Goalkeeper

W. Yarbrough

Defender

K. Franklin

R. Chukwu

J. Gilman

Midfielder

D. Mihailovic

M. Cimermancic

Forward

D. Etienne

A. Piedrahita

E. Aristizabal

Missing players

New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
Toronto FC
Defender

W. Zimmerman

Midfielder

J. Osorio

N. Palacio

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato New York Red Bulls
CD Huachipato Toronto FC
Top Goalscorer
USA J. Hall (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Hungary D. Salloi (7 Goals) ,  USA J. Sargent (7 Goals)
Best assists
USA C. Cowell (6 Assists)
Best assists
Hungary D. Salloi (7 Assists)

New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC Key Points

  1. Toronto FC generated an xG of 2.82 in their last game against Orlando City
  2. Toronto FC's last match had 10 corner kicks in total
  3. In 11 of Toronto FC's last 13 matches, both teams scored
  4. The New York Red Bulls had 75% possession in their last match

Our New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Prediction

Historically, the New York Red Bulls seem to have a significant advantage in the series against Toronto; the Red Bulls have won 25 times against the Reds, while the Canadian team has only managed 11 victories.

The New York Red Bulls had 17 shots on goal in their last match against Toronto in March. On that occasion, New York dominated possession, holding the ball for 68% of the game; a similar scenario is very likely on Saturday.

Our prediction for NY Red Bulls vs Toronto FC is: NY Red Bulls to win.

Prediction:

 

New York Red Bulls win the match

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.