New York Red Bulls vs New York City Prediction & Picks - Major League Soccer

USA - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
5/16/26 19:30
New York City

Prediction:

 

New York City to win

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 by Simon Day | in Major League Soccer Picks

The second New York derby of the season takes place on Saturday night, as the Red Bulls and NYC lock horns in a huge clash at Sports Illustrated Stadium.

The teams met in the US Open Cup at the end of April, and on that occasion it was City that emerged as 1-3 winners thanks to goals from Kai Trewin, Raul Gustavo and Thiago Martins.

Both sides have enjoyed solid overall starts to the season and are locked together on 18 points in the MLS Eastern Conference. 

Last time out, the Red Bulls claimed a hard fought 3-2 victory over Columbus Crew, with Julian Hall scoring the decisive goal in the final 15 minutes. Meanwhile, an earlier Nicolas Mercau strike was enough to give City a narrow road win at Charlotte. 

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New York Red Bulls vs New York City Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
13 New York City
22 16 6 4 6 +5
17 New York Red Bulls
22 16 6 4 6 -9

New York Red Bulls and New York City Latest Matches

New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls Latest matches
D L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 13, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
3 :  2
Columbus Crew

May 9, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
1 :  3
New York Red Bulls

May 2, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
0 :  2
FC Dallas

Apr 29, 2026 - US Open Cup

New York Red Bulls
1 :  3
New York City

Apr 25, 2026 - Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati
2 :  0
New York Red Bulls

Apr 22, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
4 :  4
DC United
W W D L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

May 13, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
3 :  2
Columbus Crew

May 2, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
0 :  2
FC Dallas

Apr 29, 2026 - US Open Cup

New York Red Bulls
1 :  3
New York City

Apr 22, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
4 :  4
DC United

Apr 15, 2026 - US Open Cup

New York Red Bulls
3 :  1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Apr 4, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
4 :  2
FC Cincinnati
D L D L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 9, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
1 :  3
New York Red Bulls

Apr 25, 2026 - Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati
2 :  0
New York Red Bulls

Apr 18, 2026 - Major League Soccer

CF Montreal
4 :  1
New York Red Bulls

Apr 11, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Inter Miami
2 :  2
New York Red Bulls

Mar 21, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Charlotte FC
6 :  1
New York Red Bulls

Mar 14, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
1 :  1
New York Red Bulls
New York City
New York City Latest matches
D L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 13, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Charlotte FC
0 :  1
New York City

May 10, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York City
3 :  0
Columbus Crew

May 3, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York City
0 :  2
DC United

Apr 29, 2026 - US Open Cup

New York Red Bulls
1 :  3
New York City

Apr 25, 2026 - Major League Soccer

CF Montreal
1 :  0
New York City

Apr 22, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York City
4 :  4
FC Cincinnati
L D L D L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 10, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York City
3 :  0
Columbus Crew

May 3, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York City
0 :  2
DC United

Apr 22, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York City
4 :  4
FC Cincinnati

Apr 18, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York City
1 :  2
Charlotte FC

Apr 4, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York City
1 :  1
Saint Louis City SC

Mar 22, 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York City
2 :  3
Inter Miami
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 13, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Charlotte FC
0 :  1
New York City

Apr 29, 2026 - US Open Cup

New York Red Bulls
1 :  3
New York City

Apr 25, 2026 - Major League Soccer

CF Montreal
1 :  0
New York City

Apr 14, 2026 - US Open Cup

Westchester SC
2 :  5
New York City

Apr 11, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps
2 :  0
New York City

Mar 1, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
1 :  2
New York City

New York Red Bulls against New York City : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Red Bulls

17 %

Draw

0 %

New York City

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
2.5
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Apr 29, 2026 - US Open Cup

New York Red Bulls
1 :  3
New York City

Sep 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
2 :  3
New York City

May 17, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York City
2 :  0
New York Red Bulls

Nov 23, 2024 - Major League Soccer

New York City
0 :  2
New York Red Bulls

Sep 28, 2024 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
1 :  5
New York City

May 18, 2024 - Major League Soccer

New York City
2 :  1
New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls vs New York City Picks

New York Red Bulls against New York City Lineups: Starting 11

New York Red Bulls

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

34
E. Horvath
3
J. Marshall-Rutty
2
J. Che
12
D. Nealis
56
M. Dos Santos
48
R. Donkor
15
A. Mehmeti
10
E. Forsberg
7
C. Cowell
16
J. Hall
11
J. Ruvalcaba
17
H. Wolf
7
N. Fernandez
26
A. Ojeda
5
K. Trewin
10
M. Moralez
55
K. Parks
2
N. Cavallo
34
Raul Gustavo
13
T. Martins
24
T. Gray
49
M. Freese

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

New York City

Substitutes

New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls
Goalkeeper

J. McCarthy

Defender

O. Valencia

M. Dos Santos 69'

J. Bazan

T. Parker

J. Che 69'

Midfielder

N. Benedetti

G. Berggren

E. Forsberg 69'

Forward

R. Mosquera

J. Ruvalcaba 85'

M. Sofo

R. Mitchell

New York City
New York City
Goalkeeper

T. Romero

Defender

S. Tanasijevic

Midfielder

M. Carrizo

J. Shore

K. Parks 59'

A. Perea

M. Moralez 39'

K. Pierre

Forward

M. Jones

H. Wolf 46'

A. Farnos

A. Ojeda 90'

S. Reid

N. Fernandez 90'

Missing players

New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls
Goalkeeper

A. Marcucci

Forward

E. Choupo-Moting

New York City
New York City
Defender

D. Baiera

Midfielder

A. O'Neill

Forward

A. Martinez

Talles Magno

K. O'Toole

M. Murray

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato New York Red Bulls
CD Huachipato New York City
Top Goalscorer
USA J. Hall (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina N. Fernandez (11 Goals)
Best assists
Sweden E. Forsberg (4 Assists) , 
Mali R. Donkor (4 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina M. Moralez (6 Assists)

New York Red Bulls - New York City Key Points

  1. The Red Bulls have conceded 30 goals in 13 MLS games this season
  2. City have won the last 3 New York derbies
  3. City have lost just 1 of their last 7 New York derbies
  4. The Red Bulls have gone 13 games without a clean sheet
Up to $150 to bet on New York Red Bulls - New York City! 

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Our New York Red Bulls vs New York City Prediction

The bookies make the draw the most likely result in this one, but we are going to stick our necks out and predict a City victory. 

Whilst these are undoubtedly two evenly matched sides overall, City clearly have the better defence, which could ultimately prove decisive in what is likely to be a tense and tight contest.

It is also worth noting that City will be coming into Saturday's game full of confidence following their comfortable victory over the Red Bulls last month. 

Because of those factors, our prediction for New York Red Bulls vs New York City is: New York City to win.

Prediction:

 

New York City to win

+220
$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.