Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Picks - ATP Beijing Open
ATP - ATP Beijing Open
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
With both players virtually unbreakable in Beijing, this semifinal duel between Novak Djokovic and Daniil Medvedev has all the makings of another classic encounter.
Over 27.5 Games presents strong value at +140 in anticipation of a marathon match.
Current Form:
Daniil Medvedev extended his winning streak to 7 matches after sweeping Francisco Cerundolo 7-6, 6-3. Medvedev, who captured the Hangzhou title by beating Andrey Rublev 7-5, 6-4 in the final, hasn’t dropped a set in Beijing.
Novak Djokovic turned back the hands of time to defeat Alexander Zverev 4-6, 6-4, 6-4. Despite battling fitness issues all week long, Djokovic maintained his immaculate 32-0 record in Beijing and earned another shot at a 7th China Open title.
The Matchup: Djokovic holds a 10-5 head-to-head lead against Medvedev. Their last match happened three years ago in the final of the 2023 US Open. Djokovic won that match 6-3, 7-6, 6-3.
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Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev Form
Novak Djokovic and Daniil Medvedev Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Oct 4, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Oct 2, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 30, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Aug 30, 2026 - ATP US Open
Aug 15, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Jul 10, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Oct 4, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Oct 3, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Oct 2, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 29, 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open
Sep 28, 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open
Sep 27, 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open
Novak Djokovic against Daniil Medvedev : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Sep 10, 2023 - ATP US Open
Mar 3, 2023 - ATP Dubai Open
Jan 7, 2023 - Adelaide International
Nov 7, 2021 - Rolex Paris Masters
Sep 12, 2021 - ATP US Open
Feb 21, 2021 - ATP Australian Open
Novak Djokovic - Daniil Medvedev Key Points
- Novak Djokovic is 32-0 at the China Open.
- Novak Djokovic is 10-4 on hard courts in 2026.
- Daniil Medvedev is 30-8 on hard courts in 2026.
- Daniil Medvedev won the 2026 Hangzhou Open.
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Our Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction
Key Stats: Aside from his immaculate record in Beijing, Novak Djokovic is serving at an elite level in this year’s tournament. Djokovic has won 79.2 percent of his first serves and saved 11 of 14 break points in 3 matches.
Medvedev continued his fine form at the China Open, winning 82.4 percent of his first serves and facing only 7 breakpoints so far.
What to Expect: Medvedev and Djokovic will produce a thrilling three-set classic in China. Medvedev remains a strong bet to win, but Djokovic’s stubbornness to throw away his immaculate slate in Beijing will force his 39-year-old body to push beyond his limit again. Unfortunately for him, Father Time is undefeated. Djokovic will fall to Medvedev, but not before giving the Russian a serious run for his money.
Fearless Forecast: Daniil Medvedev wins 6-4, 5-7, 7-5
Our betting prediction for Daniil Medvedev vs. Novak Djokovic: Over 27.5 Games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
