Novak Djokovic vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Picks - ATP Beijing Open
ATP - ATP Beijing Open
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Novak Djokovic targets a fitting finish to his 2026 China Open run, shooting for another hard-court sweep over Alex De Minaur in the final.
Djokovic is a delicious +125 to win in straight sets.
Current Form:
Novak Djokovic is now 33-0 at the China Open. The former world No.1 and 24-time Grand Slam winner punched his ticket to the final with a straight-sets win over Daniil Medvedev, 7-5, 5-3. Djokovic won 68 percent of his first serves and broke 4 times to frustrate Medvedev, who was disqualified for launching the ball into the stands and hitting a fan.
Alex De Minaur booked his spot in the final with a 6-4, 3-2 win over Hubert Hurkacz. The Aussie put on a clinical show, winning 77 percent of his first serves and converting 3 breakpoints off the back of 28 return points. De Minaur’s path to the finals also features wins over Andrey Rublev, Quentin Halys and Mariano Navone.
The Matchup: Djokovic is 4-1 vs. De Minaur in their head-to-head series.
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Novak Djokovic vs Alex De Minaur Form
Novak Djokovic and Alex De Minaur Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Oct 4, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Oct 2, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 30, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Aug 30, 2026 - ATP US Open
Aug 15, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Jul 10, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Oct 4, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Oct 2, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 30, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 3, 2026 - ATP US Open
Sep 2, 2026 - ATP US Open
Aug 19, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Novak Djokovic against Alex De Minaur : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
Jul 7, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Apr 12, 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Novak Djokovic - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- Novak Djokovic is 11-4 on hard courts in 2026.
- Novak Djokovic is 5-2 vs. top-10 players in 2026.
- Alex De Minaur is 19-9 on hard courts in 2026.
- Alex De Minaur is 3-2 vs. top-10 players.
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Our Novak Djokovic vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
The Difference Maker: Apart from Djokovic’s historic 33-0 record in Beijing, Djokovic proved he still has enough gas left in him to beat top-10 players on consecutive days. Djokovic hacked out a three-set win over two-time Grand Slam winner Alexander Zverev, 4-6, 6-4, 6-4, and followed it up with a masterclass against Medvedev.
De Minaur has had an easier draw, beating Mariano Navone 7-6, 6-2, Quentin Halys 3-6, 7-6, 7-5, Andrey Rublev 1-6, 6-2, 6-3 and Hurkacz. De Minaur has not beaten a top-10 player on his way to the finals.
What to Expect: There’s no stopping Djokovic from winning his 7th China Open title. Djokovic, who has yet to drop a set against De Minaur on hard courts, has rediscovered his elite form after two grueling matches with Zverev and Medvedev. De Minaur will have his moments, but Djokovic will not allow this title to slip away. Nole will win this one in straight sets.
Fearless Forecast: Novak Djokovic wins 6-4, 7-6
Our betting prediction for Novak Djokovic vs. Alex De Minaur: Novak Djokovic -1.5 Sets
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
