Nottingham Forest vs Leeds Prediction & Picks - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Bradley Gibbs | in Premier League Picks
The new EPL season begins for both Nottingham Forest and Leeds on Saturday, when the teams will clash at City Ground. The hosts begin a new era under the stewardship of Oliver Glasner, and if the French manager is anywhere near as effective as he was at Crystal Palace, then it could be a fruitful era for the Tricky Trees. The visitors continue under the guidance of Daniel Farke, who masterminded survival last season.
From a betting angle, it's worth siding with Leeds skipper Ethan Ampadu to get himself in trouble with the referee by betting on 'Ethan Ampadu to Receive a Card' at odds of +255, which look a little lenient. It won't be long at all until the tough-tackling midfielder starts going into games priced closer to +175, so it's worth getting involved early doors. The Welshman picked up no fewer than ten EPL cards last season, being one of the most prolific foulers in the division.
Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel
Nottingham Forest vs Leeds Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 |
|
13
|
5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 |
Nottingham Forest and Leeds Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 16, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Aug 12, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 31, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 31, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 16, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Aug 12, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 26, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 22, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
May 24, 2026 - Premier League
May 10, 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 31, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 31, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 18, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
May 17, 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 15, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Aug 12, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Aug 2, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 30, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 25, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 15, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 30, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 25, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
May 17, 2026 - Premier League
May 1, 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 12, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Aug 2, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
May 24, 2026 - Premier League
May 11, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 26, 2026 - FA Cup
Apr 22, 2026 - Premier League
Nottingham Forest against Leeds : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Feb 6, 2026 - Premier League
Nov 9, 2025 - Premier League
Apr 4, 2023 - Premier League
Feb 5, 2023 - Premier League
Feb 8, 2020 - Championship
Aug 10, 2019 - Championship
Nottingham Forest against Leeds Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
J. Victor
DefenderL. Netz
O. Diomande
Z. Abbott
MidfielderN. Dominguez
X. Schlager
ForwardC. Wood
C. Hudson-Odoi
A. Kalimuendo
L. Perri
DefenderJ. Lienou
N. Elvedi
MidfielderS. Longstaff
A. Cresswell
A. Tanaka
ForwardN. Okafor
L. Nmecha
D. James
Missing players
N. Savona
MidfielderR. Yates
G. Gudmundsson
MidfielderI. Gruev
ForwardG. Wilfried
Mateo Joseph
Most goals and assists
Nottingham Forest
Leeds
M. Gibbs-White
(1 Goals)
, 
D. Ndoye
(1 Goals)
, 
Igor Jesus
(1 Goals)
,
L. Delap
(1 Goals)
D. Calvert-Lewin
(3 Goals)
M. Gibbs-White
(2 Assists)
L. Nmecha
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Tanaka
(1 Assists)
, 
T. Muharemovic
(1 Assists)
,
J. Justin
(1 Assists)
, 
G. Gudmundsson
(1 Assists)
Nottingham Forest - Leeds Key Points
- Last season, only six EPL players made more fouls than Ethan Ampadu.
- Only seven players picked up more yellows than Ethan Ampadu during the previous EPL campaign.
- In the EPL last term, Ethan Ampadu picked up ten yellow cards.
- Last season, Ethan Ampadu averaged 0.29 cards per 90 minutes in the EPL.
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Our Nottingham Forest vs Leeds Prediction
Given how regularly he went into the book last season, coupled with just how prolific he was in terms of giving away fouls, Ethan Ampadu comes into this league opener looking too leniently priced from a card point of view. He averaged a booking 29% of the time last term, which helps us to conclude that odds of +255 (=28.2% implied probability) are a little too juicy to ignore.
His style of play is all about getting stuck in and playing hard, so we know it won't be long before the midfield man gets a booking, and given the odds, it's worth betting that he does so in this first game.
Our Nottingham Forest vs Leeds Pick: Ethan Ampadu to Receive a Card.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
