Duke Blue Devils vs North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction & Picks - NCAA Division I, Championship Women

USA - NCAA Division I, Championship Women

Duke Blue Devils
3/28/25 14:30
North Carolina Tar Heels

Prediction:

 

UNDER 124.5

 

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 by Travis Pulver | in Basketball Picks

The Duke Blue Devils will try to make it to the Elite Eight for the first time since the 2013 season with a win over their long-time rivals, the North Carolina Tar Heels. Tipoff for this ACC-SEC battle is scheduled for Friday, March 28, at  2:30 p.m. ET and will be broadcast on ESPN.

Duke basically had a glorified practice session in their first-round matchup, easily defeating Lehigh 86-25. However, Oregon put up much more of a fight in the second round. It was a defensive battle that saw Oregon take a 28-23 lead into the break. But the Blue Devils made the necessary adjustments at halftime, outscoring the Ducks 36-25 to win by six, 59-53. North Carolina’s journey to the Sweet 16 was similar. They dispatched Oregon State 70-49 in the first. In the second round, they held a one-point lead over West Virginia at the break, 24-23. Second half adjustments gave their offense a spark as they outscored WVU 34-24 in the second half en route to a 58-47 victory.

As conference rivals, they have already played twice this season. North Carolina won the first (Jan. 9) 53-46 in overtime. Duke won the second meeting 68-53. They each won on their home court.

Duke Blue Devils vs North Carolina Tar Heels Form

Duke Blue Devils and North Carolina Tar Heels Latest Matches

Duke Blue Devils
Duke Blue Devils Latest matches
W W
Victories

2/2 (100%)

Defeats

0/2 (0%)

Mar 23, 2025 - NCAA Division I, Championship Women

Duke Blue Devils
59 :  53
Oregon Ducks

Mar 21, 2025 - NCAA Division I, Championship Women

Duke Blue Devils
86 :  25
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
W W
Victories

2/2 (100%)

Defeats

0/2 (0%)

Mar 23, 2025 - NCAA Division I, Championship Women

Duke Blue Devils
59 :  53
Oregon Ducks

Mar 21, 2025 - NCAA Division I, Championship Women

Duke Blue Devils
86 :  25
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina Tar Heels Latest matches
W W
Victories

2/2 (100%)

Defeats

0/2 (0%)

Mar 24, 2025 - NCAA Division I, Championship Women

North Carolina Tar Heels
58 :  47
West Virginia Mountaineers

Mar 22, 2025 - NCAA Division I, Championship Women

North Carolina Tar Heels
70 :  49
Oregon State Beavers
W W
Victories

2/2 (100%)

Defeats

0/2 (0%)

Mar 24, 2025 - NCAA Division I, Championship Women

North Carolina Tar Heels
58 :  47
West Virginia Mountaineers

Mar 22, 2025 - NCAA Division I, Championship Women

North Carolina Tar Heels
70 :  49
Oregon State Beavers

Duke Blue Devils - North Carolina Tar Heels Key Points

  1. North Carolina holds a slim lead in the all-time series, 56-54.
  2. They have gone 5-5 in their last ten meetings.
  3. Duke last won a Sweet 16 game in 2013; North Carolina in 2014.
  4. The OVER went 0-2 in both regular-season games.

Our Duke Blue Devils vs North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction

The general consensus from what I could find on the internet is that this game will be a close one, but that either team could win; just as many analysts I found picked Duke as North Carolina. But from a betting perspective, we don’t necessarily need to pick a winner here (which would basically give you a 50/50 shot at winning). Regardless of who they picked as the winner, most analysts predicted a relatively low score, which I agree wth 100 percent. Take the UNDER.

Our North Carolina vs. Duke Pick: UNDER 124.5

Prediction:

 

UNDER 124.5

 

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Duke Blue Devils vs North Carolina Tar Heels Picks