Nigeria vs Mozambique Prediction & Picks - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Nigeria
1/5/26 14:00
Mozambique

Prediction:

 

Both Teams to Score

+135
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 by Bradley Gibbs in AFCON Picks

On Monday, it’s day three of the African Cup of Nations knockouts. At Complexe sportif de Fes, Nigeria and Mozambique will clash. Having shifted through the gears as well as anyone during the group stages, winning three out of three, scoring no shortage of goals, the Nigerians will surely fancy themselves to get the job done and progress to the quarters. 

Hoping to defy the odds, the Mambas have impressed since touching down in Morocco, defeating Gabon in high-scoring style to reach the knockouts. Chiquinho Conde’s men have already made history at this tournament by recording their first ever AFCON win and reaching the knockouts for the first ever time. Can they now improve on that and reach the quarters? 

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Nigeria vs Mozambique Form

Nigeria and Mozambique Latest Matches

Nigeria
Nigeria Latest matches
W D L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Dec 30, 2025 - AFCON

Uganda
1 :  3
Nigeria

Dec 27, 2025 - AFCON

Nigeria
3 :  2
Tunisia

Dec 23, 2025 - AFCON

Nigeria
2 :  1
Tanzania

Dec 16, 2025 - International Friendlies

Egypt
2 :  1
Nigeria

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
1 :  1
DR Congo

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
4 :  1
Gabon
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 27, 2025 - AFCON

Nigeria
3 :  2
Tunisia

Dec 23, 2025 - AFCON

Nigeria
2 :  1
Tanzania

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
1 :  1
DR Congo

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
4 :  1
Gabon

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
4 :  0
Benin

Sep 6, 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
1 :  0
Rwanda
L L D W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 30, 2025 - AFCON

Uganda
1 :  3
Nigeria

Dec 16, 2025 - International Friendlies

Egypt
2 :  1
Nigeria

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

Lesotho
1 :  2
Nigeria

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

South Africa
1 :  1
Nigeria

Aug 12, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
4 :  0
Nigeria

Aug 5, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Senegal
1 :  0
Nigeria
Mozambique
Mozambique Latest matches
L D L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 31, 2025 - AFCON

Mozambique
1 :  2
Cameroon

Dec 28, 2025 - AFCON

Gabon
2 :  3
Mozambique

Dec 24, 2025 - AFCON

Côte d'Ivoire
1 :  0
Mozambique

Dec 17, 2025 - International Friendlies

Angola
4 :  1
Mozambique

Nov 17, 2025 - International Friendlies

Chad
2 :  2
Mozambique

Nov 14, 2025 - International Friendlies

Morocco
1 :  0
Mozambique
W D L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 31, 2025 - AFCON

Mozambique
1 :  2
Cameroon

Oct 9, 2025 - World Cup

Mozambique
1 :  2
Guinea

Sep 8, 2025 - World Cup

Mozambique
2 :  0
Botswana

Jun 10, 2025 - COSAFA Cup

Mozambique
1 :  3
Zimbabwe

Jun 7, 2025 - COSAFA Cup

Mozambique
0 :  0
Mauritius

Mar 20, 2025 - World Cup

Mozambique
3 :  1
Uganda
W L D L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 28, 2025 - AFCON

Gabon
2 :  3
Mozambique

Dec 24, 2025 - AFCON

Côte d'Ivoire
1 :  0
Mozambique

Dec 17, 2025 - International Friendlies

Angola
4 :  1
Mozambique

Nov 17, 2025 - International Friendlies

Chad
2 :  2
Mozambique

Nov 14, 2025 - International Friendlies

Morocco
1 :  0
Mozambique

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

Somalia
0 :  1
Mozambique

Nigeria - Mozambique: Form Analysis

From a form point of view, it is very hard to criticize the Nigerians, who were arguably the best of the bunch during the group stages. Eric Chelle’s men may not look as sturdy defensively as some other teams, but they certainly pack a punch. A loaded offensive line-up has delivered the goods in style, scoring eight goals in three games, and it’s probably fair to say that when push comes to shove, the Super Eagles will fancy themselves to outscore anybody. 

A loaded offensive line-up has delivered the goods in style, scoring eight goals in three games, and it’s probably fair to say that when push comes to shove, the Super Eagles will fancy themselves to outscore anybody. 

Winning only one of out of three games, the Mambas weren’t quite as impressive as the Nigerians during the groups, but they too created a rather positive offensive impression, scoring three goals against Gabon, before scoring (and creating chances) against Cameroon. Such efforts tell me that Conde’s men can cause problems for their opponents in Fes.

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Nigeria against Mozambique Lineups: Starting 11

Nigeria

Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2

23
S. Nwabali
2
B. Osayi-Samuel
6
S. Ajayi
21
C. Bassey
13
O. Bruno
8
F. Onyeka
4
W. Ndidi
17
A. Iwobi
7
A. Lookman
9
V. Osimhen
22
A. Adams
9
F. Bangal
19
W. Quembo
7
Domingues
10
G. Catamo
16
A. Amade
21
R. Guimaraes
5
B. Langa
15
R. Mandava
17
Mexer
23
D. Calila
1
E. Siluane

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Mozambique

Substitutes

Nigeria
Nigeria
Goalkeeper

A. Obasogie

F. Uzoho

Defender

O. Igoh

Z. Sanusi

C. Awaziem

Midfielder

F. Dele-Bashiru

F. Onyeka 83'

M. Usman

R. Onyedika

W. Ndidi 83'

S. Lawal

N. Tocukvu

S. Chukwueze

A. Adams 86'

Forward

E. Akinsanmiro

C. Ejuke

M. Simon

V. Osimhen 68'

P. Onuachu

A. Lookman 86'

Mozambique
Mozambique
Goalkeeper

K. Zavala

I. Urrubal

E. Siluane 82'

Defender

Infren

D. Calila 46'

E. Dove

Midfielder

Chamboco

M. Kambala

Domingues 46'

F. Jone

J. Bonde

K. Abdala

G. Vilanculos

Forward

Chamito

W. Quembo 61'

O. Oscar

M. Alexandre Garcia

S. Ratifo

F. Bangal 67'

Nigeria & Mozambique Squad Analysis

The Nigerians are expected to be at full strength on Monday, with no injury concerns. In other words, Eric Chelle is free to select his preferred XI, which is expected to once again Include Alex Iwobi, Victor Osimhen, Wilfred Ndidi and Ademola Lookman. A strong offensive line-up indeed. 

Somewhat unfortunately, Nene is likely to miss out with a knock, while Diogo Calila, who featured in all three group games, may also miss out having picked up an injury last time out.

The Nigerians aren’t the only ones with offensive strength, though. Having impressed with some stylish group-stage performances, Geny Catamo, who is fast becoming an important player for Sporting Lisbon in Portugal, is expected to be the main man in attack, supported by 42-year-old veteran Domingues. Somewhat unfortunately, Nene is likely to miss out with a knock, while Diogo Calila, who featured in all three group games, may also miss out having picked up an injury last time out.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Nigeria
CD Huachipato Mozambique
Top Goalscorer
Nigeria V. Osimhen (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
G. Catamo (2 Goals)
Best assists
Nigeria A. Lookman (4 Assists)
Best assists
W. Quembo (1 Assists)
G. Catamo (1 Assists)
Infren (1 Assists)

Nigeria - Mozambique Key Points

  1. The Nigerians are yet to keep a clean sheet in Morocco.
  2. The Mambas have also conceded in 100% of their AFCON games so far.
  3. Both teams found the net in three out of three for Nigeria during the groups.
  4. The Mambas also scored and conceded in their final two group games.
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Our Nigeria vs Mozambique Prediction

Given what we saw from these two teams during the groups, I think we can expect a little more offensive action than the early odds suggest here. We know how strong the Nigerians are offensively, but most of their offensive strength came at a price defensively during the groups, so do not be surprised if a decent counter-offensive side like the Mambas cause Eric Chelle's men som problems here. 

Having scored four games in their last two games against Gabon and Cameroon, Chiquinho Conde's players should fancy themselves to hurt the Super Eagles, even if they lack the defensive strength to keep things tight. 

Our Nigeria vs Mozambique Pick: Both Teams to Score. 

Prediction:

 

Both Teams to Score

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Nigeria vs Mozambique - Other Interesting Picks

Geny Catamo 1+ Shots on Target

Odds -120
At odds of -120, after some very strong group-stage efforts, I cannot ignore 'Geny Catamo 1+ Shots on Target'. The Mozambique attacker has been in fine form and knows all about going up against quality opposition. Catamo has so far registered six shots on target in Morocco, working the opposition keeper in three out of three during the groups.
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Nigeria vs Mozambique match : Frequently asked questions

Nigeria vs Mozambique will be played at Complexe sportif de Fes.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Nigeria vs Mozambique Picks