Nigeria vs Morocco Prediction & Picks - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Bradley Gibbs in AFCON Picks
We’ve reached the final four at the African Cup of Nations. Four teams remain, one of which is the host nation. Following Senegal vs Egypt on Wednesday, it’s Nigeria vs Morocco, which will take place in the capital of Rabat.
Boasting one of the strongest squads, the Nigerians were always fancied to do well at this tournament. They’ve done well, there’s no doubting that, and they’re now just one game away from reaching the AFCON final for the second the second time in quick succession, having made the final when the tournament was last played. The Super Eagles have now reached the semi finals in five of the last nine renewals of the African Cup of Nations.
The hosts came into the tournament as favorites and they’ve not yet disappointed, reaching the semi finals in very sturdy fashion. With lots of backing from the home crowd, can the Atlas Lions continue to roar and reach the final? The betting suggests that they can, that’s for sure.
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Nigeria vs Morocco Form
Nigeria and Morocco Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 10, 2026 - AFCON
Jan 5, 2026 - AFCON
Dec 30, 2025 - AFCON
Dec 27, 2025 - AFCON
Dec 23, 2025 - AFCON
Dec 16, 2025 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 5, 2026 - AFCON
Dec 27, 2025 - AFCON
Dec 23, 2025 - AFCON
Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup
Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup
Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 10, 2026 - AFCON
Dec 30, 2025 - AFCON
Dec 16, 2025 - International Friendlies
Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup
Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup
Aug 12, 2025 - African Nations Championship
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 9, 2026 - AFCON
Jan 4, 2026 - AFCON
Dec 29, 2025 - AFCON
Dec 26, 2025 - AFCON
Dec 21, 2025 - AFCON
Dec 18, 2025 - Arab Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 4, 2026 - AFCON
Dec 26, 2025 - AFCON
Dec 21, 2025 - AFCON
Dec 15, 2025 - Arab Cup
Dec 11, 2025 - Arab Cup
Dec 8, 2025 - Arab Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 9, 2026 - AFCON
Dec 29, 2025 - AFCON
Dec 18, 2025 - Arab Cup
Dec 5, 2025 - Arab Cup
Sep 8, 2025 - World Cup
Aug 30, 2025 - African Nations Championship
Nigeria - Morocco: Form Analysis
No team has been quite as perfect as Nigeria from a results point of view at this tournament, with Eric Chelle’s men winning five out of five in Morocco, scoring an impressive total of 14 goals, notching at least twice in all five of their games. They’ve shown a fabulous balance of pace, power, creativity and end-product, while they’ve done a fantastic job of dominating games too.
They’ve also done a superb job of managing games with a serious element of control, keeping possession well, biding their time, before letting their decisive attackers, such as tournament top scorer Brahim Diaz, make the difference.
The Moroccans are also very strong, especially in terms of keeping teams out, with the Atlas Lions conceding in just one of their five games since the tournament began in late December. They’ve also done a superb job of managing games with a serious element of control, keeping possession well, biding their time, before letting their decisive attackers, such as tournament top scorer Brahim Diaz, make the difference.
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Morocco v Nigeria last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Nigeria & Morocco Squad Analysis
Eric Chelle has the unenviable task of replacing Wilfried Ndidi. The midfielder, who is an important part of the Nigeria set-up is suspended for this game. Club Brugge midfielder Raphael Onyedika is expected to deputise. Cyriel Dessers remains out with an injury.
Head coach Walid Regragui is expected to name the same starting XI that featured against Cameroon.
The Moroccans may once again be without Romain Saiss, who picked up a knock earlier in the tournament, though the absence of the former EPL player did not hamper the tournament hosts last time out. Azzedine Ounahi has missed both knockout games with an injury and is not yet expected to return. Head coach Walid Regragui is expected to name the same starting XI that featured against Cameroon.
Most goals and assists
Nigeria
Morocco
V. Osimhen
(4 Goals)
B. Diaz
(5 Goals)
A. Lookman
(4 Assists)
A. Ounahi
(2 Assists)
Nigeria and Morocco Stats in AFCON
Nigeria - Morocco Key Points
- No team has conceded fewer goals than Morocco at this tournament.
- The Atlas Lions have kept more clean sheets than any other team at AFCON.
- The tournament hosts have kept a clean sheet in four out of five games at this tournament.
- In five AFCON games so far, the Moroccans have conceded just four shots on target.
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Our Nigeria vs Morocco Prediction
To be honest, it’s a bit of a shame that this game isn’t the final, as what we’ve seen from these two teams makes both worthy of a place in the showpiece event. One must make way, though, and for my money, it’s the hosts who can get it done.
More importantly, a Moroccan win in this game looks to be slightly generously priced. Sure, the Nigerians have been great, but they’ve not come up against an opponent anywhere near as strong as the Atlas Lions, who made light work of fending off the Cameroonians last time out. The Super Eagles only just edged out the Tunisians during the groups, and for my money, the Moroccans are an awful lot stronger.
Our Nigeria vs Morocco Pick: Morocco to Win.
Nigeria vs Morocco - Other Interesting Picks
Morocco to Score Over 1.5 Goals
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Nigeria vs Morocco match : Frequently asked questions
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