Newcastle vs Qarabag FK Prediction & Picks - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Simon Day | in Champions League Picks
After thrashing Qarabag 6-1 in last week's first leg, Newcastle's qualification for the last 16 of the Champions League looks all but assured ahead of Tuesday night's second leg at St James' Park.
The Magpies were utterly dominant in the first half of the first leg in Baku, scoring four goals without reply and missing a hatful of other chances. Anthony Gordon was the star of the show, claiming four goals, including two from the penalty spot. The England winger now has an impressive 10 goals in this seaosn's Champions League, with only Real Madrid superstar Kylian Mbappe ahead of him in the scoring charts.
Qarabag were a defensive shambles in the first leg, and were it not for an excellent display from goalkeeper Mateusz Kochalski, plus some wayward finishing by the visitors, their deficit could have been even bigger. Things did improve after the break, when boss Gurban Gurbanov switched to a more defensive formation, but by then the damage had been done, and this Tuesday's second leg will be nothing more than a formality for the home side.
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Newcastle vs Qarabag FK Form
Newcastle and Qarabag FK Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 18, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 14, 2026 - FA Cup
Feb 10, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 4, 2026 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 25, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 13, 2026 - Carabao Cup
Jan 10, 2026 - FA Cup
Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 18, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 14, 2026 - FA Cup
Feb 10, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 4, 2026 - Carabao Cup
Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 18, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 14, 2026 - Topaz Premier League
Feb 10, 2026 - Topaz Premier League
Feb 5, 2026 - Azerbaijan Cup
Feb 1, 2026 - Topaz Premier League
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 18, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 1, 2026 - Topaz Premier League
Jan 24, 2026 - Topaz Premier League
Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League
Dec 14, 2025 - Topaz Premier League
Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 14, 2026 - Topaz Premier League
Feb 10, 2026 - Topaz Premier League
Feb 5, 2026 - Azerbaijan Cup
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 16, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Dec 21, 2025 - Topaz Premier League
Newcastle against Qarabag FK : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Feb 18, 2026 - Champions League
Newcastle against Qarabag FK Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
A. Harris
J. Ruddy
N. Pope
DefenderL. Hall
L. Shahar
J. Willock
A. Gordon
A. Elanga
S. Neave
Y. Wissa
A. Ramazanov
F. Buntic
DefenderT. Bayramov
A. Huseynov
MidfielderH. Jabrayilzade
L. Andrade
O. Kashchuk
M. Qurbanly
E. Addai
Kady
Missing players
F. Schar
E. Krafth
M. Thiaw
MidfielderB. Guimaraes
L. Miley
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
Qarabag FK
A. Gordon
(10 Goals)
C. Duran
(5 Goals)
J. Murphy
(3 Assists)
,
K. Trippier
(3 Assists)
,
H. Barnes
(3 Assists)
E. Jafarguliyev
(3 Assists)
Newcastle - Qarabag FK Key Points
- Qarabag have lost 4 of their last 5 Champions League matches
- Newcastle have won their last 3 Champions League home matches
- Newcastle have lost 1 of their last 8 Champions League games
- Qarabag have scored just once in this last 3 Champions League away fixtures
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Our Newcastle vs Qarabag FK Prediction
The first leg of this tie was a complete mismatch, and we are expecting another comfortable win for Newcastle on Tuesday night.
That being said, Newcastle will probably rest several key players ahead of a tough run of March fixtures, so we are not expecting quite as many goals as last week.
Qarabag are likely to adopt a very defensive formation in a bid to keep the score respectable, so we think the smart option is to take Newcastle to win a relatively low scoring second leg.
Our prediction for Newcastle United vs Qarabag is: Newcastle to win and under 3.5 goals.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
