Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Newcastle
4/18/26 10:00
Bournemouth

Prediction:

 

Evanilson to Score

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 by Mikaella McIntosh | in Premier League Picks

This Saturday in the Premier League, Newcastle and Bournemouth take to the stage at St James’ Park as they’re heading into the final six games of the season. A fair few teams are still in line for the European slots, including the visitors, who are just three points off sixth place. 

With this goal in mind, we should see the visitors pushing forwards plenty, especially since they’re facing a Newcastle side that has been very open at the back, and one of Bournemouth’s most threatening players in front of goal is Evanilson.

The Cherries are arriving in the north on the back of two excellent performances against top-three teams, winning away from home at the Emirates last time out. Evanilson received Man of the Match in this game, claiming one assist and producing a shot on target. 

In contrast, Newcastle haven’t been too consistent as of late, forcing them to fall right down to the bottom half. They’ve suffered three losses on the bounce with multiple goals conceded in each (two competitions), with their last two EPL matches opposing two of the lowest scoring teams in the league.

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Newcastle vs Bournemouth Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6 Bournemouth
57 38 13 18 7 +4
12 Newcastle
49 38 14 7 17 -2

Newcastle and Bournemouth Latest Matches

Newcastle
Newcastle Latest matches
L D W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 12, 2026 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  1
Newcastle

Mar 22, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  2
Sunderland

Mar 18, 2026 - Champions League

Barcelona
7 :  2
Newcastle

Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  1
Newcastle

Mar 10, 2026 - Champions League

Newcastle
1 :  1
Barcelona

Mar 7, 2026 - FA Cup

Newcastle
1 :  3
Manchester City
W L W L D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 22, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  2
Sunderland

Mar 10, 2026 - Champions League

Newcastle
1 :  1
Barcelona

Mar 7, 2026 - FA Cup

Newcastle
1 :  3
Manchester City

Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Manchester United

Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  3
Everton

Feb 24, 2026 - Champions League

Newcastle
3 :  2
Qarabag FK
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 12, 2026 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  1
Newcastle

Mar 18, 2026 - Champions League

Barcelona
7 :  2
Newcastle

Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  1
Newcastle

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Newcastle

Feb 18, 2026 - Champions League

Qarabag FK
1 :  6
Newcastle

Feb 14, 2026 - FA Cup

Aston Villa
1 :  3
Newcastle
Bournemouth
Bournemouth Latest matches
D D D D D W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Apr 11, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  2
Bournemouth

Mar 20, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  2
Manchester United

Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  0
Bournemouth

Mar 3, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Brentford

Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Sunderland

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  0
Bournemouth
W W D D D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 20, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  2
Manchester United

Mar 3, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Brentford

Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Sunderland

Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Aston Villa

Jan 24, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
3 :  2
Liverpool

Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
3 :  2
Tottenham
D W W D D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Apr 11, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  2
Bournemouth

Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  0
Bournemouth

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  0
Bournemouth

Feb 10, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  2
Bournemouth

Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League

Wolves
0 :  2
Bournemouth

Jan 19, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Bournemouth

Newcastle against Bournemouth : Head to Head (H2H)

Newcastle

0 %

Draw

67 %

Bournemouth

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Jan 10, 2026 - FA Cup

Newcastle
3 :  3
Bournemouth

Sep 21, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Newcastle

Jan 18, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  4
Bournemouth

Aug 25, 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Newcastle

Feb 17, 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Bournemouth

Nov 11, 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  0
Newcastle

Newcastle against Bournemouth Lineups: Starting 11

Newcastle

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

32
A. Ramsdale
21
T. Livramento
12
M. Thiaw
4
S. Botman
3
L. Hall
67
L. Miley
8
S. Tonali
41
J. Ramsey
20
A. Elanga
18
W. Osula
11
H. Barnes
9
Evanilson
16
M. Tavernier
22
E. Kroupi
37
Rayan
10
R. Christie
8
A. Scott
3
A. Truffert
5
M. Senesi
23
J. Hill
20
A. Jimenez
1
D. Petrovic

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Bournemouth

Substitutes

Newcastle
Newcastle
Goalkeeper

N. Pope

Defender

A. Murphy

K. Trippier

L. Hall 46'

D. Burn

T. Livramento 74'

Midfielder

B. Guimaraes

J. Ramsey 62'

J. Willock

Y. Wissa

J. Murphy

A. Elanga 62'

Forward

N. Woltemade

S. Tonali 86'

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Goalkeeper

C. Mandas

Defender

A. Smith

B. Diakite

Midfielder

D. Brooks

E. Kroupi 66'

A. Toth

M. Tavernier 89'

T. Adams

R. Christie 65'

Forward

A. Adli

B. Doak

Rayan 78'

E. Unal

Evanilson 89'

Missing players

Newcastle
Newcastle
Defender

F. Schar

E. Krafth

Forward

Joelinton

A. Gordon

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Defender

J. Soler

M. Akinmboni

Midfielder

L. Cook

J. Kluivert

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Newcastle
CD Huachipato Bournemouth
Top Goalscorer
Brazil B. Guimaraes (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France E. Kroupi (13 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil B. Guimaraes (5 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina M. Senesi (5 Assists)
France A. Truffert (5 Assists)

Newcastle - Bournemouth Key Points

  1. Newcastle are the fourth worst EPL team defensively on home soil this season.
  2. Evanilson has produced eight shots in his last three games.
  3. Bournemouth will be driven by the fact they are just a win away from sixth place.
  4. Evanilson is the best Bournemouth player in terms of expected goals.
  5. The Cherries excel when traveling to other grounds and playing on the break, which suits Evanilson.
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Our Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction

Interestingly, Newcastle concede a decent chunk of their goals from set pieces and penalties, one of the highest in the league on home soil. Evanilson is a player that can cause problems from crosses and set pieces, knowing his place to be able to poach a goal. 

Likewise, Bournemouth are very good on the counter attack on the road, breaking in wide areas, which suits Evanilson. The Brazilian often gets his goals in these scenarios, and he is averaging slightly more shots on the road. Lastly, he created four shots when the two teams met in the FA Cup at this ground in January.

Our Newcastle vs Bournemouth Pick: Evanilson to Score.

Prediction:

 

Evanilson to Score

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$250 offered for betting!

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Newcastle vs Bournemouth Picks