Newcastle vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Newcastle
10/21/25 15:00
Benfica Lisbon

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 Goals

+110
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Champions League Picks

Jose Mourinho will once again manage on English shores on Tuesday night as Benfica travel to take on Newcastle in the UEFA Champions League. This is an intriguing contest between two teams that may not serve up a classic in terms of goals. The hosts were a little underwhelming at the weekend, scoring just once against Brighton, while they also struggled to make headway in their first home UCL game, scoring just one late goal against Barcelona. 

We also know that Mourinho is a manager who likes to get his teams defending first and foremost, especially away from home in big games such as this. It didn't quite work, with his team losing by a goal to zero, but the legendary Portuguese coach got his team to make life very tricky for Chelsea in this competition recently. Can we expect the visitors to go to St. James' Park with frustrating their hosts in mind? I think so. 

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Newcastle vs Benfica Lisbon Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
11
Newcastle
Newcastle
3 2 1 0 1 3
33
Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
0 2 0 0 2 -2

Newcastle and Benfica Lisbon Latest Matches

Newcastle
Newcastle Latest matches
D W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Newcastle

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Nottingham Forest

Oct 1, 2025 - Champions League

Union Saint-Gilloise
0 :  4
Newcastle

Sep 28, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  2
Arsenal

Sep 24, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
4 :  1
Bradford City FC

Sep 21, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Newcastle
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Nottingham Forest

Sep 28, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  2
Arsenal

Sep 24, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
4 :  1
Bradford City FC

Sep 18, 2025 - Champions League

Newcastle
1 :  2
Barcelona

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  0
Wolves

Aug 25, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  3
Liverpool
D D D D W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Newcastle

Oct 1, 2025 - Champions League

Union Saint-Gilloise
0 :  4
Newcastle

Sep 21, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Newcastle

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  0
Newcastle

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  0
Newcastle

Aug 3, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Tottenham
1 :  1
Newcastle
Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon Latest matches
W D W L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 17, 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Chaves
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

Oct 5, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
0 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

Sep 26, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  1
Gil Vicente

Sep 23, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  1
Rio Ave

Sep 20, 2025 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon
W W D L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 26, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  1
Gil Vicente

Sep 23, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  1
Rio Ave

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  3
Qarabag FK

Sep 12, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  1
Santa Clara

Aug 27, 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  0
Fenerbahce Istanbul

Aug 23, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
Tondela
D W W L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 17, 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Chaves
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

Oct 5, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
0 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

Sep 20, 2025 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

Aug 31, 2025 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
1 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

Aug 20, 2025 - Champions League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
0 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

Benfica Lisbon v Newcastle last Lineups

Newcastle

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
N. Pope
2
K. Trippier
12
M. Thiaw
4
S. Botman
33
D. Burn
39
B. Guimaraes
8
S. Tonali
7
Joelinton
20
A. Elanga
27
N. Woltemade
10
A. Gordon
14
V. Pavlidis
11
D. Lukebakio
10
G. Sudakov
8
F. Aursnes
20
R. Rios
5
E. Barrenechea
26
S. Dahl
4
A. Silva
30
N. Otamendi
17
A. Dedic
1
A. Trubin

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Benfica Lisbon

Missing players

Newcastle
Newcastle
Defender

T. Livramento

L. Hall

Midfielder

Y. Wissa

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Newcastle
CD Huachipato Benfica Lisbon
Top Goalscorer
Germany N. Woltemade (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Greece V. Pavlidis (6 Goals)
Best assists
Italy S. Tonali (2 Assists)
England J. Murphy (2 Assists)
Best assists
Ukraine G. Sudakov (2 Assists)

Newcastle and Benfica Lisbon Stats in Champions League

Newcastle
Newcastle
Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
50%
Victories
50%
0%
Draw
17%
50%
Defeats
33%
3.5
Total goals per match
1.83
2.5
Goals scored per match
1.17
1
Goals conceded per match
0.67
100%
Over 2.5
17%
0%
Under 2.5
83%
50%
BTTS
17%
50%
No goals conceded
67%

Newcastle - Benfica Lisbon Key Points

  1. None of Benfica's last three away games have contained more than two goals.
  2. When Benfica last played away from home in the UCL, only one goal was scored.
  3. In Benfica's last two big away games, against Chelsea and FC Porto, only a single goal has been scored.
  4. Only one of Benfica's last five games in all competitions has contained more than two goals.
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Our Newcastle vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction

Given that Jose Mourinho's men are likely to take the defend-first approach at St. James' Park, I am a little surprised to see 'Under 2.5 Goals' priced as big as +110 in the early betting. I'm not quite sure that the early market is appreciating the fact that will avoid a cavalier approach in the North East of England, which may just promote a low-scoring game. 

After all, Mourinho's men have conceded just one goal in their last four away games, with less than three goals being scored in three of those four. Our Newcastle vs Benfica Pick: Under 2.5 Goals. 

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 Goals

+110
$300 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Newcastle vs Benfica Lisbon Picks
Up to $300 to bet on Newcastle - Benfica Lisbon! 

Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel