Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Newcastle
10/17/26 12:30
Aston Villa

Prediction:

 

Newcastle to Score Over 1.5 Goals

−120
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Premier League Picks

Saturday's late kick-off in the English Premier League sees Newcastle take on Aston Villa in front of a home crowd. Neither team was successful last time out in the league, with the hosts coming unstuck away to Coventry, despite creating lots of chances. The visitors tied when they last played in EPL, and they'll now be looking to return to winning ways. 

All the time odds of -120 are on offer, 'Newcastle to Score Over 1.5 Goals' is the way to go in the betting. The Magpies have most certainly had their issues on the road, but in front of the St. James' Park faithful, they've looked much stronger, especially in an offensive sense. The Villans have not looked overly secure at the back this term, while they'll turn up in the North East having exerted themselves in the UCL on Wednesday. 

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Newcastle vs Aston Villa Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
11 Newcastle
8 6 2 2 2 -3
16 Aston Villa
5 6 1 2 3 -5

Newcastle and Aston Villa Latest Matches

Newcastle
Newcastle Latest matches
W D W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 12, 2026 - Premier League

Coventry City
4 :  1
Newcastle

Sep 19, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Hull

Sep 14, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
4 :  1
Newcastle

Sep 8, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Millwall
0 :  1
Newcastle

Sep 5, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Bournemouth

Aug 29, 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  2
Newcastle
L D D W D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 19, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Hull

Sep 5, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Bournemouth

Aug 26, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
3 :  2
West Brom

Aug 23, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Liverpool

Aug 16, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
1 :  1
Strasbourg

Aug 15, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
1 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen
W L W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 12, 2026 - Premier League

Coventry City
4 :  1
Newcastle

Sep 14, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
4 :  1
Newcastle

Sep 8, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Millwall
0 :  1
Newcastle

Aug 29, 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  2
Newcastle

Aug 12, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Everton
3 :  1
Newcastle

Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Valencia
1 :  2
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Aston Villa Latest matches
L W W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Oct 14, 2026 - Champions League

Aston Villa
6 :  0
Fenerbahce Istanbul

Oct 10, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  2
Brentford

Oct 2, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sevilla
1 :  3
Aston Villa

Sep 19, 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  3
Aston Villa

Sep 16, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Coventry City
1 :  3
Aston Villa

Sep 12, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Nottingham Forest
L L L L D W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 14, 2026 - Champions League

Aston Villa
6 :  0
Fenerbahce Istanbul

Oct 10, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  2
Brentford

Sep 12, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Nottingham Forest

Aug 31, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  1
Arsenal

Aug 7, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

Jul 28, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Aston Villa
2 :  4
Real Sociedad
L D W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 2, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sevilla
1 :  3
Aston Villa

Sep 19, 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  3
Aston Villa

Sep 16, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Coventry City
1 :  3
Aston Villa

Sep 8, 2026 - Champions League

Club Brugge
2 :  3
Aston Villa

Sep 5, 2026 - Premier League

Hull
0 :  0
Aston Villa

Aug 23, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
4 :  0
Aston Villa

Newcastle against Aston Villa : Head to Head (H2H)

Newcastle

50 %

Draw

17 %

Aston Villa

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Feb 14, 2026 - FA Cup

Aston Villa
1 :  3
Newcastle

Jan 25, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
0 :  2
Aston Villa

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  0
Newcastle

Apr 19, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  1
Newcastle

Dec 26, 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
3 :  0
Aston Villa

Jan 30, 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  3
Newcastle
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Picks

Aston Villa v Newcastle last Lineups

Newcastle

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

21
L. Hornicek
67
L. Miley
12
M. Thiaw
4
S. Botman
3
L. Hall
6
N. Gonzalez
28
J. Willock
23
J. Murphy
9
Y. Wissa
11
H. Barnes
20
M. Fernandez-Pardo
11
N. Jackson
7
J. McGinn
8
B. Kamara
6
R. Barkley
44
J. Manzambi
19
I. Mbaye
2
M. Cash
14
P. Torres
3
V. Lindelof
29
A. Wan-Bissaka
1
Z. Suzuki

Formation : 4 - 5 - 1

Aston Villa

Substitutes

Newcastle
Newcastle
Goalkeeper

N. Pope

Defender

D. Burn

A. Dedic

F. Schar

Midfielder

S. Steur

A. Bamba

Forward

W. Osula

B. Toure

Joelinton

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Goalkeeper

M. Bizot

J. Wright

Defender

T. Mings

Midfielder

E. Buendia

L. Goretzka

J. Gomes

L. Bogarde

Forward

Alysson

T. Abraham

A. Garnacho

Missing players

Newcastle
Newcastle
Goalkeeper

E. Jaouen

Defender

T. Livramento

Midfielder

J. Ramsey

Forward

A. Elanga

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Defender

I. Maatsen

M. Ruggeri

Midfielder

A. Onana

M. Cisse

Forward

G. Hemmings

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Newcastle
CD Huachipato Aston Villa
Top Goalscorer
England J. Willock (2 Goals) , 
Sweden A. Elanga (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Senegal N. Jackson (2 Goals)
Best assists
England H. Barnes (2 Assists)
Best assists
Scotland J. McGinn (2 Assists) , 
Switzerland J. Manzambi (2 Assists)

Newcastle and Aston Villa Stats in Premier League

Newcastle
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
33%
Wins
17%
33%
Losses
50%
33%
Draws
33%
3.83
Average goals per match
2.83
1.67
Goals scored per match
1
2.17
Goals conceded per match
1.83
17%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
83%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
17%
No goals conceded
17%
83%
Both score
50%

Newcastle - Aston Villa Key Points

  1. Last time out on home soil, the Magpies scored multiple goals.
  2. The hosts have now scored two or more goals in each of their three home EPL games this season.
  3. In their last away game in the EPL, the Villans conceded multiple goals.
  4. The visitors have conceded multiple goals in each of their last two EPL fixtures.
Up to $250 to bet on Newcastle - Aston Villa! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook

Our Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction

At home against an Aston Villa team that has had much less time to rest and prepare ahead of this fixture, the Magpies really do have the perfect opportunity to bounce back. Not only were the Villans been engaged in continental action during the week, but they've also struggled defensively this term, and on this basis, the hosts are absolutely worth betting on to fire in a couple of goals. 

On home soil, the men in black and white have thrived in the final third, scoring six goals in three home EPL games. 

Our Newcastle vs Aston Villa Pick: Newcastle to Score Over 1.5 Goals.

Prediction:

 

Newcastle to Score Over 1.5 Goals

−120
$250 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.