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Newcastle vs Arsenal Picks & Prediction

England - Premier League

Newcastle

9/28/25 11:30

Arsenal

Prediction:

Eberechi Eze to Score or Assist

+145

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Prediction published on 9/28/25, 8:08 AM by Bradley Gibbs in Premier League Picks

Sunday's big EPL fixture will take place at St. James' Park, where Newcastle and Arsenal will do battle. For the hosts, it's all about kicking on following that pleasing EFL Cup win in the week, and if we're being honest, that victory needs to spark some improved form in the league, with the Magpies currently sitting down in 13th place after five games.

The Gunners find themselves in a pleasing second place, but head coach Mikel Arteta probably won't be happy with the fact that his team are already five points behind league leaders Liverpool. Having rescued a tie late in the day against Man City last week, the visitors will be hoping to get back to winning ways in the league, though let's face it, their recent record in the North East isn't exactly favorable.

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Newcastle vs Arsenal Form

Table

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
2 Arsenal	10	5	3	1	1	8
13 Newcastle	6	5	1	3	1	0

Newcastle and Arsenal Latest Matches

Newcastle Latest matches

All Home Away

L D W L D W

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

Sep 24, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle

4 : 1

Bradford City FC

Sep 21, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth

0 : 0

Newcastle

Sep 18, 2025 - Champions League

Newcastle

1 : 2

Barcelona

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle

1 : 0

Wolves

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds

0 : 0

Newcastle

Aug 25, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle

2 : 3

Liverpool

D L L W L W

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.67 Goals scored

1.67 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

Sep 24, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle

4 : 1

Bradford City FC

Sep 18, 2025 - Champions League

Newcastle

1 : 2

Barcelona

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle

1 : 0

Wolves

Aug 25, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle

2 : 3

Liverpool

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle

0 : 2

Atletico Madrid

Aug 8, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle

2 : 2

Espanyol

L L D D D D

Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals

33% BTTS

0.5 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

17% Over 2.5

83% Under 2.5

Sep 21, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth

0 : 0

Newcastle

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds

0 : 0

Newcastle

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa

0 : 0

Newcastle

Aug 3, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Tottenham

1 : 1

Newcastle

Jul 30, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

K-League Allstars

1 : 0

Newcastle

Jul 27, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal

3 : 2

Newcastle

Arsenal Latest matches

All Home Away

W L W W D W

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals

17% BTTS

2.17 Goals scored

0.33 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

Sep 24, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Port Vale

0 : 2

Arsenal

Sep 21, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal

1 : 1

Manchester City

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao

0 : 2

Arsenal

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal

3 : 0

Nottingham Forest

Aug 31, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool

1 : 0

Arsenal

Aug 23, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal

5 : 0

Leeds

L L W W W D

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals

33% BTTS

2.33 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

Sep 21, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal

1 : 1

Manchester City

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal

3 : 0

Nottingham Forest

Aug 23, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal

5 : 0

Leeds

Aug 9, 2025 - Emirates Cup

Arsenal

3 : 0

Athletic Bilbao

Aug 6, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal

2 : 3

Villarreal

Jul 31, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal

0 : 1

Tottenham

D W W L W W

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals

33% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

0.67 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

Sep 24, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Port Vale

0 : 2

Arsenal

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao

0 : 2

Arsenal

Aug 31, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool

1 : 0

Arsenal

Aug 17, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United

0 : 1

Arsenal

May 25, 2025 - Premier League

Southampton

1 : 2

Arsenal

May 11, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool

2 : 2

Arsenal

Newcastle against Arsenal : Head to Head (H2H)

Newcastle

50 %

Draw

0 %

Arsenal

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67

Total goals

33%

BTTS

1.33

Goals scored (Team 1)

1.33

Goals scored (Team 2)

33%

Over 2.5

67%

Under 2.5

Jul 27, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal

3 : 2

Newcastle

May 18, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal

1 : 0

Newcastle

Feb 5, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle

2 : 0

Arsenal

Jan 7, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal

0 : 2

Newcastle

Nov 2, 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle

1 : 0

Arsenal

Feb 24, 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal

4 : 1

Newcastle

Newcastle - Arsenal: Form Analysis

For the hosts, there was midweek success in the EFL Cup, with the Magpies making light work of beating lower-league Bradford City by four goals to one on home soil. However, in the league, they've not been in amazing form so far this season, winning only one out of five games, tying three of the other four, failing to score in three of those four. Final-third improvements are definitely called for.

As far as the Gunners are concerned, form hasn't been too much of an issue, even if the visitors haven't been quite as imperious as they'd like. They beat Port Vale in the cup during the week, which followed the tie against Man City. In all competitions, Arsenal have won three of their last four, losing none of those four.

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Missing players

Newcastle

Defender

F. Schar

Midfielder

J. Ramsey

Y. Wissa

J. Murphy

Arsenal

Defender

P. Hincapie

Midfielder

M. Odegaard

Forward

G. Jesus

K. Havertz

N. Madueke

Newcastle & Arsenal Squad Analysis

Summer signing Jacob Ramsey is out for the Magpies, while the same can be said for veteran Fabian Schar, who is typically an important player for Eddie Howe. Yoane Wisse, who also joined in the summer transfer window, is another absentee thanks to a knee injury. Following his three-game suspension, winger/forward Anthony Gordon is now available for selection.

Gabriel Jesus continues on the sidelines for the Gunners, as does Kai Havertz. There are also considerable doubts over the readiness of Martin Odegaard, who has twice been forced off early this season. Unfortunately, the hugely positive and influential Noni Madueke, who has impressed since joining Arsenal from Chelsea, is also expected to miss out with a knock.

Most goals and assists

Newcastle

Arsenal

Top Goalscorer

W. Osula (3 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

V. Gyokeres (3 Goals)

Best assists

J. Murphy (2 Assists)

Best assists

E. Eze (2 Assists) ,

L. Trossard (2 Assists) ,

R. Calafiori (2 Assists)

Newcastle and Arsenal Stats in Premier League

Newcastle

Arsenal

20%

Victories

60%

Draw

20%

Defeats

20%

1.2

Total goals per match

2.4

0.6

Goals scored per match

0.6

Goals conceded per match

0.4

20%

Over 2.5

40%

80%

Under 2.5

60%

20%

BTTS

20%

80%

No goals conceded

60%

Newcastle - Arsenal Key Points

So far this season, no Arsenal player has produced more expected goals (xG) and expected assisted goals (xGA) than Eberechi Eze.
Right now, Eberechi Eze averages 0.52 xG and xGA per 90 minutes in the EPL.
Last time out in the EPL, Eberechi Eze registered an assist.
Eze has now scored or assisted in three of his last four appearances for Arsenal.

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Our Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction

Eberechi Eze has been eased into life at Arsenal, with boss Mikel Arteta likely cautious of the fact that the English creator can pick up injuries quite quickly. Having been given time to settle, Eze is now starting to show what he's made of, registering two assists in his last two EPL appearances, while he scored a timely goal in the EFL Cup during the week.

Clearly one of the most dangerous players in the league, Eze can make a telling contribution on Sunday. Our Newcastle vs Arsenal Pick: Eberechi Eze to Score or Assist.

Prediction:

Eberechi Eze to Score or Assist

+145

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Newcastle vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Picks

Jacob Murphy 1+ Shots on Target

Odds +115

Jacob Murphy has delivered some encouraging offensive performances so far this season, and let's be real, the Newcastle winger/forward has been anything but shy to shoot, averaging 3.58 shots per 90 minutes, registering a rather chunky average of 1.59 shots on target per 90 minutes. Murphy comes into this game having registered at least one shot on target in each of his last three EPL appearances.

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