New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Yankees
10/5/25 16:08
Toronto Blue Jays

Prediction:

 

Blue Jays +1.5.

-135
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 by Carlos Zabala in MLB Picks

The Yankees' euphoria at defeating the Red Sox in the Wild Card playoff series quickly faded, as they lost to the Blue Jays in Toronto in the first game of a five-game series by a 1-10 thrashing. For the Jays, Gausman started Game 1, surviving the Yankees' bases-loaded jam in the sixth inning, when he struck out Judge with the bases loaded and no outs, swinging at a pitch.

Judge batted leadoff on Saturday, and while some die-hard Yankees fans continue to claim that the skipper doesn't respond in climactic moments like the one in which he struck out, the truth is that Judge has already had six hits this postseason.

For the Jays, the party started early, with a huge home run by Vlad Jr. to take a 1-0 lead in the bottom of the first inning. Kirk emulated him the following inning with a home run to left field, the first of two he had on the day. Guerrero had three hits in addition to brilliant defensive plays; Giménez, Varsho, Kirk, and Luke each had two, as the Jays doubled the Yankees' hits in the first game of the series.

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Form

New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays Latest Matches

New York Yankees
New York Yankees Latest matches
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 4, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  10
Toronto Blue Jays

Oct 2, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
0 :  4
New York Yankees

Oct 1, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  4
New York Yankees

Sep 30, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  1
New York Yankees

Sep 28, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  3
New York Yankees

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
1 :  6
New York Yankees
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 2, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
0 :  4
New York Yankees

Oct 1, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  4
New York Yankees

Sep 30, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  1
New York Yankees

Sep 28, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  3
New York Yankees

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
1 :  6
New York Yankees

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  8
New York Yankees
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 4, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  10
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
7 :  1
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  1
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 18, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
7 :  0
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
10 :  5
Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 4, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  10
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 28, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  13
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  5
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
2 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 4, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  10
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 28, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  13
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  5
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
2 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
8 :  5
Kansas City Royals

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  2
Kansas City Royals

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  20
Kansas City Royals

Sep 18, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
0 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
6 :  5
Tampa Bay Rays

New York Yankees against Toronto Blue Jays : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Yankees

50 %

Toronto Blue Jays

50 %

Oct 4, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  10
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  4
New York Yankees

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  3
New York Yankees

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
7 :  1
New York Yankees

Jul 23, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  8
Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 22, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

New York Yankees - Toronto Blue Jays Key Points

  1. The Blue Jays won Game 1 as -125 betting favorites
  2. The Yankees' top five players went 2-for-14 on Saturday
  3. The Blue Jays' 38-20 regular-season record playing as betting favorites at Rogers Centre
  4. The Yankees' bullpen has a 4.45 ERA in 2025

Our New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

Even with big names in the bullpen, Aaron Boone has repeatedly struggled to get that part of his team to get the outs. The latest to give him trouble was Luke Weaver; Boone, against the Red Sox and Saturday against the Jays, brought Weaver into close situations and allowed five runs. Then, one inning later, Blackburn's pitches also fell short, leaving the Yankees with no chance of a comeback.

The momentum is all Toronto's, playing in front of a loyal crowd that was noisy throughout the game. The odds, however, have shifted their favoritism toward the Yankees; Boone will force his best pitcher, Fried, to pitch 6.1 innings of solid work against the Red Sox on Sunday for the Wild Card Series, a game the Yanks lost 1-3.

The Jays' bats also seem to be Fried's kryptonite; the left-hander has made three starts against Toronto this season, the last on September 7 in the Bronx, and in each of them Fried allowed three ER or more.

Our prediction for Blue Jays vs Yankees is: Blue Jays +1.5.

Prediction:

 

Blue Jays +1.5.

-135
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New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks