Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
10/5/26 20:00
New York Yankees

Prediction:

 

Yankees ML

-131
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 by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks

The New York Yankees will try to even up the series vs. the Tampa Bay Rays Monday when they play Game 2 of the ALDS at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL. First Pitch is scheduled for 8 p.m. EST, with coverage provided by TBS.

Game 1 didn’t have much action. Drew Ramussen dominated the Yankees lineup, pitching an 8-inning, one-hit shutout. Gerrit Cole surrendered just five hits in five innings, one a home run to Jonathan Aranda, the only run scored in the game.

Cam Schlitter is scheduled to get the start for the Yankees. Schlitter went 14-6 in 33 regular-season starts with a 1.95 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, and teams hit just .185 off of him. He did some of his best work on the road, where he went 8-2 in 17 starts with a 1.16 ERA and a .153 OBA. In 82 at-bats vs. Schlitter, the Rays lineup has hit .244 with one home run and 26 strikeouts.

Freddy Peralta is scheduled to start for the Rays. HE went 10-11 in 32 regular-season starts, with a 4.42 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, and teams hit .247 against him. At home, he went 5-5 in 17 starts with a 3.53 ERA and a .219 OBA. In 113 at-bats vs. Peralta, the Yankees lineup hit .248 with seven home runs and 39 strikeouts.

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Form

Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees Latest Matches

Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays Latest matches
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 3, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  0
New York Yankees

Sep 27, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
7 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 26, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  12
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
0 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 24, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 23, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
9 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 3, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  0
New York Yankees

Sep 20, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Sep 19, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
2 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Sep 18, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
2 :  4
Boston Red Sox

Sep 17, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
10 :  1
Athletics

Sep 16, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  3
Athletics
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 27, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
7 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 26, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  12
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
0 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 24, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 23, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
9 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 22, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  6
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
New York Yankees Latest matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 3, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  0
New York Yankees

Sep 30, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
9 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Sep 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
9 :  0
Boston Red Sox

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  10
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 24, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 30, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
9 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Sep 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
9 :  0
Boston Red Sox

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  10
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 24, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 23, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
9 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Oct 3, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  0
New York Yankees

Sep 20, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
8 :  4
New York Yankees

Sep 19, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
5 :  3
New York Yankees

Sep 18, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
2 :  9
New York Yankees

Sep 16, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
5 :  4
New York Yankees

Sep 15, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
1 :  8
New York Yankees

Tampa Bay Rays against New York Yankees : Head to Head (H2H)

Tampa Bay Rays

33 %

New York Yankees

67 %

Oct 3, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  0
New York Yankees

Sep 24, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 23, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
9 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 22, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  6
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 22, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 9, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  12
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Picks

Tampa Bay Rays - New York Yankees Key Points

  1. Tampa Bay won the regular-season series vs. the Yankees 7-6.
  2. New York was 18-8 ATS (run line) during the regular season after a day off; the Rays went 13-9 ATS (run line).
  3. The OVER was 11-13-2 for the Yankees after a day off during the regular season and 9-13 for the Rays.
  4. Betting Public: 74% of moneyline tickets and 80% of the handle are on the Yankees.

Our Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction

I’m tempted to go with the run line in this game to get a better price (-1.5 at +141). Schlitter will control the Rays lineup for at least six innings, if not more. The lineup should have a good day against  Peralta, but I don’t know if I trust them to have a good enough day to cover. They covered more often than not during the regular season after a day off, but went just 42-40 ATS (run line) when on the road. So, yeah—I’m not confident they’ll cover, but the Yankees will win.

Our New York vs. Tampa Bay Pick: Yankees ML

Prediction:

 

Yankees ML

-131
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.