Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks
The New York Yankees will try to even up the series vs. the Tampa Bay Rays Monday when they play Game 2 of the ALDS at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL. First Pitch is scheduled for 8 p.m. EST, with coverage provided by TBS.
Game 1 didn’t have much action. Drew Ramussen dominated the Yankees lineup, pitching an 8-inning, one-hit shutout. Gerrit Cole surrendered just five hits in five innings, one a home run to Jonathan Aranda, the only run scored in the game.
Cam Schlitter is scheduled to get the start for the Yankees. Schlitter went 14-6 in 33 regular-season starts with a 1.95 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, and teams hit just .185 off of him. He did some of his best work on the road, where he went 8-2 in 17 starts with a 1.16 ERA and a .153 OBA. In 82 at-bats vs. Schlitter, the Rays lineup has hit .244 with one home run and 26 strikeouts.
Freddy Peralta is scheduled to start for the Rays. HE went 10-11 in 32 regular-season starts, with a 4.42 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, and teams hit .247 against him. At home, he went 5-5 in 17 starts with a 3.53 ERA and a .219 OBA. In 113 at-bats vs. Peralta, the Yankees lineup hit .248 with seven home runs and 39 strikeouts.
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Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Form
Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees Latest Matches
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Tampa Bay Rays against New York Yankees : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
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Tampa Bay Rays - New York Yankees Key Points
- Tampa Bay won the regular-season series vs. the Yankees 7-6.
- New York was 18-8 ATS (run line) during the regular season after a day off; the Rays went 13-9 ATS (run line).
- The OVER was 11-13-2 for the Yankees after a day off during the regular season and 9-13 for the Rays.
- Betting Public: 74% of moneyline tickets and 80% of the handle are on the Yankees.
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Our Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction
I’m tempted to go with the run line in this game to get a better price (-1.5 at +141). Schlitter will control the Rays lineup for at least six innings, if not more. The lineup should have a good day against Peralta, but I don’t know if I trust them to have a good enough day to cover. They covered more often than not during the regular season after a day off, but went just 42-40 ATS (run line) when on the road. So, yeah—I’m not confident they’ll cover, but the Yankees will win.
Our New York vs. Tampa Bay Pick: Yankees ML
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