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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees duke it out anew in Game 2 of their highly crucial series on Saturday at Fenway Park.
The Yankees, who covered a -1.5-run spread for the second straight time after beating the Red Sox 4-1 in Game 1, carry a potential profit of $155 per $100 bet if they beat the handicap again.
Current Form:
The Yankees improved their record to 3-2 in their last five games following back-to-back wins over playoff contenders. New York followed their 9-3 win over the Tigers on Thursday with a 4-1 win over their Red Sox. Luis Gil delivered a dominant performance, logging six scoreless innings with four strikeouts. Aaron Judge opened things up with a solo homer in the first inning to pass Joe DiMaggio on the Yankees’ all-time home run list.
The Red Sox have now lost two in a row, putting them in danger of falling out of their wildcard spot. At 81-67, Boston is only one game ahead of the 80-68 Astros and two games above the trailing Texas Rangers, who hold a 78-70 record. Boston, which is averaging 5.0 runs per game in the season, has only scored a total of five runs in the last two games.
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New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
6
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0.558 | 147 | 82 | 65 |
8
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0.547 | 148 | 81 | 67 |
New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox Latest Matches

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 12, 2025 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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New York Yankees against Boston Red Sox : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Sep 12, 2025 - MLB
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New York Yankees - Boston Red Sox Key Points
- NY Yankees is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games on the road.
- NY Yankees is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games against an opponent in the American League.
- Boston is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home.
- Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the American League East Division division.
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Our New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Get me the Yankees to cover -1.5 runs again. New York has been terrific on the road in the past 3-4 weeks, winning 12 of their last 14 games away from Yankee Stadium. They are also 3-1 against the spread in their last four road games. Max Fried, who sports a 4-1 record with a 3.38 ERA in his last five starts, looks to replicate the form that helped him blank the Red Sox through six innings in a narrow 0-1 loss last August 22.
Boston will try to neutralize Fried by starting Bryan Bello, who is 5-0 with a 2.61 ERA in his last five starts. Bello hasn’t surrendered a run to the Yankees over the last 14 innings across two starts. However, the Red Sox starter’s form appears to have dropped a bit in his last two starts, where he conceded three earned runs each against the D-Backs and Guardians. The Red Sox would go on to win on both occasions, but Bello could be in a world of trouble if he allowed that many runs against the Yankees on Saturday.
Our betting prediction for the New York Yankees vs. the Boston Red Sox: the Yankees -1.5 Runs.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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