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by Carlos Zabala in MLB Picks
The Yankees have had their ups and downs in 2025, some rough patches, and constant online criticism that put a lot of pressure on Boone's decisions and Anthony Volpe's shoulders. Even with all that, accustomed to pressure and unlikely to win the Eastern Conference, the Yankees have had a very successful September that pitted them against tough opponents.
Specifically, September began with the Yankees winning their series against the Astros 2-1 in Houston; they finally got revenge on the Blue Jays in the Bronx; they were thrashed by the Tigers' offense; they went to Fenway and won two games against their archrival, the Red Sox. Despite being shut out in Game 1 by the Twins in Minneapolis, the Yankees took Games 2 and 3, scoring 10 runs in each.
Now the Yankees have a better-than-possible finish to the season, with 10 games remaining against teams at the bottom of their division, four of them against the Orioles and three of them against the White Sox, with the final six games being played at Yankee Stadium.
At odds of -190, the Yankees are emerging as betting favorites to beat the Orioles in Baltimore in the first game of the series at Camden Yards. It couldn't be otherwise, as Max Fried, the MLB leader in wins this year with 17, will be pitching.
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New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
5
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0.559 | 152 | 85 | 67 |
21
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0.474 | 152 | 72 | 80 |
New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles Latest Matches

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
Sep 16, 2025 - MLB
Sep 15, 2025 - MLB
Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
Sep 13, 2025 - MLB
Sep 12, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 11, 2025 - MLB
Sep 10, 2025 - MLB
Sep 9, 2025 - MLB
Sep 7, 2025 - MLB
Sep 6, 2025 - MLB
Sep 5, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
Sep 16, 2025 - MLB
Sep 15, 2025 - MLB
Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
Sep 13, 2025 - MLB
Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
Sep 16, 2025 - MLB
Sep 15, 2025 - MLB
Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
Sep 13, 2025 - MLB
Sep 12, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 11, 2025 - MLB
Sep 10, 2025 - MLB
Sep 9, 2025 - MLB
Sep 7, 2025 - MLB
Sep 6, 2025 - MLB
Sep 5, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
Sep 16, 2025 - MLB
Sep 15, 2025 - MLB
Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
Sep 13, 2025 - MLB
Sep 12, 2025 - MLB
New York Yankees against Baltimore Orioles : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Jun 22, 2025 - MLB
Jun 21, 2025 - MLB
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Apr 30, 2025 - MLB
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New York Yankees - Baltimore Orioles Key Points
- 19-23 is the Orioles' record against division rivals in 2025
- Povich, the O's starter on Thursday, has a 5.05 ERA
- Adley Rutschman, injured by the Orioles, has an oblique injury
- Yankees lead MLB in runs per game with 5.2 this season
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Our New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
Max Fried started the season dominantly; the responsibility of being the Yankees' absolute ace didn't weigh on him. He had a slight slump midseason, but by the final month of the regular season, he regained his winning form.
The Yankees won four of Fried's last five starts; in four of those, Fried pitched six or more innings; in three of them, he threw over 100 pitches; and he started 30 games as the Yankees' starter, earning a W in 17 of them.
Hitting-wise, Judge continued his strong month at Target Field; he went 3-for-4 on Wednesday, but the star of the game was Grisham, who batted leadoff, going 2-for-5 with two home runs.
Our prediction for Yankees vs Orioles is: Yankees -1.5.
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