New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Mets
7/29/25 21:40
San Diego Padres

Prediction:

 

Over 8.5 Runs

-102
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 by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks

The San Diego Padres and the New York Mets take the field anew on Tuesday for Game 2 of their series at Petco Park.

The Padres will try to push their win streak to four games after edging the Mets 7-6 in the series opener on Monday. San Diego, who carries the fifth best ERA in baseball at 3.60, turned to their bullpen to hold the Mets to only one run in the final four innings after starter Dylan Cease surrendered five runs over 4.1 innings. Elias Diaz also came through with a clutch hit in the bottom of the 9th inning to complete San Diego’s comeback win from a 1-5 deficit.

The Mets absorbed their first loss after racking up seven straight wins. Nevertheless, New York is still one of the hottest team after the All-Star break with a 7-3 record in their last 10 games. Pete Alonso now has 81 RBIs and 22 homers while batting a team-high ,263. Juan Soto leads the team with 25 home runs.

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Form

Table

Teams % P W L
7
New York Mets
New York Mets
0.564 110 62 48
9
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
0.555 110 61 49

New York Mets and San Diego Padres Latest Matches

New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 28, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  7
San Diego Padres

Jul 27, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
5 :  3
San Francisco Giants

Jul 26, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  1
San Francisco Giants

Jul 25, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  1
San Francisco Giants

Jul 23, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
3 :  6
New York Mets

Jul 22, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
2 :  3
New York Mets
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 23, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
3 :  6
New York Mets

Jul 22, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
2 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 21, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
5 :  7
New York Mets

Jul 20, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 19, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
5 :  2
New York Mets

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
8 :  4
New York Mets
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 28, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  7
San Diego Padres

Jul 27, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
5 :  3
San Francisco Giants

Jul 26, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  1
San Francisco Giants

Jul 25, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  1
San Francisco Giants

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  3
Kansas City Royals

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  1
Kansas City Royals
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres Latest matches
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 28, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  7
San Diego Padres

Jul 27, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
9 :  2
St. Louis Cardinals

Jul 26, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  1
St. Louis Cardinals

Jul 25, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  3
St. Louis Cardinals

Jul 24, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  9
St. Louis Cardinals

Jul 23, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  3
Miami Marlins
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 28, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  7
San Diego Padres

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  1
San Diego Padres

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  5
San Diego Padres

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  4
San Diego Padres

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
3 :  4
San Diego Padres

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
8 :  2
San Diego Padres
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 27, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
9 :  2
St. Louis Cardinals

Jul 26, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  1
St. Louis Cardinals

Jul 25, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  3
St. Louis Cardinals

Jul 24, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  9
St. Louis Cardinals

Jul 23, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  3
Miami Marlins

Jul 22, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  4
Miami Marlins

New York Mets against San Diego Padres : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Mets

50 %

San Diego Padres

50 %

Jul 28, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  7
San Diego Padres

Aug 25, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  3
San Diego Padres

Aug 24, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  1
San Diego Padres

Aug 23, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  7
San Diego Padres

Aug 22, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  3
San Diego Padres

Jun 15, 2024 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  5
New York Mets

New York Mets - San Diego Padres Key Points

  1. The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets' last 7 games played on a Tuesday.
  2. The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets' last 6 games played on a Tuesday when on the road.
  3. The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games against NY Mets.
  4. The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Diego's last 15 games against an opponent in the National League East Division

Our New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction

The OVER seems like the right pick here as both the Mets and Padres are averaging at least 5 runs per game in their last five games. New York is also averaging 5.00 runs in the last 3 meetings with the Padres, who will start Ryan Bergert (1-0, 2.84 ERA).

We all know how much San Diego has struggled to score runs this season, but averaging 5.2 runs per game on a .325 batting average is a good indication that this team might be starting to form a prolific offense in the second half of the season.

Our betting prediction for the New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: Over 8.5 Runs.

Prediction:

 

Over 8.5 Runs

-102
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New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Picks